Trump targets Kerr, Popovich for China responses

President Donald Trump said the NBA has to “work out their own situation” with China while criticizing coaches Steve Kerr and Gregg Popovich, saying they “were pandering to China.”
www.espn.com – NBA

First Lady Melania Trump Delivers Anti-Vaping Remarks Wearing Prada

In helping to kick off the Drug Enforcement Administration’s Red Ribbon Rally, First Lady Melania Trump called for the end of marketing e-cigarettes and vaping to minors.
During her remarks this morning in Washington, D.C., FLOTUS said, “We need to continue encouraging teenagers and young adults that have fallen into drug addiction to be brave enough to admit it, to talk about it and to get help. This also includes addiction associated with e-cigarettes and vaping. It is important to me that we all work to educate children and families about the dangers associated with this habit. Marketing this addictive product to children must stop,” according to a transcript of her remarks.
Wearing a black sleeveless Prada dress, Trump was the first first lady to visit DEA’s headquarters. Monday’s message may have been about anti-drugs, but her attire hinted at sustainability. FLOTUS wore the same all-business sheath for a Sept. 23 visit to the New York Stock Exchange to ring the opening bell with students from the United Nations International School. A pool report noted that the first lady did not wear a red ribbon today and that an East Wing staffer said FLOTUS had not received one in advance of the

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Melania Trump Hits Snake River During ‘Be Best’ Trip to Promote National Parks Service

HEAD FOR THE HILLS: While the impeachment inquiry into President Trump heats up inside the Beltway, First Lady Melania Trump winged it out West to visit two National Parks and to promote her “Be Best” initiative.
After landing at the Jackson Hole Airport, FLOTUS arrived in the town square to find several hundred people lined along the sidewalks, including some singing “The Star Spangled Banner,” according to a pool report. Shortly before noon, the First Lady greeted local Boy Scouts, spending 30 seconds to a minute with each. Her latest goodwill mission is meant to draw attention to the wellness pillar of her child-friendly “Be Best” program. Last week she took that message to a more adult audience by ringing the starting bell at the New York Stock Exchange with the help of fourth graders from the United Nations International School.
The First Lady’s 48-hour tour of Teton Country will include stops at two of the 380-plus units in the National Parks Service — Grand Teton and Yellowstone. While the Sept. 23 appearance on Wall Street called for business attire — a black cap-sleeved Prada dress — her journey into the great outdoors started with more relaxed looks. Trump touched down in

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Trump Straws Selling Like Crazy, 1 Million MAGA Hats Sold

Donald Trump has more numbers to brag about — his Trump Straws are selling like hotcakes, quickly approaching $ 1 million in sales … and MAGA hats have reached a milestone. Sources with the President’s campaign tell TMZ … sales for the straws…

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TMZ Celebrity News for Fashion


First Lady Melania Trump Wears J. Mendel for State Dinner in Honor of Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison

GARDEN PARTY: Geopolitics are undeniably stormy, but Friday night’s clear-as-can-be weather was well-suited for the Trumps’ outdoors state dinner for Australia Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his wife Jennifer.
First Lady Melania Trump appeared to keep things easy-breezy, sporting an aqua-colored chiffon dress designed by Gilles Mendel, the creative force behind the J. Mendel label. With wave-like effects in the chiffon, the flowy creation was in step with the Rose Garden setting. Instead of welcoming guests to the State Dining Room in the White House, the first couple welcomed guests al fresco. FLOTUS appeared to sail through the proceedings in patent leather heels from Christian Louboutin. The prime minister’s wife wore a navy column dress with velour and sequins from Australian designer Carla Zampatti, who also created the black ensemble she wore for the official welcome earlier in the day.
The Australian-friendly dinner crowd included Fox’s Lachlan Murdoch, Marvel Entertainment’s Isaac Perlmutter and Chevron’s Michael Wirth, as well as various politicians and Cabinet members like Kellyanne Conway and Betsy DeVos. The arrivals coincided with news that the U.S. would be sending more military troops to Saudi Arabia following the recent attacks on oil facilities in response to Iranian actions.
Unlike the ice blue-colored

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Lana Del Rey on Trump, Kanye and the Right Time for a Protest Song

The singer and songwriter’s fifth major-label album, “Norman ____ Rockwell!,” is a collaboration with Jack Antonoff packed with fiery lyrics.
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At the G7: First Lady Melania Trump Wears McQueen, Calvin Klein

WORDS LESS SPOKEN: After hours of intense discussions and debate, the G7 heads of state presented a united front Sunday night in Biarritz, France. World powers from France, Germany, the U.S., Italy, Canada, the U.K. and Japan returned to the Hotel du Palais for the summit’s extended partners program.
The more communal gathering may have been a balm after a full day at the Centre de Congres. President Trump started the day with a working breakfast with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson before the seven leaders hashed out the global economy, foreign policy and security affairs. Later in the day they planned to delve into inequality and the partnership for Africa. Trump’s schedule included bilateral talks with Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and a tête-à-tête with Australia’s Prime Minister Scott Morrison.
While Trump is known to be a teetotaler, his socially imbibing counterparts may have been in need of some Bordeaux wine. First Lady Melania Trump dressed for the evening’s festivities in a red Alexander McQueen dress designed by Sarah Burton. Tea leaf readers may interpret the choice of a British label as a kindred gesture to the U.K. or the striking color to the one

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How Jeffrey Epstein Is Linked to Fashion, Media and President Trump

As friends, acquaintances and former business associates — including President Trump, who was once all three, and former President Clinton — rush to distance themselves from Jeffrey Epstein, who died in an apparent suicide on Aug. 10, more and more links between the fashion and media worlds and the convicted sex offender and disgraced billionaire keep coming to light, no doubt causing numerous public figures to brace themselves for potentially embarrassing disclosures along the lines of “Epstein was once seen with [Fill in the Blank].”
According to court documents released by the U.S. District Court of the Southern District of New York, Epstein, who was arrested on July 6, was charged with one count of sex trafficking of minors and one count of conspiracy to engage in sex trafficking of minors between 2002 and 2005 in New York and Florida. If convicted, he would have faced a maximum prison sentence of 45 years.
While information on Epstein’s business ventures and earnings are scant so far, the money manager and former Wall Street trader had many dealings within the fashion and media spaces, notably with Victoria’s Secret owner Leslie H. Wexner. Epstein managed Wexner’s finances for more than two decades, along with those

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First Lady Melania Trump Shops in Her Closet for G7 Arrival Look, But Wears Gucci for Dinner with the Macrons

SUNNY SIDE UP: In light of the increasingly fractured and troubled state of geopolitics, key world leaders have countless conundrums to deal with at the G7 Summit in Biarritz. Trade, climate change, Middle East tensions, Iran’s seizure of foreign ships and wariness of a worldwide recession based on warning signs in Germany, the U.K. and the U.S. are among the many points of concern. While the powers that will be locked in meetings for much of the weekend, their respective better halves understand how their secondary roles can potentially offer some much needed levity.
Perhaps that’s the reason that First Lady Melania Trump exited Air Force One upon arriving in France, wearing a bright yellow and white Calvin Klein dress Saturday. The sleeveless style was a throwback look that had been designed by Raf Simons. Management at Calvin Klein’s parent company PVH parted ways with him at the end of last year but FLOTUS remains a fan. (Simons is back in his native Belgium designing his own collection and he collaborated with the outerwear label Templa.) Trump has worn his designs for Calvin Klein for other occasions such as an outing during last summer’s NATO’s Summit.
The First Lady also took something from

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Julián Castro On Fixing The Federal Relationship With Indigenous Peoples: ‘We’ve Slid Backward Under Trump’

Presidential candidate Julián Castro spoke with MTV News about his People First Indigenous Communities plan and why doing right by Native peoples isn’t just a matter of policy — it’s cultural, too.
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Episode 630 Scott Adams: Greenland, Omar and Tlaib, Hong Kong, Trump Rhetoric, Don Lemon Drop

Content: 

  • Purchase Greenland…why not? CNN anti-Trumpers react
    • “Big Thinking” concepts and President Trump
  • Stephen Colbert doesn’t know anything about President Trump?
  • Ghislaine Maxwell spotted reading book about CIA operative deaths
  • Why do President Trump’s critics change his words?
    • If his actual words are so bad, why do they alter them?
  • Don Lemon allegation…just two drunk guys in a late-night bar?
  • President Trump accused Tlaib and Omar of racism, smart move?
  • A brain hack to deprogram bigotry via conversation
  • Has Tlaib and Omar’s gender and ethnicity HELPED them achieve?

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I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 630 Scott Adams: Greenland, Omar and Tlaib, Hong Kong, Trump Rhetoric, Don Lemon Drop appeared first on Scott Adam's Blog.


Scott Adam’s Blog

Episode 629 Scott Adams: Epstein, Stock Markets and Trump, Deep Fakes, Simulation Proof, Hong Kong

Content: 

  • Always bet on human incompetence over a complex explanation
  • Kamala Harris…politicizing an active ongoing police event
    • If you can’t solve a problem any other way…”Trump it”
    • Shake the box till the variables produce a potential solution
  • Deep Fakes amazing video of Bill Hader’s face imperceptibly morphing
  • China will NEVER approve a fair trade deal…for cultural reasons
    • So how is a fair deal possible?
    • Thomas Friedman says he’d prefer TPP over trade war
  • Hong Kong situation and the likely outcome
  • Stock market prediction filter for 2020 election results
    • Will elite Democrats intentionally crash the stock market?
    • Is “political selling” happening to intentionally drive it down?
  • “Inverted Yield Curve” and recession fears…why?
  • Bill Clinton portrait at Epstein’s…wearing a blue dress and red shoes?

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I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 629 Scott Adams: Epstein, Stock Markets and Trump, Deep Fakes, Simulation Proof, Hong Kong appeared first on Scott Adam's Blog.


Scott Adam’s Blog

Rihanna Condemns Donald Trump Following Dayton & El Paso Mass Shootings

The latest tragedy marks the 250th mass shooting in the U.S. this year.


HipHopDX News

Episode 617 Scott Adams: Professional Hypnotist Will Cure Your Trump Derangement Syndrome

Content: 

  • The Don Lemon rule: If you think someone is racist, then they are
  • Crime infested or rodent infested…the Baltimore debate continues
  • Humorless scold Nikki Haley
  • NK short-range missile tests NOT a violation per President Trump
  • A$ AP Rocky is headed home
  • AOC staff head moves on…so what?
  • Are people with TDS aware on some level…that their TDS isn’t real?
    • Does TDS allow people to keep their identity and lifestyle?

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: 

I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 617 Scott Adams: Professional Hypnotist Will Cure Your Trump Derangement Syndrome appeared first on Scott Adam's Blog.


Scott Adam’s Blog

Episode 616 Scott Adams: Racist Don Lemon, Racist Voters and Trump Derangement Syndrome

Content: 

  • Where are Biden voters going as his numbers drop?
  • Kamala acts like she doesn’t believe she belongs in the Oval Office
    • Her voice and mannerisms project lack of confidence
  • Don Lemon’s interview of Pastor Bill Owens…digging HARD for dirt
  • RDL Don Lemon stating his opinions as facts
    • If Don Lemon BELIEVES something…does that make it a fact?
  • “Nobody wins a trade war”…really? What’s the alternative?
    • In the past, we INTENTIONALLY accepted unfair (to us) deals
    • Is it time to stop propping up other countries at our expense?
  • Inner city problems are a SYSTEMS issue
    • Existing systems prevent money and resources from helping
    • Bill Pulte, is effective because his SYSTEM is effective
  • Most current problems are SYSTEMS and DESIGN problems

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I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 616 Scott Adams: Racist Don Lemon, Racist Voters and Trump Derangement Syndrome appeared first on Scott Adam's Blog.


Scott Adam’s Blog

Alleged Trump Supporter Struggle Fades Elderly White Man At Rally For Bloated Blunder

Dallas Frazier

Source: Screenshot / facebook

With the campaign season kicking into high gear, President Donald Trump is once again on the road rallying the stupid with more of his awful political takes and racist stances. At a rally for the Bloated Blunder in Cincinnati, an alleged Trump supporter punched an elderly white man and was promptly arrested.

WLVT reports:

Dallas Frazier, 29, was arrested Thursday in the 300 block of Broadway Street, according to Lt. Steve Saunders with the Cincinnati Police Department.

Video shows a fight outside of U.S. Bank Arena in the hours leading up President Donald Trump’s Keep America Great political rally at the arena.

It is unclear what led up to the fight.

Video shows a man exit a red pickup truck and throw punches at a man — the victim was standing among a group of protesters outside the rally.

Of course, his name is Dallas.

Anyway, for all that swinging, Frazier essentially just knocked the poor guy around but not out, and appeared to be several years the man’s junior. If you’re gonna swing like a fool, at least try to look good doing it.

Check out the struggle fade below.

Photo: Facebook

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President Trump Rips Sweden over A$AP Rocky Case

We just got Congressman Andre Carson on Capitol Hill and he said Trump’s tweets are just a play to get more votes in 2020. Rep. Carson says he’s been working behind-the-scenes to free A$ AP, while Trump is just trying to appeal to the…

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TMZ Celebrity News for Celebrity Justice


Donald Trump Shows Up at MAGA Wedding

Donald Trump made a surprise appearance at a wedding that had a theme — Make America Great Again. The wedding went down Saturday night at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Bedminster, New Jersey. There was no doubt about it … there were…

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TMZ Celebrity News for Party All The Time


Ted Cruz Says it’s Trump Not Kaepernick Surging Nike Stock

Nike’s stocks going up ever so slightly — which just so happened on the heels of the Betsy Ross controversy — has absolutely nothing to do with Colin Kaepernick … so says Ted Cruz. The Texas senator shut down any notion that Kap sent Nike’s…

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TMZ Celebrity News for Fashion


Photographer Tyler Shields Wants Kathy Griffin to Shoot Documentary on Trump Beheading Photo

Shock photographer Tyler Shields says his biz is booming since he shot the photo of Kathy Griffin holding a bloodied Trump mask — and he has a plan for Kathy to rebound from the controversy. We got Tyler at LAX Tuesday where he insisted the photo…

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TMZ Celebrity News for Stars In Heat


Episode 587 Scott Adams: Happy President Trump Day, TDS, Portland and B*tCh*te

Content: 

  • Death threats for providing fireworks…on the 4th of July
  • Death threats to miniAOC funny parody family
  • NYT’s thought leader Charles Blow…now has blood on his hands
    • “The drift toward the unimaginable is unmistakable”
  • Progressive YouTube is also losing big from censorship
  • Portland Chief of Police proposes a “mask ban” for events
  • Antifa intentionally attacks the heads of their victims
    • Head attacks should be a death penalty crime

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: 

I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 587 Scott Adams: Happy President Trump Day, TDS, Portland and B*tCh*te appeared first on Dilbert Blog.


Dilbert Blog

Snoop Dogg & Faith Evans Back Petition For Donald Trump To Commute Loon’s Prison Sentence

The former Bad Boy Records artist is currently serving a 14-year sentence in federal prison.


HipHopDX News

Episode 576 Scott Adams: Middle East Peace, Project Veritas, Trump = JFK, Advice for Kamala Harris

Content: 

  • Senior Google Executive, Jen Gennai and Project Veritas
    • Google is a Gatekeeper of our reality 
  • Should an algorithm ever be put on trial?
    • The point where algorithms program themselves is almost here
  • NBA will no longer call team owners…”owners”
  • Bernie’s surprisingly strong plan to tax wall street for free everything
    • It MIGHT actually work
  • Top Saudi diplomat says the “age of war with Israel is over
  • Palestinians reject Jared Kushner peace plan
    • They rejected $ 50 Billion…on principal? That’s just stupid
  • Knitting site Ravelry, bans Trump discussions as white supremacy
  • Joel Pollack’s article comparing JFK and President Trump
  • Fixing Kamala’s biggest problem, her unconfident laugh and smile
    • it’s subordinate, submissive, NOT Presidential

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: 

I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 576 Scott Adams: Middle East Peace, Project Veritas, Trump = JFK, Advice for Kamala Harris appeared first on Dilbert Blog.


Dilbert Blog

Episode 575 Scott Adams: Invisible Problems With Trump, Immigration Reform, Cyber Attacks on Iran

Content: 

  • President Trump’s “problems” are invisible…why is that?
  • Human incentives and Democrats
  • Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren looking like the likely top two
  • Is a subtle change happening with Bill Maher?
  • AMA questions from viewers

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: 

I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time. 

The post Episode 575 Scott Adams: Invisible Problems With Trump, Immigration Reform, Cyber Attacks on Iran appeared first on Dilbert Blog.


Dilbert Blog

Trump Slams Bette Midler As “Washed Up Psycho”

U.S. President Donald Trump has lashed out at Bette Midler, calling the award winning singer, actress, comedienne and activist a “washed up psycho” after she apologized for an incorrect tweet.
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Donald Trump Wants ‘Apprentice’ Sexual Assault Case Dropped Because He’s President

The president allegedly kissed and groped a former contestant on his reality show in 2007.
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Adele objects as Trump plays song

Adele objects as Trump plays songPop superstar Adele on Monday lodged objections as Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump played her music on the campaign trail. Trump, an apparent fan of Adele who was spotted at her concert in November in New York, has regularly played her hit “Rolling in the Deep” at his rallies. “Adele has not given permission for her music to be used for any political campaigning,” a statement from the singer’s spokesman said.



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There Was No Audio, So We Captioned The Trump And Putin Meeting

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Trump: Soothsayer or Charlatan?

At the democratic debate last Saturday, Martin O’Malley called Donald Trump a “carnival barker,” which was rather offensive– to carneys everywhere.

Trump may not be able to operate a Guess Your Age or Weight concession on the midway, but he is the perfect side show act. He is now a self-proclaimed psychic.

Monday night in a speech in Knoxville, Tennessee, the Divine Donald told his loyal crowd of minions that he has an “instinct” for predicting terrorism. He stated, “In my book [The America We Deserve] I predicted terrorism because I can feel it, I can feel it, like I can feel good locations, ok, in real estate.” Trump added “I really think I have a good instinct for this kind of thing.”

This all arises out of Trump’s book The America We Deserve, published in 2000, in which he reportedly mentioned Osama Bin Laden by name and the danger of terrorist attacks on a major city by weapons of mass destruction.

Buzzfeed reported on his clairvoyance. However Trump’s conservative nemesis RedState cast considerable doubt on his Nostradamus abilities, noting that the Bin Laden threat was well known and widely reported in the media before Trump’s book was published.

I too am endowed with psychic powers– I am SHINE, The Man Who Knows.

2015-11-18-1447827509-9373211-rsz_shinethemanwhoknows1.jpg

Here are a few of my own predictions:

Trump is 69 years old. On his 70th birthday in June of 2016, he will have officially used up his lifetime allotment of first-person personal pronouns, and will no longer be able to utter the words “Me,” “Myself” or “I.”

Tongue-tied and exhausted, I anticipate a meltdown, with Donald retreating to his gilt-encrusted Penthouse in Trump Towers, where he will forever get first billing on the building. “I am ready for my close-up, Mr. DeMille.”

He will not be nominated as the GOP presidential candidate, thus will not be elected president. However, he will tell us that it was he who voluntarily withdrew from seeking the office.

He will still find the strength to lash out, and assert that his downfall (sorry, “voluntary withdrawal”) was caused by the biased media, the GOP, the Democrats, his opponents, his critics, and assorted losers, morons, dummies, and lightweights. He can’t or won’t blame himself because he had used up his supply of first-person personal pronouns.

President Hillary won’t attend any more Trump weddings, and Trump will constantly be reminding us, “She would never have been elected if I had run against her.”

He will build his great wall, but it will be around his mansion in Palm Beach. Naturally, Mexico will pay for it– if he promises to stay inside. When he has guests, as they leave he will tell that he is deporting them.

Trump’s complexion will turn more orange and his head will continue to swell. He will be celebrated by children at Halloween– instead of carving jack-o-lanterns, they will draw faces on basketballs and top them off with banana peels.

But he will rise from the ashes to make an ash of himself again. I see television, publication deals, and speaking engagements on the vast horizon for the half-vast Trump. He will hit the lecture circuit while writing and peddling books.

Look for Ben Carson on that same tour.

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Economics and Expectations (with a Trump point)

When I was studying economics in college, the most surprising thing I learned is that economics is what happens when you combine psychology with resources. I had assumed economics was more of a math/formula sort of discipline. There is plenty of that too, but the core of economics is human psychology.

Let’s talk about that.

The reason I say economics is psychology plus resources is that every transaction is based on human expectations. Businesses will invest heavily today if they believe customers are optimistic and likely to spend. If the mood is pessimism, and people are saving their pennies, those expectations stifle business investment. 

I could go on for an hour about how your expectations are what creates value in this world. For example, you only make deals with people that you expect to perform. You only hire people you expect to do the job well. You only spend money if you expect to someday make more. You only buy a home when you expect real estate values to be strong in the future. And so on.

Economies run on expectations. And expectations are the result of our complex human psychology.

Consider Donald Trump’s deal-making skills. One of the clever things he has done over his lifetime is build up a set of expectations around his personality and operating style. When he enters a negotiation, you expect him to keep hammering until he wins. But you also expect a lot of energy and attention when it comes to a Trump deal, so your odds of making money with a Trump deal are good even if you are not the “winner” of the negotiations. 

Now imagine a President Trump – a deal-making, super-optimist with a reputation for making money. What does that do to an economy? It probably super-charges it in a way no one has ever seen. The expectations under a Trump presidency would be similar to a Reagan vibe in the sense that people would assume the economy was going to trend up, so investment would follow that expectation.

Economics is a self-fulfilling system in the sense that optimism and expectations create money where there was none before.

Let me say that again. You can’t hear this too much. Optimism and positive expectations create money where there was none before.

Now let me take this down to the small.

Inside Donald’s Trump’s skull is a moist, wrinkly, grey object that weighs about three pounds. That thing is glowing with optimism. If it gets into the Oval Office, a billion souls will change their expectation about the economy of the planet. And not one of them will be adjusting their expectations downward.

If you were to put a dollar value on the wrinkly, grey, three-pound object in Trump’s skull, what would it be?

My estimate is around a trillion dollars. That’s what an optimist-president (who is also a deal-maker) can add to an economy over eight years. Because economics is psychology. 

I remind you that I am not smart enough to know who would be the best president. And I’m not a fan of Trump’s stand on some social issues. But objectively speaking, a trillion dollars goes a long way toward helping people who need it.

If you don’t want a Trump presidency, I certainly understand that. We all have different priorities. But before you make your final decision, you should have an estimate for what it would cost to pick a candidate who does not have a positive impact on the psychology of the economy.


Scott Adams Blog

Economics and Expectations (with a Trump point)

When I was studying economics in college, the most surprising thing I learned is that economics is what happens when you combine psychology with resources. I had assumed economics was more of a math/formula sort of discipline. There is plenty of that too, but the core of economics is human psychology.

Let’s talk about that.

The reason I say economics is psychology plus resources is that every transaction is based on human expectations. Businesses will invest heavily today if they believe customers are optimistic and likely to spend. If the mood is pessimism, and people are saving their pennies, those expectations stifle business investment. 

I could go on for an hour about how your expectations are what creates value in this world. For example, you only make deals with people that you expect to perform. You only hire people you expect to do the job well. You only spend money if you expect to someday make more. You only buy a home when you expect real estate values to be strong in the future. And so on.

Economies run on expectations. And expectations are the result of our complex human psychology.

Consider Donald Trump’s deal-making skills. One of the clever things he has done over his lifetime is build up a set of expectations around his personality and operating style. When he enters a negotiation, you expect him to keep hammering until he wins. But you also expect a lot of energy and attention when it comes to a Trump deal, so your odds of making money with a Trump deal are good even if you are not the “winner” of the negotiations. 

Now imagine a President Trump – a deal-making, super-optimist with a reputation for making money. What does that do to an economy? It probably super-charges it in a way no one has ever seen. The expectations under a Trump presidency would be similar to a Reagan vibe in the sense that people would assume the economy was going to trend up, so investment would follow that expectation.

Economics is a self-fulfilling system in the sense that optimism and expectations create money where there was none before.

Let me say that again. You can’t hear this too much. Optimism and positive expectations create money where there was none before.

Now let me take this down to the small.

Inside Donald’s Trump’s skull is a moist, wrinkly, grey object that weighs about three pounds. That thing is glowing with optimism. If it gets into the Oval Office, a billion souls will change their expectation about the economy of the planet. And not one of them will be adjusting their expectations downward.

If you were to put a dollar value on the wrinkly, grey, three-pound object in Trump’s skull, what would it be?

My estimate is around a trillion dollars. That’s what an optimist-president (who is also a deal-maker) can add to an economy over eight years. Because economics is psychology. 

I remind you that I am not smart enough to know who would be the best president. And I’m not a fan of Trump’s stand on some social issues. But objectively speaking, a trillion dollars goes a long way toward helping people who need it.

If you don’t want a Trump presidency, I certainly understand that. We all have different priorities. But before you make your final decision, you should have an estimate for what it would cost to pick a candidate who does not have a positive impact on the psychology of the economy.


Scott Adams Blog

Bill O’Reilly Schools Donald Trump Over ‘Operation Wetback’

Fox News host Bill O’Reilly challenged Donald Trump about the presidential candidate’s hardline immigration stance on Wednesday night.

Trump has promised to deport every undocumented immigrant and build a massive wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. O’Reilly pointed out that the Eisenhower-era program Trump cited during the debate as proof that his plan would work was extremely flawed.

The controversial policy, known as “Operation Wetback,“ sent at least 1 million people — including U.S. citizens — to Mexico in deplorable ways.

“That was brutal what they did to those people to kick them back,” O’Reilly said. “The stuff they did was really brutal, it could never happened today.”

“We would do it in a very humane way,” Trump said.

“I back you on the wall,” O’Reilly said. “But I also don’t think you could deport these people because the federal courts would stop you… each person has to have due process… you know that!”

O’Reilly has challenged the former reality TV star on his immigration plan before, but that criticism continues to fall on deaf ears.

Watch the full Trump interview in the video above. The immigration exchange begins at 5:07.

(h/t Mediaite)

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Jon Stewart: Donald Trump Is An Internet Troll Running For President

Comedian Jon Stewart returned to standup on Tuesday night, and wasted no time going after one of his favorite targets: Donald Trump. 

“It’s like an Internet comment troll ran for president,” the former “Daily Show” host said of the GOP presidential frontrunner at the 9th annual Stand Up for Heroes event in New York. 

(Warning: strong language ahead)

“When I was doing the program, we liked to make jokes about him because he’s hilarious and easily mockable,” Stewart said, according to Entertainment Weekly. “We would mock him with things such as, ‘He looks like a bewigged boiled ham,’ or something like that. So he would tweet in the middle of the night, ‘Jon Stewart’s real name is Leibowitz. He’s a Jew. Why does he run away from his heritage?’ You know, because that’s what I think most presidents would do. I remember Lincoln used to drunk tweet: ‘Hey, emancipate this, you fuck!'”

Stewart, who has had a long-running feud with Trump, was referring to tweets such as these: 

Stewart expressed some disbelief that Trump is a serious contender for the presidency.

Are we really doing this Donald Trump thing? We’re really doing that as a country?” Stewart said, according to The Hollywood Reporter. “He’s fucked. I like to put my name in giant letters on everything I own as much as the next guy, but the only other people that do that are like 8-year-olds going to camp.”

Then, he broke out his famous Trump impression. 

“Where did I put that building? Oh there it is, Trump. Boom. Where’s my fucking helicopter? Boom, Trump,” Stewart said. “Where’s my wife? Boom, Trump, nice.”

If Trump is aware of Stewart’s jokes, he has yet to fire back on Twitter. 

Stewart had words for people who say they like Trump because of his unfiltered views. 

“People are like, ‘I like Trump; he says what he thinks,'” Stewart said, per The Hollywood Reporter. ”What he thinks is stupid. That’s like if your friend is like, ‘I would like to fuck your mom.’ Why would you say that? … I don’t give a shit if you’re politically correct, just be correct, correct.”

While it seems Trump got hit with the sharpest of comedic barbs, Stewart also told jokes about Ben Carson, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden and even himself before wrapping it up with some exasperation over politics. 

“I’m done with this shit,” he said, according to EW. “Done, done, done.”

Related On HuffPost:

 

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Why Donald Trump will Ruin the World

I promised myself that I wasn’t going to write about Donald Trump today. Then I saw this video clip in which a bearded fellow claims to know Trump’s morning routine. According to the bearded guy, an assistant brings a stack of Trump-related newspaper clips to Trump every morning. Trump glances at them, but rarely reads them, somewhere at around 6 AM. The headline for the video clip touts that it “tells you everything you need to know about Donald Trump.”

Apparently the only thing you need to know is that he’s a narcissist who loves attention. That’s one of the main media narratives about Trump, so watch their cherry-picked anecdotes support that story.

I watched the video clip about Trump’s morning routine around 6 AM, right after I looked at my blog comments, Google Alerts, new book reviews, and Twitter, to see what people said about me since the last time I checked. That’s my morning routine too. In the old days, I used a clipping service. All of this is normal for people in the media.

Am I a narcissist like Trump? Totally. But that would be missing the larger context. When your job is brand management – something Trump and I have in common – you have to watch how your brand is doing. And if something bad happened recently, you need to jump on it. That’s the job.

You might also wonder why Trump needs physical newspaper clippings in the digital age. I can answer that question too. Based on my media experience, I think there is a 75% chance the story is stale. He probably uses digital sources, especially Twitter, these days.

And if we are being realistic, Trump’s morning habit probably comes from his assistant, not from Trump. Trump barely glances at them. Then he does fifty other things in the morning. So I don’t think this one stale anecdote about something that brand managers routinely do is all we need to know about the man.

But let’s talk about the frightened citizens who genuinely believe Donald Trump could be a disaster as president, with his narcissism, xenophobia, bullying, huge ego, and selfish capitalist greed. That’s a scary list. But today we will view this list with the Master Persuader filter. The Master Persuader Hypothesis says that a persuader of Trump’s caliber will (always) send a large chunk of the population into a form of temporary irrationality called cognitive dissonance. I have predicted that you will see more of it, and that you can identify it by the tells.

So today I will describe some of the fears I hear about a potential Trump presidency. I will try to be objective.

Fear 1: Trump is a bully with a big mouth and no diplomatic nuance. He might offend a world leader and trigger a war. In unrelated news, we continue to be puzzled at how Trump has been a terrible person for several decades and yet we hear only glowing reports from the people who know him best, including his family, business associates, and friends. Even his ex-wife, Ivana, is pro-Trump. 

And Trump often reminds us that he was against the Iraq war. As a general rule, people who own tall buildings don’t like to start wars with people who blow up real estate for a living. If Trump is looking out for Trump assets, he isn’t going to be starting wars.

Fear 2: Trump is only in it for personal financial gain. Under this hypothesis, Trump will make decisions that help himself and his billionaire friends. Apparently he will be doing this while pursuing his plan to tax the rich at higher levels to keep social programs intact.

Fear 3: Trump’s motivations are narcissism and ego, so he is not in it for the right reasons. This is in stark contrast to the other candidates who are running for the highest office in the land while apparently believing they are unqualified. 

Fear 4: Trump only cares about Trump. He will make decisions that favor his company and his ego above the interests of the people. Under this way of thinking, the most famous brand manager alive does not realize that doing a shitty job as president is bad for the Trump brand. No one needs to stay at a Trump hotel and no one needs to golf at a Trump golf course. Trump’s business is the same as the business of the United States. He only does well in business if he does great as president. 

Fear 5: [Omitted by error.]

Fear 6: Trump is all hype. If he had invested his inherited fortune in an index fund and never worked a day in his life he would be worth more than he is now. But instead, Trump entered a variety of businesses, succeeded at many, learned from his mistakes, and employed tens of thousands of people while developing one of the most famous brands on earth. And now he will probably be president. Was that the wrong play?

Fear 7: Trump is a closet racist. We can tell by the way he talks about immigrants. For example, Trump wants more immigrants with technical skills to become citizens of the United States, and he wants fewer of the criminal types.

We also know Trump is a racist because of his proposal to ship eleven million illegal immigrants back home. Granted, Trump wrote a book describing how he always makes an aggressive first offer, every time, without exception, yet we are sure he didn’t mean it this time.

Here I remind you that I am not smart enough to know who would be a good president. Most of the candidates look qualified to me. My point today is to get a list going of the reasons people object to a Trump candidacy and see if those reasons survive light. If not, we have mass cognitive dissonance. If the reasons hold up, according to most of you, that means I’m the one with cognitive dissonance. I can never rule that out.

Judges, what do you think?

I wrote a book about the advantage of systems over goals. Trump is a systems thinker. It seems to be working.

Speaking of systems, Wally has a good one.

image


Scott Adams Blog

Why Donald Trump will Ruin the World

I promised myself that I wasn’t going to write about Donald Trump today. Then I saw this video clip in which a bearded fellow claims to know Trump’s morning routine. According to the bearded guy, an assistant brings a stack of Trump-related newspaper clips to Trump every morning. Trump glances at them, but rarely reads them, somewhere at around 6 AM. The headline for the video clip touts that it “tells you everything you need to know about Donald Trump.”

Apparently the only thing you need to know is that he’s a narcissist who loves attention. That’s one of the main media narratives about Trump, so watch their cherry-picked anecdotes support that story.

I watched the video clip about Trump’s morning routine around 6 AM, right after I looked at my blog comments, Google Alerts, new book reviews, and Twitter, to see what people said about me since the last time I checked. That’s my morning routine too. In the old days, I used a clipping service. All of this is normal for people in the media.

Am I a narcissist like Trump? Totally. But that would be missing the larger context. When your job is brand management – something Trump and I have in common – you have to watch how your brand is doing. And if something bad happened recently, you need to jump on it. That’s the job.

You might also wonder why Trump needs physical newspaper clippings in the digital age. I can answer that question too. Based on my media experience, I think there is a 75% chance the story is stale. He probably uses digital sources, especially Twitter, these days.

And if we are being realistic, Trump’s morning habit probably comes from his assistant, not from Trump. Trump barely glances at them. Then he does fifty other things in the morning. So I don’t think this one stale anecdote about something that brand managers routinely do is all we need to know about the man.

But let’s talk about the frightened citizens who genuinely believe Donald Trump could be a disaster as president, with his narcissism, xenophobia, bullying, huge ego, and selfish capitalist greed. That’s a scary list. But today we will view this list with the Master Persuader filter. The Master Persuader Hypothesis says that a persuader of Trump’s caliber will (always) send a large chunk of the population into a form of temporary irrationality called cognitive dissonance. I have predicted that you will see more of it, and that you can identify it by the tells.

So today I will describe some of the fears I hear about a potential Trump presidency. I will try to be objective.

Fear 1: Trump is a bully with a big mouth and no diplomatic nuance. He might offend a world leader and trigger a war. In unrelated news, we continue to be puzzled at how Trump has been a terrible person for several decades and yet we hear only glowing reports from the people who know him best, including his family, business associates, and friends. Even his ex-wife, Ivana, is pro-Trump. 

And Trump often reminds us that he was against the Iraq war. As a general rule, people who own tall buildings don’t like to start wars with people who blow up real estate for a living. If Trump is looking out for Trump assets, he isn’t going to be starting wars.

Fear 2: Trump is only in it for personal financial gain. Under this hypothesis, Trump will make decisions that help himself and his billionaire friends. Apparently he will be doing this while pursuing his plan to tax the rich at higher levels to keep social programs intact.

Fear 3: Trump’s motivations are narcissism and ego, so he is not in it for the right reasons. This is in stark contrast to the other candidates who are running for the highest office in the land while apparently believing they are unqualified. 

Fear 4: Trump only cares about Trump. He will make decisions that favor his company and his ego above the interests of the people. Under this way of thinking, the most famous brand manager alive does not realize that doing a shitty job as president is bad for the Trump brand. No one needs to stay at a Trump hotel and no one needs to golf at a Trump golf course. Trump’s business is the same as the business of the United States. He only does well in business if he does great as president. 

Fear 5: [Omitted by error.]

Fear 6: Trump is all hype. If he had invested his inherited fortune in an index fund and never worked a day in his life he would be worth more than he is now. But instead, Trump entered a variety of businesses, succeeded at many, learned from his mistakes, and employed tens of thousands of people while developing one of the most famous brands on earth. And now he will probably be president. Was that the wrong play?

Fear 7: Trump is a closet racist. We can tell by the way he talks about immigrants. For example, Trump wants more immigrants with technical skills to become citizens of the United States, and he wants fewer of the criminal types.

We also know Trump is a racist because of his proposal to ship eleven million illegal immigrants back home. Granted, Trump wrote a book describing how he always makes an aggressive first offer, every time, without exception, yet we are sure he didn’t mean it this time.

Here I remind you that I am not smart enough to know who would be a good president. Most of the candidates look qualified to me. My point today is to get a list going of the reasons people object to a Trump candidacy and see if those reasons survive light. If not, we have mass cognitive dissonance. If the reasons hold up, according to most of you, that means I’m the one with cognitive dissonance. I can never rule that out.

Judges, what do you think?

I wrote a book about the advantage of systems over goals. Trump is a systems thinker. It seems to be working.

Speaking of systems, Wally has a good one.

image


Scott Adams Blog

Donald Trump turns into human cheeseburger in new Kill The Noise music video

Donald Trump turns into human cheeseburger in new Kill The Noise music video

Donald Trump turns into human cheeseb… 3:10
Grab the OCCULT CLASSIC album: www.occultclassic.tv
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Keywords: Kill The Noise OWSLA Electronic Dance EDM Bass Music OCCULT CLASSIC Kill It 4 The Kids Music VIdeo KTN
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Ivanka Trump: Dad Really Showed His Playful Side On ‘SNL’

At the Glamour Women of the Year Awards, Ivanka Trump tells Access guest correspondent Scott Evans about the fun she and her father, Donald, had on “SNL.”


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‘Birdman’ Director Alejandro G. Iñárritu Addresses Immigration Reform, Donald Trump In Speech

As Donald Trump gave “Saturday Night Live” viewers a satirical sneak peak at what life in the United States would be like if he became president, Mexican director Alejandro Gonzalez Iñárritu spoke candidly about what life is actually like for Mexicans living in Mexico and the U.S. today. 

Iñárritu delivered his speech Saturday at the Los Angeles County Museum of Art, where he was being honored alongside artist James Turrell as part of the museum’s Art+Film Gala.

Below is a partial transcript of the “Birdman” director’s speech, which was originally published in English and in Spanish on Medium.com.

As a Mexican, I consider the honor I am receiving tonight a recognition to the whole Mexican community for their eminent hard work and vibrant cultural contributions made for years and years to the city of Los Angeles and the United States.

 

I have been extremely fortunate to shoot films around the world; sharing human experiences with different kinds of people, regardless of where we are from.

 

We are the only creatures on planet Earth that want to see ourselves in the mirror. Because we know we are the same, but we are different, we need to share. We need to see ourselves projected in other members of our species to, in turn, understand ourselves. Cinema, is that mirror. It is a bridge between the others and us.

 

Unfortunately, there are currently people proposing we build walls, instead of bridges. I must confess that I debated with myself, if I should bring up this uncomfortable subject tonight. But in light of the constant and relentless xenophobic comments that have been expressed recently against my Mexican fellows, it is inevitable.

 

These comments would be unacceptable if they were targeted against another minority, nevertheless, these millions of people do not have a voice or any rights  — even though they have lived here all of their lives.

 

These sentiments have been widely spread by the media without shame, embraced and cheered by leaders and communities around the U.S. The foundation of all this is so outrageous that it can easily be minimized as an “SNL” sketch, a mere entertainment, a joke.

 

But the words that have been expressed are not a joke. Words have real power; and similar words in the past have both created and triggered enormous suffering for millions of humans beings, especially throughout the last century.

Visit Medium.com to read Iñárritu’s speech in its entirety. 

Also on HuffPost: 

 

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The One Thing Bill Maher Loves About Donald Trump

On “Real Time With Bill Maher” Friday night, Maher led a panel discussion about the Republican presidential candidates’ greatest weaknesses, inspired by the question that opened the GOP debate Wednesday. 

While Maher has expressed clearly negative feelings about Trump in the past, he did reveal one thing he appreciates about the candidate.

“Trump [was] the only guy who was honest,” Maher said to his panelists. “He said, ‘I don’t forgive.’ I love Trump for that. He’s like, I don’t forgive. You fuck with me, I’m Vito Corleone, I will follow you back to Italy. I will find you in your old age and I will stick a knife in your stomach.'”

Back in September, Maher called out Trump’s ignorant comments about undocumented workers by channeling him in a segment jokingly telling Americans to rally against Australians “taking” our jobs. 

“Australia is not sending us its best people,” he said. “They’re bringing drugs — yes, enough for everybody, but still — they’re rapists — OK, not rapists, but they do a lot of fucking — and I assume some are good people.”

Sigh. It’s not too surprising that Maher had trouble finding something about Trump to like.

 

Also on HuffPost: 

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The One Thing Bill Maher Loves About Donald Trump

On “Real Time With Bill Maher” Friday night, Maher led a panel discussion about the Republican presidential candidates’ greatest weaknesses, inspired by the question that opened the GOP debate Wednesday. 

While Maher has expressed clearly negative feelings about Trump in the past, he did reveal one thing he appreciates about the candidate.

“Trump [was] the only guy who was honest,” Maher said to his panelists. “He said, ‘I don’t forgive.’ I love Trump for that. He’s like, I don’t forgive. You fuck with me, I’m Vito Corleone, I will follow you back to Italy. I will find you in your old age and I will stick a knife in your stomach.'”

Back in September, Maher called out Trump’s ignorant comments about undocumented workers by channeling him in a segment jokingly telling Americans to rally against Australians “taking” our jobs. 

“Australia is not sending us its best people,” he said. “They’re bringing drugs — yes, enough for everybody, but still — they’re rapists — OK, not rapists, but they do a lot of fucking — and I assume some are good people.”

Sigh. It’s not too surprising that Maher had trouble finding something about Trump to like.

 

Also on HuffPost: 

— This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.




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GOP Debate: Donald Trump Blasts ‘Ridiculous Questions,’ Mocks Opponents

Donald Trump reiterated his points on immigration one moment and took shots at other candidates the next on Wednesday night during the GOP debate on…
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The CNBC Republican Debate: Donald Trump, Carly Fiorina, Jeb Bush, And More Candidates Share Their Greatest Weaknesses

Tonight, at the third Republican debate, one of the moderators, Carl Quintanilla, pointed out that this series of debates is, essentially, "a job interview with the American people." And, he pointed out, "with any job…


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GOP Debate: Donald Trump Blasts “Ridiculous Questions,” Mocks Opponents


“That’s why he’s on the end,” Trump cracked about Ohio Gov. John Kasich during Wednesday’s CNBC event.

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Mike Huckabee Wore a Tie Designed By Donald Trump to The CNBC Republican Debate

While Republican Presidential Contenders Mike Huckabee and Donald Trump may not always see eye-to-eye, Mike Huckabee, Politician in Need of a Sharp Tie, and Donald Trump, Tycoon Who Designs and Sells Sharp Ties, seem to…


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Tony Robbins Explains How to Beat Trump

If you have been following my Master Wizard Hypothesis series, you know I called Tony Robbins the best hypnotist in the world. His job is motivating people to improve their lives, and apparently he is amazing at it. His persuasion skills trace back to famous hypnotist Milton Erickson, same as mine. Robbins has added lots of layers to that learning, but his understanding of how people are influenced is similar to my world view, and probably quite different from yours.

Many of you have asked me how to design a Linguistic Kill Shot that would take out Trump. I keep saying I don’t know how, because his defenses are so solid. His Trump persona can shake off almost anything.

But what does Tony Robbins think? Business Insider asked Robbins how Trump’s opponents can beat him. Listen to Robbins’ answer and tell me who he expects to be our next president.

Convinced yet? 

Oh, and I forgot to tell you I wrote a book that is relevant to the topic of our Moist Robot selves. 

Update: If you want to boost your blog traffic, try posting about Taylor Swift, followed closely by a post on how to keep Trump out of the White House. Traffic just spiked hard.


Scott Adams Blog

Live from New York! Donald Trump to host ‘Saturday Night Live’ on Nov. 7

The last time Trump hosted the NBC program was in April 2004.


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Does Trump Linguistically Engineer His Insults?

On October 1st, I blogged that Trump was starting to define Rubio as a “rube,” although Trump had not yet used that actual word (as far as I know). 

The human mind automatically connects things that are related. If you tell me a man named Rubio is easily duped (as Trump suggests), the word “rube” automatically pops into my head. When I first made the connection consciously, it felt to me (as a trained hypnotist) that I was experiencing persuasion, not coincidence.

Recently Trump ran a Rubio attack add that portrayed the senator as “little RUBE.” So there you go. Connection complete, but not until you were primed to accept it as something you were already thinking but had not yet found the perfect word to describe. 

I remind you that I am applying the Master Wizard filter on this situation for entertainment only while we see how well it explains the current data and predicts the future. If you want truth, that is probably at a different URL.

The Master Wizard filter says Trump’s insults are deeply engineered, and not random. And an insult that matches an opponents name as well as a personality trait (that Trump assigns) is engineered to be extra-sticky.

Rubio has also improved his wizard game, at least for his responses to Trump. Instead of going after Trump on policy differences (which would be a dry hole) we now see Rubio trying to portray Trump as an angry old man that Rubio likes to annoy just to watch him self-destruct.

Do you see where this is heading?

 Angry old man = “Get off my lawn!” = Trump’s deportation plan

Many of you asked me what would be an effective Linguistic Kill Shot against Trump. One approach would be to reduce Trump’s strong message to a silly absurdity and frame it as…

“Get off my lawn!”

But don’t worry about this linguistic kill shot making it into the campaign and changing history. By mentioning it here I take it off the table. My point is to show you how a linguistic kill shot could be engineered. 

And even this linguistic kill shot might not be enough against someone with Trump’s linguistic judo skills. He would likely embrace the label and reword it to proclaim he is the loudest voice for change, as he successfully did when an interviewer asked if he was a “whiner.”


Scott Adams Blog

Olivia Culpo Reveals Her Halloween Costume Picks: Cindy Crawford, Hillary Clinton and “Sexy” Donald Trump?!

When it comes to Halloween weekend, Olivia Culpo takes things very seriously.

With multiple parties to attend every year, many quick and memorable costumes are always needed at a…


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Tells for Cognitive Dissonance (with some Trump flavoring)

When a skilled persuader exerts influence on a large group, people will generally react in one of three ways.

20% Will be heavily influenced right away, and be happy about it.

60% Will be mildly influenced, over time, with repetition.

20% Will be unusually angry, comparing the persuader to evil dictators and the like.

Under the Master Wizard Hypothesis, the folks who are the angriest are having a reaction to the persuasion that violates their self-image, throwing them into cognitive dissonance. The 20% who are easily influenced without anger had no skin in the game, in the sense that they had not yet picked sides.

The tells for Cognitive Dissonance are many. Here are some I haven’t before mentioned.

Tell 1: Wow

When a pundit or stranger on the Internet starts a comment with “Wow,” as if shocked by an opinion, that is a tell for cognitive dissonance. That is anger disconnected from reason. People who have reasons for disagreeing offer them right away, because doing so is the strongest counter-argument. “Wow” usually indicates you are feeling persuasion that violates your self-image as a person with smart opinions.

The “wow” tell is a specific example of…

Tell 2: No specific criticism

When you see objections without reasons, as in “That is the dumbest idea of all time” it is a tell for cognitive dissonance. To be fair, some things are legitimately dumb. So this tell is less conclusive than “wow,” as far as I can tell.

Tell 3: So you’re saying…

When someone restates your persuasive and reasonable point as an absurd point in order to refute it, that’s a tell for cognitive dissonance. Look for a wrongly-restated argument that looks so wrong you think it must be intentional. But it is not always intentional. Often it is cognitive dissonance. 

Tell 4: Analogy Arguments

Analogies are useful for explaining new ideas the first time. But in the realm of debate, they can only make things worse because analogies are messy and subject to interpretation. Rarely does one rely on an analogy as the main argument when reason and data would do the trick.

The classic example is a Hitler analogy (Godwin’s Law). But any absurd analogy is an equally good tell.

Tell 5: Peering Into the Soul of a Stranger

When you hear someone say they can look into a persuader’s soul and see the evil intent – without the benefit of any actual evidence in the real world – that is almost always cognitive dissonance. That usually takes the form of accusations about sexism, racism, narcissism, and greed. Those are all inner thoughts.

You might be saying to yourself that what I call cognitive dissonance is plain old stupidity. I suppose it falls under the wide umbrella of stupidity, but it is a special flavor. Regular stupidity stays with you all the time. But the cognitive dissonance type is only activated when your self-image is violated by a persuasive argument.

With that in mind, consider the reactions to Donald Trump’s plans to secure the borders of the country, which is obviously the job of a president. You can dislike Trump’s stated plan (as I do) but when you see folks compare Trump to famous dictators and evil actors, that is usually a tell for dissonance.

Not convinced? 

If you have a friend who opposes a secure border with Mexico, ask that friend for some details of his plan that allows anyone to come in. How’s that plan work? That’s when he might say, “Wow. That’s the sort of question Hitler asked.”

Protecting the United States from foreign threats, both military and economic, is literally the job description of the President. You can hate the wall, and you can hate Trump’s deportation plan (as I do) but it is hard to argue that the president should ignore the office’s primary responsibility of protecting the country from military and economic threats. 

I remind you I am not smart enough to know who would be a good president. I think it all depends what kind of surprises the future holds, and I am not psychic. 

And about Trump’s deportation plan, if Trump is consistent with decades of Trumpness, that is just an opening offer. He doesn’t expect to deport those folks. But a good negotiator doesn’t START by conceding.

Ask yourself which is more likely: 1) An experience business person believes he can deport 11 million illegal immigrants and everything will work out fine, or 2) The most famous negotiator on the planet, who negotiates everything, all the time, is making an opening offer he expects to negotiate away.


Scott Adams Blog

‘Mexican Madonna’ Gloria Trevi — I’d Give Donald Trump a Second Chance, If … (VIDEO)

[[tmz:video id=”0_cekv9xmf”]] Gloria Trevi’s life story is so absolutely insane it became a movie, which she says brought her to tears — but the “Mexican Madonna” cracked up when we suggested she perform for Donald Trump.  Trevi survived one of the…

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Megyn Kelly Says She’d Have Donald Trump Back On Her Show

Megyn Kelly is tired of talking about Donald Trump.

The news pundit told PBS’ Charlie Rose on Wednesday night that Fox News didn’t want “any sort of war” with the GOP frontrunner.

“We don’t think that benefited the channel, we didn’t think it benefited me, and we don’t think it benefited Donald Trump,” she said. “And I think Donald Trump would say that now.”

Kelly said she is ready to “forge forward and try to put it behind us, not throw any more fuel on that fire.” She’s also willing to have Trump back on her show, “The Kelly File.”

The drama between Fox and Trump began during the first Republican debate when Kelly asked Trump about the many negative comments he’s made about women. Trump later blasted her performance and accused Kelly of having her period. For that he was criticized by everyone from fellow 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton to conservative pundit Erick Erickson. 

After Fox News cancelled a planned appearance on “The O’Reilly Factor” over the real estate mogul’s “stale and tiresome” attacks, Trump threatened to boycott the network. The hiatus only lasted five days, but the feud persisted. Fox News CEO Roger Ailes announced last month that he would be sitting down with Trump to discuss their differences, but the meeting ended up being cancelled. 

Related On HuffPost:

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Donald Trump Has Spent Years Trying To Prove He’s Not A ‘Short-Fingered Vulgarian’

Donald Trump is apparently still upset about a journalist criticizing his teeny-tiny fingers decades ago.

In his most recent editor’s letter, Vanity Fair Editor Graydon Carter criticizes Trump, whom he calls a “bully,” for having a thin skin. Carter recalls that over a quarter-century ago, he began referring to the business mogul as a “short-fingered vulgarian.”

The jab seemed to hit a nerve. Carter says Trump still sends him envelopes from time to time, trying to prove that his fingers are perfectly normal:

I almost feel sorry for the poor fellow because, to me, the fingers still look abnormally stubby. The most recent offering arrived earlier this year, before his decision to go after the Republican presidential nomination. Like the other packages, this one included a circled hand and the words, also written in gold Sharpie: “See, not so short!” I sent the picture back by return mail with a note attached, saying, “Actually, quite short.” Which I can only assume gave him fits. 

In an effort to obtain the truth, HuffPost has compared Trump’s fingers with baby carrots. See for yourself.

Trump has done plenty to drag out the feud with Carter, calling him “dopey” and “a loser with bad food restaurants.” (We assume his other kinds of restaurants are OK.) 

Read Carter’s full letter — titled “Why Donald Trump Will Always Be a “Short-Fingered Vulgarian” – here.

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SNL Highlights: Hillary Clinton Serves Up Her Best Donald Trump Impression As Taylor Swift Takes Over The World

SNL Highlights: Hillary Clinton Serves Up Her Best Donald Trump Impression As Taylor Swift Takes Over The World

SNL Highlights: Hillary Clinton Serve…
Hillary Clinton plays Val the bartender, Taylor Swift’s Squad-dominated dystopia, and so many orgasms.
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How Donald Trump Wins the Election (No Joke)

Don’t laugh. It’s not only possible, it’s probable. First of all, let us qualify our opening statement by noting that Trump doesn’t actually win the election for himself. Please, that’s not going to happen. Granted, we might have been gullible enough to include Sarah Palin as the vice-presidential candidate on the McCain ticket, but we ain’t stupid enough to elect a glorified frat boy as president.

But what Trump does do is win the damn election for one of his fellow Republicans — a Republican who, had Trump not been in the field, would have stood no chance against Hillary Clinton — and that little stunt is going to spell doom for us lifelong Democrats.

How it happens can be explained in two words: “Trump fatigue.”

Consider: The very things that have propelled Trump to the top of the polls (i.e., his refreshing candor, his no-nonsense approach to politics, his constant reminder that he’s too wealthy to be bought, and his tough talk about being a preternaturally accomplished “deal maker,” which is how he became so rich) will be the things that sink him.

Why? Simple: We will eventually tire of him. We will tire of Trump the same way a person tires of being served only dessert for dinner. The same way we tire of repetitious TV commercials. Because the man has no understanding of the basic policies and issues facing him — much less the remotest idea of how to address them — all he can do is spout generalities and provocative slogans.

And as this shortcoming becomes increasingly apparent, it will eventually lead to the Republicans reaching out for some “adult supervision,” and that “adult” will be Marco Rubio. He’s vaguely Kennedyesque; he’s got the hair, he’s got the ethnicity; he’s got Florida’s electoral votes, and he’s got the self-discipline not to shoot himself in the foot — which is why the “adult” won’t be the hapless Jeb Bush.

The beauty of Trump handing over the reins to Rubio lies in the public’s short attention span and its overwhelming willingness to switch to a fresh horse. By the time Rubio dashes to the front of the pack, Hillary will be seen to suffer from an affliction similar to Trump’s: “Hillary Fatigue.” Although it’s no fault of her own, she’s been in the spotlight too long.

Alas, it’s all in the timing and the presentation. Just as we finally choke (and eventually puke) on the narcissistic absurdity of Trump’s traveling carnival act, we’re going to be cloyed by seeing Hillary everywhere. Again, while it’s not her fault, being constantly presented as the Democrat’s presumptive nominee is not only going to work to her detriment, it’s going to open the door to a later arrival, some fresh face who hasn’t already worn out their welcome.

Rubio is biding his time. He will make his move when the timing is right, after the new year, after Trump has become yesterday’s news, and after we’ve all gotten used to Hillary’s line of rhetoric. Trump get Rubio elected. Get ready for the pain.

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Watch Hillary Clinton’s Donald Trump Impression on Saturday Night Live

The Saturday Night Live season premiere featured Miley Cyrus as the host and musical guest, but the biggest moment of the night didn't involve the oft-controversial star. No, the most talked-about skit actually involved a…


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Hillary Clinton Impersonates Donald Trump On ‘SNL’

WASHINGTON (AP) — Set ’em up, Hillary Rodham Clinton, and lend an ear to the troubles of a presidential candidate.

The front-runner for the Democratic nomination appeared on the season opener of “Saturday Night Live” as a wise bartender named Val who pours a drink or two for, ahem, Hillary Clinton (played by “SNL” regular Kate McKinnon).

 Most political candidates play themselves on “SNL,” often for just a cameo in a sketch or to declare the show’s famous tag line, “Live from New York — it’s Saturday night!” Seldom do they go all-out thespian and play a character in a sketch.

“So, Hillary,” Clinton asks McKinnon, “what brings you here tonight?”

“Well, I needed to blow off some steam,” McKinnon says. “I’ve had a hard couple of 22 years.”

 Asked what she does for a living, McKinnon says in imitation of Clinton’s earnest monotone: “First, I am a grandmother. Second, I am a human, entrusted with this one green Earth.”

“Oh,” Clinton says, “you’re a politician.”

And just who is Val? Clinton deadpans, “I’m just an ordinary citizen who believes the Keystone pipeline will destroy our environment.”

From there the skit poked gentle fun at Clinton’s slow opposition to the pipeline, her late-arriving support of gay marriage, and her inability to take a vacation. Notably absent was a crack about her private email server, the source of months of criticism from Republican lawmakers and candidates.

Speaking of Republican candidates, at one point Clinton — the real one — mimicked Donald Trump with a hoarse, throaty rendition of his dismissive statement, “Uh, you’re all losers.”

In a nod to the past, former cast member Darrell Hammond showed up on a barstool as Bill Clinton, who takes a look at Clinton and McKinnon and says, “My god, they’re multiplying!”

Overall, the skit was friendly toward Clinton and closed with the former first lady joining McKinnon in singing “Lean on Me.” Clinton had another role in the show — introducing the first musical number by host Miley Cyrus.

Republicans didn’t fare nearly as well as “SNL” began its 41st season. The opening sketch made fun of Trump and his wife, Melania, and a faux commercial pitched a pill that cures people of thinking they can be president — specifically low-polling GOP candidates Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Jim Gilmore.

Clinton has struggled at times to show herself as warm and personable with a sense of humor, qualities that have been valued in modern campaigns driven by broadcast media and now social media. The former secretary of state has already appeared this year on talk shows hosted by Jimmy Fallon and Ellen DeGeneres.

 

 

— This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.




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Hillary Clinton Impersonates Donald Trump On ‘SNL’

WASHINGTON (AP) — Set ’em up, Hillary Rodham Clinton, and lend an ear to the troubles of a presidential candidate.

The front-runner for the Democratic nomination appeared on the season opener of “Saturday Night Live” as a wise bartender named Val who pours a drink or two for, ahem, Hillary Clinton (played by “SNL” regular Kate McKinnon).

 Most political candidates play themselves on “SNL,” often for just a cameo in a sketch or to declare the show’s famous tag line, “Live from New York — it’s Saturday night!” Seldom do they go all-out thespian and play a character in a sketch.

“So, Hillary,” Clinton asks McKinnon, “what brings you here tonight?”

“Well, I needed to blow off some steam,” McKinnon says. “I’ve had a hard couple of 22 years.”

 Asked what she does for a living, McKinnon says in imitation of Clinton’s earnest monotone: “First, I am a grandmother. Second, I am a human, entrusted with this one green Earth.”

“Oh,” Clinton says, “you’re a politician.”

And just who is Val? Clinton deadpans, “I’m just an ordinary citizen who believes the Keystone pipeline will destroy our environment.”

From there the skit poked gentle fun at Clinton’s slow opposition to the pipeline, her late-arriving support of gay marriage, and her inability to take a vacation. Notably absent was a crack about her private email server, the source of months of criticism from Republican lawmakers and candidates.

Speaking of Republican candidates, at one point Clinton — the real one — mimicked Donald Trump with a hoarse, throaty rendition of his dismissive statement, “Uh, you’re all losers.”

In a nod to the past, former cast member Darrell Hammond showed up on a barstool as Bill Clinton, who takes a look at Clinton and McKinnon and says, “My god, they’re multiplying!”

Overall, the skit was friendly toward Clinton and closed with the former first lady joining McKinnon in singing “Lean on Me.” Clinton had another role in the show — introducing the first musical number by host Miley Cyrus.

Republicans didn’t fare nearly as well as “SNL” began its 41st season. The opening sketch made fun of Trump and his wife, Melania, and a faux commercial pitched a pill that cures people of thinking they can be president — specifically low-polling GOP candidates Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Jim Gilmore.

Clinton has struggled at times to show herself as warm and personable with a sense of humor, qualities that have been valued in modern campaigns driven by broadcast media and now social media. The former secretary of state has already appeared this year on talk shows hosted by Jimmy Fallon and Ellen DeGeneres.

 

 

— This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.




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The Trump Brothers Defend Donald Trump

The Trump Brothers Defend Donald Trump

The Trump Brothers Defend Donald Trump 1:45
Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. have only one thing to say about their father, Donald Trump — he’s great! Please don’t mention the bankruptcies, racism, or hair.
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One-on-One Match-ups – Trump Persuasion Series

Warning: This post will generate massive cognitive dissonance in some readers. If you think you can learn from that, please read on. If that prospect makes you uncomfortable, please don’t read it.

If you compare Donald Trump to whoever you have in mind as your ideal president, Trump probably comes up short. There are plenty of qualities one might want in a president that Trump doesn’t have. So I understand why people think he can’t get elected.

But Trump will not be running against anyone’s imaginary standard for president. He will run against real people. That’s where things get interesting. In my opinion, Trump only got serious about the presidency when he realized that the one-on-one match-ups all went his way. So let’s see how those match-ups look.

Here I am going to put a Trump filter on the opponents, meaning I will paint them the way Trump has, and will. That’s the best way to judge the head-to-head competition because the media will report every word Trump says.

Here are Trump’s competitors, as branded by Trump.

Rubio: Sweaty kid who lied about doing his homework while Trump built a business empire. Got “rolled over” on Obamacare, like a rube, in case you had not made that linguistic connection.

Clinton:

A “major security risk” and a grandmother who can’t do email right while Trump dominates Twitter. 

Carson: A doctor who is too nice to negotiate deals. The only job he created was for one nurse. (And for Carson to win, one must believe the Republican base wants 16 years of of continuous African-American presidents.)

Sanders: Can you win if you get zero Republican votes?

Fiorina: HP failure. Lucent failure. And of course, the “face” which many men interpret to mean her angry-wife persona. Compare that mixture of failure and anger to Trump’s business success (so he tells us) and positive message about America.

Bush: Low-energy, and yet another Bush. We already see how that is working out for Bush.

Biden: Biden says he isn’t sure he has the “emotional energy” to run. How does that match up against Trump? Ask Jeb Bush.

The rest: Career politicians. Trump will chain their corporate donors to them like anchors and push them off the boat to see how well they swim.

So there are your match-ups. Since I am still mostly alone in predicting a landslide Trump victory in the general election, please tell me which one of these match-ups you think Trump could lose.

I think this is another situation in which my degree in economics, along with my MBA, have wired me to think differently. The most important thing one learns when studying business and the economy is how to make valid comparisons. For example, one must always ignore sunk costs (the past) and one must compare all options to real alternatives, not to an ideal.

If you think Trump will lose, you are probably comparing him to an ideal you hold for what a president should be. If you believe he will win, you probably have a background in economics, or law, or engineering, and you have learned how to make valid comparisons to alternatives.

That’s your cognitive dissonance set-up. If you feel you are a rational person who knows how to weigh alternatives, let me know how any of the competitors could win in a one-on-one match-up with Trump.

If I did this right, and I am sure I did, I predict you will see the biggest mess of word-salad in the comments that you have ever seen. Roughly one-third of the comments to this post should make no sense whatsoever (as opposed to an opinion you simply disagree with).

And I remind you that I don’t know whether Trump would be a good president. I am not that smart. I just enjoy the show.

In Top Tech Blog, science is one step closer to being able to put your brain in a robot body. Check out this technology for letting paralyzed people type by thinking.

And what about the new technology that predicts where crime will happen before it happens? I call that a “map” but apparently there is more to it.

I always link to the Kindle version of my contrarian book about success but I wonder if this sort of book works best in paper form because it is an ideal gift for young employees. (See what I did there? I asked you to think past the sale. That’s a Trump trick.)


Scott Adams Blog

Running Against a Branding Wizard – Trump Series

Who thought they could beat a branding wizard in a political race? 

Ask Sweaty, Plenty, Nice, Robot, or Low-energy.

To be fair, Trump’s opponents have also branded him… as a person who speaks his mind and doesn’t pretend to know more than he does.

Let’s call that roughly equal.

By the way, labeling Rubio “sweaty” is a brilliant debate tactics for next time. If you are a person who perspires heavily on stage, the one thing you do NOT want to do is think about it on stage. Makes it far worse. Expect Rubio to be a flop-sweat mess at the next debate.

And my favorite Jedi mind trick that Trump used in the first debate was directed toward Rand Paul. Trump said, “You’re having a hard time tonight.” That is weapons-grade mindf*cking.

I haven’t mentioned Walker, but only because voters probably don’t know that he and Rubio are different people. As I watched the second debate, I imagined the viewing public wondering why Rubio sometimes looked handsome and sometimes goofy. They probably thought it was a lighting problem.

image

If your firewall is preventing my illegal comics from pretending to be residents in your corporate servers, you can usually find them seeking amnesty on Twitter at @ScottAdamsSays


Scott Adams Blog

Thinking Past the Sale – Trump Persuasion Series

Trump issued a series of five tweets in quick succession as a response to the controversy over the Obama-birther guy at the Trump event.

Why five tweets?

I assume the two-dimensional chess pundits will tell you it is a sign of desperation from a campaign that was always destined to flame out. Sure looks like a guy grasping at straws, right?

Maybe it is.

The Master Wizard Hypothesis has another filter on this. According to this way of thinking, Trump just made you think about which of several reasons you will choose to agree with him.

He made you think past the sale.

And to get there he said at least one, maybe two, things you agree with. That’s pacing. It is a tell.

On the Master Wizard scale, this was an A+ performance in engineered persuasion. Will it be enough?

Depends what the Master Wizard in the White House does next.

Reminder

I remind readers that the Master Wizard Hypothesis is for entertainment, not enlightenment. Truth is at a different URL. All we are doing here is seeing how well the data fits the hypothesis, especially for predictions. This is just for fun. And yes, I am forcing the data to fit the hypothesis. That is the whole point. You should do the same with whatever hypothesis you prefer as an explanation of Trump’s success so far. Then compare. None of this should be confused with science.


Scott Adams Blog

Kevin Spacey on Donald Trump, Leadership and Speaker of the House

WASHINGTON — If there was anybody who upstaged Kevin Spacey at his foundation’s fundraiser here Monday night, it was another Kevin: Rep. Kevin McCarthy, the man positioned to be the next Speaker of the House.
“I’ve known him since he was Whip,” explained Spacey. “I’m not surprised that everyone is talking about him. I knew four years ago that he would probably be the next speaker. I think he’s done it more rapidly than anyone in the history of Congress.”
Even Frank Underwood, Spacey’s incorrigibly ambitious alter-ego on the Netflix series “House of Cards,” may not have had such a swift ascent.
McCarthy, who helped Spacey research his role, sneaked into the Arena Stage theater, trying to remain incognito. But all eyes were on the Republican Majority Leader, especially when he embraced Spacey warmly. “I have no idea what suit he was wearing tonight,” Spacey joked to WWD.
McCarthy skipped the after party, where guests canoodled with Spacey (beige suit, tie clip, red socks) on an Indian summer evening. Rep. Steny Hoyer, another FOK (Friend of Kevin’s) cut out early too.
The Kevin Spacey Foundation, headquartered in London since its founding in 2010, enables young artists through grants and scholarships. This is the third year

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Trump And Fox News: A Tortured Romance

Trump And Fox News: A Tortured Romance

Trump And Fox News: A Tortured Romance 1:03
Donald Trump threatened to boycott Fox News, even though they go together like toupees and a false sense of superiority.
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Who is the Better Business Person – Trump or Fiorina?

The common wisdom goes like this:

1. Fiorina ruined HP and Lucent totally by herself yet made a fortune in CEO pay. Therefore, Fiorina is bad at business. She only makes money for herself, not the stockholders. Also, she eats employees and poops them out. 

2. On the other hand, Donald Trump is a successful entrepreneur across several lines of business. Therefore, he is the better business person.

But then you say…

3. “But what about Trump’s four bankruptcies? His partners lost money!”

Then someone with more than ten minutes of business experience says…

4. Trump had a diversified portfolio of holdings. Some were guaranteed to be better than others. So he did the smart thing and created separate entities that could fail individually, just like any stock investor with a diversified portfolio. Plus, banks and investors require that sort of separation as a requirement for funding. There really wasn’t a second way to do it.

But then you say…

5. “I saw a calculation that said Trump would be richer now if all he did was invest the tens-of-millions he got in inheritance in stocks. So he must be bad at business.”

Then I say…

6. Trump’s successful run for the presidency (if he succeeds) will make the Trump brand ten-times more valuable by the time he leaves office. The presidency is an investment for Trump in ways it would not be for anyone else. Becoming President, should it happen, makes the Trump brand valuable in perpetuity whereas otherwise it might have withered after his passing.

After you hear that last point, perhaps you think Trump is a far better business person than Fiorina. All she did was ruin HP and Lucent. At least Trump built some businesses and created jobs, even if several of his ventures could have worked out better.

Now I will convince you that Fiorina is Trump’s equal in business, as far as we can tell.

For starters, both Trump and Fiorina are capitalists operating within the rules of the system. The point of capitalism is to maximize your own gain, not the gain of your customers or your stockholders. We like to happy-talk about how everyone is in it as a team, but capitalism only works if we all know that to be a lie. The system works best when people pursue an enlightened selfishness that understands how things work. Here I am not judging capitalism; I am simply describing it. 

So, by the standards of business, and the rules of capitalism, Fiorina elbowed her way to the top of two enormous companies and walked away richer each time. That is an A+ performance under the rules of capitalism. 

Was Fiorina’s management bad for shareholders and employees? Maybe. But since we don’t know how another CEO would have performed in each of her situations we are left to imagine it. And then we confuse our biases with reason.

There’s a reason that science demands a control case. Without the control, test results have no meaning. Yet we think we can judge Fiorina’s job performance without a control. If there is no control, it ain’t science. And if it ain’t science, it is just guessing.

I know I haven’t changed your mind about Fiorina’s business skills yet. But I’m not done either. I was saving my best point for last. 

I call this move The High Ground Maneuver, and by now my regular readers are alert to this method of persuasion. Watch how powerful it is even though I pointed out my method in advance. 

— The High Ground Maneuver —

I say…

Every seasoned business person knows that failure teaches you more than success. Trump has had plenty of failures. He knows what they look like, he knows how to manage risk, and he knows how to recover. 

Likewise, Fiorina has been in the corporate cage-fights for years. One assumes she picked up some skills because – in case you haven’t noticed – she shook off all of that bad press from HP and Lucent and made herself a legitimate contender to lead the largest economy on the planet.

Is Fiornia bad at business? Maybe. But the scoreboard (her bank account and her surge in the polls) say otherwise. That is the only objective data we have. To say more would involve imagining how things would have gone at HP and Lucent without Fiorina. And your imagination is not evidence.

I say Trump and Fiorina are both super-hardened by failure. Both are at the tops of their games, and both are serious contenders for the presidency. Given the data at hand, if you don’t see Trump and Fiorina as equals in terms of business skills, you might want to have a talk with yourself about gender bias.

If you would like to learn more about how companies can extract value from failure, read The Other F-Word, by John Danner and Mark Coopersmith. They teach at Haas School of Business (Berkeley), where I got my MBA long ago. Now I work with them in the Berkeley start-up ecosystem. 

My book takes a similar view on failure, but in the context of the individual. 

In Top Tech Blog, whenever I see a story that says science has figured out a way to “mimic a spleen,” I get worried that the rest of my body will become worthless too. The spleen is like the canary in the colon. It always goes first.


Scott Adams Blog

Donald Trump Just Won’t Give Up His Birther Fantasy In Colbert Interview

Donald Trump has been coming under fire for refusing to distance himself from the “birther” movement he helped fuel, which claims President Barack Obama wasn’t born in the United States.  On Tuesday night’s “Late Show,” host Stephen Colbert offered the GOP frontrunner a chance to put the question behind him once and for all. 

“I’m going to throw you a big fat meatball for you to hit out of the park right now,” Colbert said. “This is the last time you’ll ever have to address this question if you hit the ball.” 

“I want to hear this one,” Trump said.

“Barack Obama, born in the United States?” Colbert asked.

When Trump hesitated, Colbert tempted him with the “meatball.”

“It’s a meatball, it’s hanging out there,” Colbert said, mimicking a batter’s home-run swing. “Right there — c’mon.”

But for Trump, it was a swing and a miss. 

“I don’t talk about that anymore,” he said.

“You don’t talk about it?” Colbert asked.  

Trump said he would rather talk about jobs and veterans, but Colbert cut him off. 

“The meatball is now being dragged down subway steps by a rat,” Colbert said, referring to the now-famous pizza-stealing rat. “You missed the meatball.”

The response is in line with what Trump offered on Sunday to a similar question on “Meet the Press.”

“I just don’t want to discuss it,” Trump told host Chuck Todd, calling it a “long, complex issue.”

After taping his Colbert appearance, Trump tweeted that the birther movement began with Hillary Clinton: 

FactCheck.org reports that while the issue was raised by diehard Clinton supporters in 2008, there is nothing to link Clinton, her campaign or her staff to the issue.

Trump is set to appear on national TV again on Sunday on “60 Minutes.”

Related On HuffPost:

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Trump Linguistic Kill Shot Alert!

Master Wizard Hypothesis Mode: ON

This just in … Trump is calling Fiorina “very robotic.”

How clever is that?

Let me count the ways.

Half of you just thought about Botox injections, didn’t you. 

Trump never said anything about Botox, and he clearly said Fiorina’s ACTIONS were robotic, not her looks. Specifically, Trump says she repeats the same memorized lines like a robot.

But I’ll bet many of you heard the word robot in relation to Fiorina and automatically thought of her stern, unsmiling face. Can that robot smile, you wonder? Does it have feelings like people?

Trump got that association in your mind for free. With total deniability.

This linguistic kill shot works on another level too. Remember my post about Obama, the Master Wizard, winking at Trump so hard it made Trump change his campaign slogan to “greater”? Obama did that to nudge Trump off his game, basketball-style. Obama leaned into him and put him off balance. Trump recovered, but you know it got into his head, as intended. 

Now we see Trump do the same basketball-style lean-in on Fiorina. When Trump called attention to her memorized performance he forced her to choose between changing to an uncomfortable new style or be ridiculed as a robot.

Once again, Trump has found a fresh word with no baggage in the realm of politics, yet the word is quotable and current. And it puts into language what you were probably feeling in a vague sense. It made your feelings real.

See a pattern yet? If so, you are seeing the Master Wizard Hypothesis come to life before your eyes.

If not, you may continue to believe Trump sprays random insults in every direction because he is a big, dumb, rich jerk. You could be right.

Unless there’s a pattern. And it keeps working.


Scott Adams Blog

“Nice Guy” – Part of my Trump Persuasion Series

The press is reporting that Trump is being uncharacteristically kind to Ben Carson. People seem confused about it. The press reports over and over that, Trump has gone so far as to call Carson a “nice guy.” 

This is quite a puzzler to the press. Why would Trump be so kind to this one challenger?

I hope all of you just shouted out the answer in your heads.

No, not that, you racists. The OTHER thing you just shouted in your head.

Right. That.

“Nice guy” is a linguistic sniper shot. It is engineered to take out its target without revealing where the shot came from. It is not a casual choice of words. It is deeply engineered.

Think back to my past posts about how Trump sets an anchor for any negotiation by staking out the extreme before you open your mouth. That way only Trump gets to decide where the middle is, should you later decide to meet halfway.

Now think about the two anchors Trump has offered.

One anchor is that Trump is worth $ 10 billion, even though observers are highly skeptical of that estimate. That’s the number that pops up now when you think of him, just as Trump planned. 

Trump has also branded himself as an experienced international business person, a tough negotiator in a world that needs just that, and a man who can’t be bought. 

The anchor Trump dropped on Carson is that Carson is a “nice guy.” The press picked it up and can’t stop repeating it. Repetition is persuasion. Trump deputized the winged monkeys in the media to repeat “nice guy” until it will literally be the only thing you think of when you see Ben Carson’s face. 

Hello, China! Here comes our nice guy to do some negotiating! You better run!

What are the first two words an American voter hears in her head after “Nice guys…”?

In America, a familiar saying is “Nice guys finish last.” If you are familiar with the saying, you probably automatically add those two words when you hear “nice guy.”

Remember, this is a long-distance linguistic kill shot. You aren’t supposed to know where the shot came from. The finish last portion of the thought is literally being created by you, in your head. And it rewires you with repetition. 

Did Trump intentionally rewire your brain so you would think of his rival as the   nice guy who always finishes last? 

Not as far as you know. All you saw was a flash in the distance and your head exploding a few seconds later.

On an unrelated topic, if your friend wants to set you up with someone who is “nice,” does that sound like a good thing to you? It does not. And if we are being honest, one-third of the public probably votes for whoever they find sexiest. If you were going to date Ben Carson, I’ll bet you would be impressed by his good looks (he really is a beautiful man) and probably his keen mind and good humor. What might be the ONE thing you worry about when you ask yourself if you will have good chemistry with this magnificent creature?

No, not that, you racists. I mean the other thing you are thinking. 

You wonder if perhaps he’s too nice. Because that looks weak. Too much niceness shouldn’t bother you, you tell yourself. But it does. Sex is more linked to power than niceness. Trump projects power. Carson projects niceness.

And Trump isn’t done. If the polls narrow too much, Trump might say…

“Ben Carson wants you to promote him from doctor to president.”

Ladies and gentleman, I give you Donald Trump.

Also keep in mind that Carson is still an option for Trump’s running mate. Trump wants him limping but not dead. I think it will either be Carson or Cuban on the Trump ticket. Trump wins it all with either one. But with Cuban it would be the biggest margin of victory in your lifetime.

History buffs will remember that Bill Clinton did a similar “nice guy” play on Bob Dole during their election cycle. Clinton made it clear that he liked Bob Dole. He even thanked Dole for his service to the country. Thanking Dole for his service makes you think of Dole in the past tense. It was a way to call him old and done. That was a linguistic sniper shot you did not see.

Scott


Scott Adams Blog

Wizard Attacks Wizard – The Trump Persuasion Series

If I told you that throughout American history some candidates for president “looked up” and another group “looked down,” would you be able to make a list of people in each group without a definition of those terms? 

Obviously President Kennedy looked up, literally to the moon, and all it represented. Reagan looked up to a shining city on a hill. Bush Senior looked up to a million points of light. 

Other candidates were arguably “looking up” in the sense that their messages were about something good ahead. Clinton wanted to build a “bridge to the future.” Obama was all about hope and change. And now Trump is about making America “great again.” All of that feels more up than down.

Now make a list of candidates that looked “down.” And by that I mean they were more about the details, and looking down to the actual work that needed to be done on the ground. Carter comes to mind, as does Bernie Sanders. If Gore had been elected president, I think he would have been looking down at the wiring, not up at the sky.

This up or down sense we share about the candidates is important because the up candidates generally win. And when a Carter or Nixon slips through the cracks, we wish we had picked more of an upper.

My point is that the “up” candidate has a huge advantage. And in the past our “outsider” candidates were more about complaining down than looking up.

John Anderson = down (budget talk)

Ross Perot = down (budget talk)

Jesse Jackson = down (race relations)

Trump is the first up-looking outsider I can think of.

That’s why an article about President Obama criticizing Trump’s slogan caught my eye. This was direct wizard-on-wizard fighting that one rarely sees, and I’m not sure everyone caught it.

Keep in mind that Obama has said he is staying out of the conversation during primary season, as sitting presidents do. But he still wants Trump to lose. You know that.

And today he signaled (according to the Master Wizard Filter) that Joe Biden is waiting on the sidelines and Obama plans to back him. But he did all of that in the context of talking about his administration’s success with the economy and healthcare, a halo that extends to Biden.

But what caught my eye was Obama picking up on Trump’s use of “again” in his “Make America Great, Again” slogan. Obama cleverly turned “again” into a a statement of "gloom and doom,” pointing out that America is great already. That was a strong wizard move, to use Trump’s own words against him to turn optimism into pessimism.

Notice that the wizards change who you ARE, as opposed to criticizing what you DO. Obama turned Trump from an optimist into a pessimist with a sentence or two. Brilliant.

But by debate time last night, Trump had already adjusted, and emphasized that he would make America greater. I think what we saw, according to the Master Wizard filter, was a tap on the shoulder from Obama to tell Trump the big wizard is only sitting on the sidelines as long as he needs to.

Update: This is a bigger deal than you think. All the Republican candidates, and much of the press, have been chipping away at Trump and trying to get him to backpedal, change, adjust, or apologize for anything. Trump never blinked. But with a few well-engineered sentences, uttered once, President Obama – one of the all-time great wizards of persuasion – made Trump reword his campaign slogan.

Yeah, that happened. Did you even notice?

People keep asking what kind of kill shot would take out Trump. My guess is that only Obama has the linguistic firepower to do it, and he is handcuffed at the moment because of primary season. Things will get interesting when Obama starts influencing from the sidelines. Then it’s a fair fight.

I predicted that Trump would soften his immigration plan over time. At the second debate, he talked about letting the non-criminal resident illegals back into the country according to some vague process. That is the start of the softening. Soon the “good ones” won’t have to physically leave, but might have to register and prove their value to the country in some fashion. That will be the next level of softening. Trump just can’t call it amnesty.

And I heard every candidate agree with the wall idea, including one call to use drones as part of the solution.

Funniest comment I saw from a civilian after the debates was that half of the male candidates on stage appeared to have low testosterone. That was my exact observation while watching. Without judging, my objective observation is that several candidates have an effeminate speaking style. I doubt that is a winning formula for a Republican.


Scott Adams Blog

Tom Brady says it would be 'great' if Donald Trump is next president

Tom Brady says it would be 'great' if Donald Trump is next president
ESPN.com – NFL

What's trending in the NFL: Brady endorses Trump and Jennings apologies to Eli

What's trending in the NFL: Brady endorses Trump and Jennings apologies to Eli
ESPN.com – NFL

Why Trump Insults People – Part of my Trump Persuasion Series

Today I will explain why Trump insults people. As usual, I will use the Master Wizard filter. That doesn’t mean this explanation is right. But compare it to the alternatives and see if the hypothesis fits the facts better. I remind you this is for fun, not insight.

If you don’t apply the Master Wizard hypothesis, you are probably confused why a grown man keeps insulting people in public. That seems like exactly the opposite of what Trump should be doing to appear presidential. What’s going on here? I mean, Trump seems reasonably smart, but according to 99.99% of the public, he is doing the same dumb thing over and over: insulting people.

Why?

Most of you probably assume he’s a big, dumb, racist, loose cannon, spouting off at his enemies, both real and imagined. Crazy!

Over at Reason.com, Nick Gillespie, writes that Trump’s insults are an example of “negging.” That’s what pick-up artists do. The idea is to tear down people’s egos and make them want to try hard to win your respect.

Frankly, I don’t understand the negging explanation. To me, it doesn’t make sense in the political context. But if I am being objective, I am also not the editor in chief of Reason.com, so the problem might be on my end.

Over at the Washington Post, Jennifer Rubin describes Trump’s actions in the context of bullying. But that doesn’t sound right to me because even his critics acknowledge that he is a counter-puncher. By my way of thinking, the person getting attacked first is not the bully.

The Master Wizard Hypothesis says Trump’s insults are not random, not negging, and not bullying. It is about math. I shall explain. But first, a story.

Back in my corporate days, I had a coworker who was famous for complaining loudly about the intelligence and competence of anyone who got in the way of her plans. She would talk about the low-performers to everyone who would listen, including that person’s boss, and the boss’s boss too.

On the other hand, if you did good work, she would often go to your boss and recommend that you get a raise or a promotion. And her opinion mattered because she was famous for hating dumb people. If she endorsed you as a capable employee, people took that seriously. She had credibility. (She also became the inspiration for my Alice character.)

Now let’s do the math.

If your baseline happiness is a 7 out of 10, and you get praised by someone important in your world, your happiness might go up to a 9, at least temporarily. That’s a two-point improvement.

But if someone insults your competence in front of your boss, that might take you down to a 5, which is a two-point decline. So the difference between a compliment and an insult (in front of your boss) is a full 4-point gap.

If Trump did not insult people, but sometimes praised them, he would be working with only a 2-point potential swing in how happy people can be when they please him. But if insults are a potential outcome – and Trump makes sure you know they are – you have a 4-point gap between pissing him off and pleasing him.

Trump is quick to point out that he only insults people who start it. (Although one assumes there are exceptions.) The result of Trump’s quick counter-attacks is to establish the 4-point gap between pleasing him and annoying him. No one wants a 4-point gap enemy.

Trump also has one weapon that no one else has: He is Trump. He has cultivated a persona for decades that allows him to be over-the-top without risk. So what works for Trump is not something you can use at home unless you have first established yourself as a tough-talking New Yorker. In that context, Trump’s insults sound almost normal.

If you are keeping score, this is one more situation in which the Master Wizard Hypothesis explains the data better than the alternatives. The Master Wizard hypothesis says Trump is a master of persuasion and sets up the 4-point gap intentionally. But are people really that calculated and that consistent with insults over a lifetime?

All I can tell you is that I am. Intentionally.

Ever wonder why I go hard at my haters online instead of ignoring them like a sane adult? Same reason. I want a 4-point gap to work with. The trade-off is that I look like a petulant child while responding to haters. I accept that trade-off in return for maintaining my 4-point gap.

Does it work? Actually, you are good judges on that question.

You have seen me eviscerate idiots in the comments on this blog. And you have seen me compliment people who make smart or funny observations. Do my compliments feel more powerful because you know the opposite could have happened?

To be clear, I distinguish between the insults that are usually counter-punches and the Linguistic Kill Shots that are engineered for strategic purposes. The latter have different purposes, according to the Master Wizard Hypothesis.

Scott

Bonus thought: After reading some of Bernie Sanders’ policy ideas that sound good on paper but don’t pencil out for the budget, I think the best kill shot for him would be “confused.” To be fair, every politician will be recommending impractical policy ideas, including Trump. But see how the word “confused” seems to fit Sanders more than it does any of the other candidates? That’s what makes it sticky. And you have never seen that word used in a political context, so it has no baggage of its own.

In Top Tech Blog, now you can “feel” a prosthetic limb. If that works, I might want to replace the ones I have and go full bionic.

Have I mentioned my book? It is full of words and sentences and whatnot. If you read it, I will love you. If you do not read it, you are a terrible person. (See what I did there?)

Update: This is my Google Analytics map showing people reading this blog an hour or so after posting today. Normally there would be traffic from all over the globe no matter the time of day. My blog traffic is up about five-fold since I started discussing the Master Wizard Hypothesis, but obviously this is not resonating overseas. I apologize to my non-U.S. readers for this Trump diversion and I hope you circle back when this silliness subsides. Not sure when he will stop entertaining us over here.


Scott Adams Blog

The Trump Versus Sanders Match-up: Part of the Trump Persuasion Series

Smart people tell me that Bernie Sanders is the Democratic Party’s best hope for beating Donald Trump. Some say Sanders has sensible ideas based on models that have worked elsewhere. He reminds us of the angry yet lovable uncle we now realize has been right all along. We wish we had paid attention to Bernie instead of allowing ourselves to be distracted by Kardashians and Trumps. 

Supporters of Bernie Sanders say his insider experience matched with his outsider mentality, his ability to speak truth, his compassion for people, and his fighting spirit are exactly what this country needs. I have no reason to disagree with any of that. I can see the appeal. But I haven’t looked into any of Sanders’ actual ideas. And I wouldn’t be psychic enough to know how good those ideas are anyway.

But I don’t think it matters.

I have been blogging about Trump’s linguistic mastery, but he is also a wizard at visual imagery and branding. And he knows a thing or two about strategy. If history is our guide, Trump only achieved a full boner for the presidency when three conditions were met:

1. Trump got a strong start in the polls because of name recognition. (Check)

2. Trump’s brand value and International influence would increase even if he did not go all the way. (Check)

3. Trump had some sort of natural match-up advantage over each individual in the field. In other words, the chess board was set for a win. (Check)

By traditional political reckoning, one could argue that Bernie Sanders is an exceptionally strong “outsider” candidate in an election where the common wisdom says the public wants an outsider. You would expect a close race if Sanders and Trump squared off at the end.

But on the third dimension of chess that Trump plays, Sanders is extraordinarily disadvantaged compared to Trump. The third dimension is the irrational connections you make in your mind, often engineered by Master Wizards, but in this case one that occurred naturally and Trump recognized the opening.

I’ll show you what I mean. And you should stop reading here if you do not want to be permanently influenced. This is a real warning. You can’t unsee what follows.

—- influence starts here —-

When you think of Sanders, or Trump, you have one image in your mind for each that is some average of the photos and videos you have seen. But you also reflexively associate each candidate with a variety of other images based on associations you have picked up over time.

For example, when you think of Trump, you also automatically associate him with a variety of images he has carefully cultivated in your mind for decades. Here are a few images you reflexively associate him with.

Trump Image Association one (his name is right on it)

Trump Image Association two (check out his suit colors)

Trump Image Association three (and the obvious)

Yes, Trump literally dresses in American Flag colors, and has for decades. Love him or hate him, his entire visual vibe is oriented toward power, success, and country.

Then we have Bernie Sanders. This is where we have the match-up problem. When you think of Bernie Sanders, what visual associations automatically jump into your head? Don’t click the next link until you have that secondary image in your head. Remember, this is not what Sanders looks like, rather just the reflex association that springs to mind, the way money springs to mind with Trump.

When I think of Bernie Sanders, here’s the image I see.

I’m not kidding. And I apologize for even mentioning it, but it is central to explaining this prediction:

Prediction: If Sanders is the Democratic nominee, Trump will win with 65% of the popular vote. And pundits will wonder why the voters ignored sensible leadership in favor of the spectacle that is Trump.

For more on the Moist Robot view of the world, you can read my book about success.

In Top Tech Blog, check out the latest in tech advances. It’s a good way to know what is coming.


Scott Adams Blog

The Daily Beast Reports on My Trump Posts

The Daily Beast called me this morning to talk about my Trump Master Wizard Hypothesis. This article is the result.

Was it a good idea for me to mention Jesus? Give me some PR advice.


Scott Adams Blog

Ivana Trump Sizes Up Donald Trump’s Presidential Bid

Who better than an ex-wife to set the record straight about a presidential candidate? Before Dennis Basso’s show Tuesday at Moynihan Station, Ivana Trump pegged “The Donald” as a winner and said she actually gave him the nickname.
With three children — Donald, Ivanka and Eric — and what was a 35-year marriage until their 1992 divorce, the Trumps would appear to have supportive roles in each others’ lives, at least based on the first Mrs. Trump’s account. (The presidential candidate is now married to his third wife, Melania, and his daughter Tiffany by his second wife, Marla Maples, was also at the Basso show.)
RELATED STORY: Front Row at Dennis Basso Spring 2016 >>
Ivana Trump, a former Czechoslovakian skier, isn’t offering her ex any pointers for his political fight. “We speak, but he does what he wants to do. But he can handle it,” she said. “I don’t really offer advice. He’s doing his own thing. Nobody can tell him anything.”
She is banking on the former host of “The Apprentice” to be victorious come November. “I think he can win, because he would run the country as a businessman. The country has to be run as a business, and he can

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Can You Handle The Trump Sandwich?

Can You Handle The Trump Sandwich?

Can You Handle The Trump Sandwich? 2:57
Sandos is now offering all your favorite political candidates as sandwiches. Hope you’re ready for the Tower of Trump!
Submitted by: Funny Or Die
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2-D Chess Players Take on a 3-D Chess Master (Part of my Trump Persuasion Series)

Republicans have narrowed down their strategy options for destroying Trump. They started by creating a list of all the possible strategies that anyone could imagine. Then they eliminated all of options that were certain to work. In the next phase they eliminated all of the options that might work. What was left is four options that absolutely will not work. And that’s what they are going with. The people who compiled this list of strategies are the folks who want to run the country.

If you have been reading my series on Trump and his linguistic kill shots, you will see no persuasion skill whatsoever in the Republican plans for “reframing” Trump. 

On a related point, you probably saw some news yesterday about Mark Cuban saying he could beat any of the presidential candidates if he were to run for president. That’s how you test the public’s reaction to a Trump/Cuban ticket. Cuban can’t say he would make a great vice president. It is smarter to say he would make a great president. Let the voters decide that Cuban needs 4-8 years of seasoning before he is ready. That way the public can own the “decision” he is putting in their heads.

If the media and the polls react favorably to Cuban’s statements about running for president, it opens the door for him to be on Trump’s ticket later. So this is just a test balloon. And that is the normal way these things are done. The VP (or potential VP in this case) is the trial-balloon person. That is a basic game plan in politics. I’m not sure the public knows that.

And one assumes Cuban and Trump and talking, via Cuban’s confidential app, Dust.

Bill Maher is cranking up the outragism on the left to try and derail Trump. Maher’s association with the Huffington Post eliminates any shred of credibility he once had, but he still gets a lot of attention. Apparently the racism argument against Trump is largely based on one poorly-formed sentence he uttered that one time. Some observers interpreted the sentence to mean Trump was saying Mexicans are (mostly?) rapists. People who are not in cognitive dissonance figured it was just his usual exaggerated style of speaking.

Personally, I would start worrying about Trump’s racism if his tens-of-millions of opponents can find somewhere in his vast history of public comments at least one more vague sentence that sort of somewhat bothers someone when seen out of context. It must be there. Keep looking, Bill! You got the Huffington Post on your side! Together you will rule the irrelevant issues!


Scott Adams Blog

“Sorry, Donald Trump, But You’re Not Michael’s Type” By Michael Stipe

Sorry, Donald Trump, But You’re Not Michael’s Type By Michael Stipe

"Sorry, Donald Trump, But You’re Not …
As payback for using his song, Michael Stipe unleashes the ultimate Michael Stipe zinger on Donald Trump.
Submitted by: Michael Stipe
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Keywords: donald trump trump rally trump R.E.M. trump REM michael stipe michael stipe donald trump end of the world as we know it end of the world as we know it lyrics iran deal tea party rally ted cruz michael stipe twitter trump twitter losing my religion trump bald TFW comedy award winning comedy LOL too funny
Views: 15,424

Funny or Die | Funny Videos, Funny Video Clips, Funny Pictures

Donald Trump — Miss Universe Organization … It’s All Mine Now

Donald Trump has settled his legal disputes with NBCUniversal and Univision by using his best resource … money, money, money. The Donald just announced he bought out NBC’s half share of the Miss Universe Organization … making him 100%…

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Watch Donald Trump get ‘reflective’ on ‘The Tonight Show’

Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump appeared on “The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon” on Friday, and at times it felt like we were seeing double.


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Jimmy Fallon Impersonates Donald Trump While Interviewing Donald Trump

When Jimmy Fallon announced that Republican front-runner Donald Trump was coming to the show Friday, you knew it was going to be big. But this was huuuuugggeee.

Fallon started off the visit by impersonating Trump to his face as the two pretended to be reflections of each other. Then Trump got down to business, discussing his policies. And by that, we mean talking about his looks, throwing out Gary Busey‘s name for Supreme Court justice and perhaps even choosing Kanye West as his running mate.

Yep. That sounds about right.

It was classy, fantastic and, of course …

Image: YouTube

Also on HuffPost:

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Comedy – The Huffington Post
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Donald Trump Finally Explains Why He Doesn’t Apologize

If any of the presidential candidates have something apologize for, eh … it’s probably Donald Trump. But don’t expect to hear a “sorry” anytime soon.

“I fully think apologizing’s a great thing, but you have to be wrong,” Trump told Jimmy Fallon on his show Friday.

“This is unbelievable,” laughed Fallon. And it is. 

During his brief time campaigning, Trump has managed to mock fellow candidates about their looks, publicly attack Fox’s Megyn Kelly over “unfair” questions during a debate and incense millions with his polarizing views on immigration.  

Yeah, that’s pretty unbelievable. In Trump’s defense, however, he did say if he was ever wrong, he would apologize “sometime in the hopefully distant future.”

So, yeah, we’ll probably all be dead by then, but at least that’s something.

“The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” airs weeknights at 11:35 p.m. ET on NBC.

Also on HuffPost

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Comedy – The Huffington Post
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Trump Criticizes Ben Carson, Says He Doesn’t Have ‘Energy’

BOONE, Iowa (AP) — With Rick Perry out of the Republican race for president, Donald Trump on Saturday focused his barbs on another opponent in the crowded field of primary candidates, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.

In polls in national and early-voting states, Carson is second only to Trump. He recently cast doubt on the real estate mogul’s religious faith, questioning his “fear of the Lord,” then backed off the comment and would not repeat it.

“You don’t hit a person on faith,” Trump told hundreds of people at a rally in Boone.

“I don’t know him. He knows nothing about me. I’m protestant, I’m Presbyterian, I believe strongly, believe in the Bible strongly. But he hit me on my faith. No, I believe strongly. You don’t hit a person on faith. And he was nice enough to apologize.”

Trump, who has made a practice in public appearances and interviews of listing those he says have wronged him, told the crowd that he doesn’t think Carson could negotiate effectively with world leaders.

“I don’t think Ben has the energy,” Trump said. “Ben is a nice man, but when you’re negotiating against China and you’re negotiating against these Japanese guys that are going to come against you in waves, and they think we’re all a bunch of jerks ’cause our leaders are so stupid and so incompetent and so inept, we need people that are really smart, that have tremendous deal-making skills and that have great, great energy.”

Trump traveled to Ames, where Iowa State hosted rival Iowa for a football game that is one the state’s largest single-day gatherings. Although he had been scheduled to mingle with tailgating fans outside of Jack Trice Stadium and talk at the Iowa Republican Party tent, he instead went inside the stadium to meet with Iowa State President Steven Leath. He later posed for photos with fans and cheerleaders as he walked around the field’s perimeter.

Three other Republican hopefuls met with tailgating fans — Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and Sens. Rand Paul of Kentucky and Marco Rubio of Florida.

Walker waded through the throngs of crimson-wearing Iowa State Cyclone and black-and-gold-clad Iowa Hawkeye fans, unrecognized by many. Ben Larsen, who drove three hours from Blair, Nebraska, to see candidates, shook Walker’s hand and smiled, though he later said, “I’m more a Rubio guy.”

Hours earlier, Rubio told reporters that Perry “is a good man” and “I’m sure he’s not done serving our country.” A day earlier, Walker made a more public pitch for Perry’s supporters while campaigning in eastern Iowa.

Perry said Friday evening that he was suspending his campaign.

Copyright 2015 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

 

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Who is Smarter – the Smart People or the Dumb People? – Part of My Trump Persuasion Series

Today I will create cognitive dissonance in about 25% of my readers, assuming past patterns hold. Please do not read further if you don’t like those odds. 

While the title of today’s post sounds like nonsense, that question is one of the biggest debates in the country now because of Donald Trump. The wording is different everywhere, but the idea is the same: Smart people believe smart people are smart. Dumb people believe dumb people are the real smart ones. 

They can’t both be right. I’ll help you sort it out.

On one side we have the self-described smart people. These folks will tell you that a rational person can learn about political issues, with a little effort, and thus make a meaningful contribution to the democratic process. All one must do is be open to all points of view and do some independent research to fact-check the professional media. You don’t need to be an expert because most issues boil down to a few key factors, and you can understand those few things.

That sounds smart to you, right?

The dumb people – who have been labelled such by the smart people – are the ones who vote for whoever says what the dumb people want to hear, or whoever makes them feel good. This group is more about emotion than reason.

Dumb, dumb, dumb. I am ashamed to be in the same country with people who refuse to use their brains. DUUUUMB!

You agree, right?

Good, because that’s the set-up for the cognitive dissonance. You just hardened your sense of identity as a smart, rational person who believes an informed citizen can make a meaningful contribution to the system.

Now let’s talk about investing. Same conversation, but changing from politics to finance. Which of these two people seems smarter to you?

1. A stock investor who does his own research so he can find great values, 

or…

2. An investor who buys a stock index fund and settles for an average return.

I am sad to say some of you will pick the first one. But it is a myth that individuals can sort through the lies and misinformation that companies produce as source data and convert all of that into good decisions. Every study on the topic tells us that individual investors are deluded idiots. And people who invest in managed mutual funds are only slightly better. (Okay, maybe worse.)

In the investment world, the person who understands that the available information is not credible is the smart one. That person plays the odds correctly and invests in an indexed mutual fund with low fees. Every study says that is the smart play.

Most of my readers already know that what I just said about investing is true. And unlike most topics, this one really does not have well-informed critics. All informed people hold the same view: Individuals should not do their own research and buy stocks based on that research.

But you still think smart people can research political policy options and come to reasonable and useful conclusions… even though you observe that half of the population disagrees with the other half no matter how much research anyone does.

Cognitive dissonance should be hitting some of you hard right now. If you feel unusually angry and determined to reply, that’s a tell. Or a false-positive. One can never be 100% sure.

The popular media is staffed mostly by writers and art majors and other people who tend to believe in magic. It is no surprise that they don’t see how absurd it is to expect citizens to have useful opinions based on the misinformation that that same media provides around the clock.

Seasoned investors, on the other hand, have learned to be more humble. They know there is no amount of research that can convert unreliable data into reliable decisions. My guess is that this group of professionals support Donald Trump in large numbers because they are smart enough to know the limits of their own reason when applied to inaccurate baseline assumptions and sketchy data.

My point is that if you find yourself mocking Trump supporters (or Republicans in general) because they have some distance from the issues, you are probably the dumb one in that conversation no matter how your education and IQ compares with your intended targets.

And if you believe you can make intelligent decisions on politics based on inaccurate information and lies, why aren’t you already rich from doing the same thing with stocks?

I’m a big fan of voting (when other people do it, not me) because it gives people a sense of ownership in the process. So please vote. But don’t confuse that with being psychic. 

—–

Top Tech Blog: Graphene seems like it will change everything. How do I invest in that stuff? (Answer: Index fund)

—-

My book on systems versus goals will probably get more attention when people realize Trump is a systems thinker. He follows the odds without always having one specific goal in mind. Recently Trump made his brand so powerful that a lot of folks thought he should be their leader, just because, well, Trump. Under the “goal” view of the world, Trump failed three times to become president, so you assume he will fail again. But the “systems” view says Trump failed toward better odds each time, largely on purpose. And here we are.


Scott Adams Blog

A Demonstration of Persuasion – Part of my Trump Series

Today, as a demonstration of persuasion, I am going to show you one way Donald Trump could convince you to support his immigration plan, even though I don’t support the plan myself. (But I also believe it is a negotiation anchor, not a real plan in its current form.)

Some of you already love Trump’s immigration plan as is. I’m not talking to you today. And I probably won’t be making my case the way you make yours, so assume I’m not on your side either.

Today I’m talking to the skeptics who believe it is impossible to seal the border for less than a trillion dollars (give or take) and that it would be inhumane to deport 11 million people. You folks have a strong, common-sense argument. But I’m going to show you that Trump could persuade you to support his immigration plan before it is all said and done. And it won’t be that hard.

I am not making a specific prediction on Trump’s immigration plan, or how he handles it going forward, because there are a million directions it could go. The point today is to imagine he could get you on board, and easily. So this is more of a brain exercise than a discussion of policy.

Assuming Trump is being consistent with 100% of his history, as well as his best-selling book on the topic of negotiating, his immigration plan is a first offer, and an anchor to make whatever deal he finally makes seem entirely reasonable. To believe Trump’s first offer is his final plan is to believe Trump changed his most fundamental belief about negotiating when it mattered most. Does that seem likely? (If you said yes, you probably have some cognitive dissonance that makes you believe he must be a racist.)

For the record, I do not know what is in the man’s mind. But what I see is a guy doing the same thing he always does and the public putting a new interpretation on it. This time, say the critics, he is abandoning his lifetime pattern of negotiating with an extreme opening offer just so he can be terrible to brown people. 

Well, maybe. Like I say, I don’t know what is in the man’s head. But when a duck walks and talks like a duck all of its life, I don’t know how this one time you say he must be a beaver unless cognitive dissonance is part of the answer.

You might say Trump is just trying to get the nomination with his hard line views on immigration. Then he will soften his stance in the general election, and perhaps again as president if he wins. That too would be consistent with a Trump that knows strategy and plays to win.

But in that view, you agree with my notion that his current plan is not the real plan and was never intended to be so.

Here’s where it gets interesting.

Follow me on this train of thought:

Let’s say Trump picks Mark Cuban as VP. (Already seems likely.)

Then let’s say Trump assigns the immigration issue to Cuban, with these instructions:

Bring me THREE plans, after you have your team of experts and economists study them thoroughly. The three plans should include:

1. The original Trump plan (with estimates of cost, human suffering, etc.)

2. A plan originated by the concerned Latino community that secures the borders (because countries need borders) and deals humanely with the 11 million Mexican citizens already living in this country.

3. A “Do nothing” plan that is whatever would happen if Trump had not brought up the issue. This too would include estimates of social costs.

Trump is the only potential president who could simply change his mind mid-stream because of new data or a better idea. No one else could survive a so-called flip-flop. Trump would be praised for it. And all he would be doing is business as usual. Business people generally want to see 2-3 plans with detailed cost estimates. Then they choose the best one. Trump can do that, even if it means departing from his original plan. No regular politician can do that.

And if Mark Cuban is behind the numbers on all three plans, do you trust him?

Probably. I mean, cost estimates are always iffy, but you know Cuban wouldn’t be trying to screw anyone intentionally. He doesn’t need to. He doesn’t even need the job.

And if Trump is fully transparent about his reasons for picking some modified (negotiated) immigration plan, how mad can you be, even if he picks the plan you didn’t love so much?

It is hard to hate a reasonable person who shows his work. And part of you only wants to live in a country that can do that sort of thing: Be smart, use data, change your plan when you need to. It feels like the future.

Realistically, the only way to solve the immigration problem is to talk extremely tough now, as Trump is doing, to keep the flow of new illegals under control. The incentive to immigrate is far lower if the odds of being shipped back are higher. That threat has to feel real, and Trump is selling it.

In other words, Trump has probably already slowed illegal immigration just by talking tough. There really is no alternative to tough talk about deportation if you are also talking about a wall. You don’t want to trigger a huge wave of new illegal aliens trying to get into the country before the wall is done.

Now let’s talk about that “wall” that is not a wall at all. Realistically, what we are talking about is sealing the border using whatever works for each area. Sometimes a fence will do it. Sometimes you need armed border guards. Sometimes you might need a bad-ass wall. So “wall” in this context just means sealing the borders somehow.

And one of those ways to seal a border might include a permanent force of drones and robots, at least for key spots along the border where a wall is either too expensive or not good enough. The drones and robots don’t need to stop everyone. If they catch most of the folks trying to cross the border, that should be enough to discourage all but the most motivated.

Once we test our drones and robots on our own borders, we will have the baseline technology for building a “digital fence” around ISIS someday that keeps the angry men in, allows the women and children to filter out if they want, and blocks all digital signals into the caliphate.

How long does ISIS last without women and without access to modern communications? 

Who cares? All we care about is allowing the women and children out if they ask. The long term Trump goal could be a country full of bearded, angry, masturbating men with no oil money and no modern technology. And we could toss any additional loose jihadists into the caliphate no matter what group they belonged to.

Experts say you can’t kill an idea with bombs. But you can sure kill an idea with a good wall. A wall, digital or otherwise, allows you to observe whether things are going better on one side or the other. Let the Caliphate full of bearded angry men build their perfect society. Then, in twenty years, compare it to Trump’s exclusive country club called America that is attracting all the top tech talent from everywhere. 

That’s how you kill an idea. You put a wall around it and let it play out. No argument needed. The idea kills itself.

So how does the United States pay for its border with Mexico? Trump says he will make Mexico pay for the wall. You laugh at that. Ha ha! Why would Mexico pay?

Now I will make you believe Mexico could pay for a wall. Or some of it.

Imagine Trump saying we will fast-track to citizenship any Mexican resident with tech skills or even top grades in school. Imagine Trump saying we want all of the top talent from Mexico. All they need to do is walk up to the border and show their high school or college transcripts with top grades. (And maybe take a 15-minute randomized test just to confirm.)

How does Mexico stop the brain drain then?

They build a wall.

And how does the United States pay for an army of drones and robots guarding our border (in spots) until Mexico builds their own wall? We don’t. We make the manufacturers of those technologies use it as a testing ground, in anticipation of getting big international contracts for sealing off ISIS and other borders elsewhere. Drones patrolling borders is going to be a big thing, everywhere. And we want American companies to own as much of that business as possible.

And what of the 11 million illegal residents? If we get the wall, we don’t need to worry so much about deportation because assimilation gets you to the same place over time. And I expect to see some sort of “pay for citizenship” deal that allows illegals to buy their way into the country in a variety of ways, assuming they have been law-abiding residents for years. American citizens would respect that. Fairness, after all, is the main issue. 

Oh, and about the racist thing. If Trump says he wants MORE Mexicans, not fewer – but only the top talent – how racist does that sound to you now?

Did I change any minds?

Scott

Have you checked out Top Tech Blog? I love that stuff.


Scott Adams Blog

Trump Engineers a Linguistic Kill Shot for Fiorina

Disclaimer: For new readers, this is part of my series on Trump’s skills as a persuader. I am analyzing events through the filter of my Master Wizard Hypothesis. The Master Wizard Hypothesis says that Trump is playing three-dimensional chess with a two-dimensional world and he will win the presidency in a landslide. (The alternative hypothesis is that he is nothing but the loudest “outsider” and will flame-out soon.)

I don’t know which candidate would do the best job as president. I am not that smart. But I am impressed with Trump’s game. I write about it for entertainment. Don’t take cartoonists too seriously.

——

The Fiorina Linguistic Kill Shot: “Look at that face!”

This morning I see that the press is playing rusty trombone on Rolling Stone’s article about Trump and his unkind comments about Carly Fiorina’s appearance. The press is furiously trying to manufacture news out of the quote and doing a good job of it so far.

You won’t appreciate the beauty of Trump’s game until you read the entire article, and that takes too long. But if you do, look for a Master Wizard making a Rolling Stones writer fall in love with him while setting up the writer to transmit the Fiorina kill shot embedded in a sexist-sounding comment. 

And the Outragists danced and shouted. As planned.

See the search results on Trump’s linquistic kill shot this morning, below the post here.

All of the chatter from the Rolling Stones article will be about whether Trump’s comments were sexist or not. True to form, Trump is making all of us think past the close. The sale in this case is the idea that Fiorina’s face will be a problem with voters. We accepted that part of his suggestion and went directly to the idea of whether mentioning it is okay or not.

Yeah, that happened.

A kill shot is designed with one necessary element to distinguish it from a mere insult. The kill shot has to put words to what you were already thinking in a vague sense. If you disagree with the main idea in the linguistic kill shot, it has no power. Trump only picks kill shots you agree with on some visceral level. For example…

Jeb Bush does look “low energy.” We agree as soon as Trump says it, even if we had never had a concrete thought about it until he voiced it.

Ben Carson does seem “too nice” for the difficult job of staring down foreign leaders. We agree.

And I’m going to come right out and agree that Fiorina’s face was bothering me. But I never would have voiced that opinion without Trump going first because it sounds terrible. I wouldn’t want to be associated with the thought. [Note to Outragists: The first sentence in this paragraph is the one to take out of context. You are welcome.]

When I say Fiorina’s face bothers me, I am not referring to her looks in general. She looks fit, stylish, and attractive to me. But she does have what I call the angry wife face when she talks politics. Guys, you know the face, which is usually paired with a tone of disapproval. It is your greatest nightmare. It is the face that says you did not do a good job, at whatever.

The outragists in the press will report Trump’s comments as sexism. And by today’s standards, I agree with the classification. But what every adult male who has ever had a relationship with a woman saw was Trump putting words to their own personal nightmares: That face.

Trump will never win over voters who would be incensed by his “sexist” comments. But he can stir-up that crowd and make them carry his message to the rest of the world without paying a penny for ads.

I have no way of knowing this, but I think most voters see a guy competing in a beauty contest and commenting on the beauty of another contestant. People do cast their votes based on looks, and that includes the attitude that a candidate’s face projects. The physical appeal of the candidates – both men and women – is a HUGE factor in any political race. That’s why we don’t elect short, bald, male presidents. It works both ways. Trump spoke the ugly truth. 

My guess is that the majority of American voters chuckled at Trump’s comment and muttered to themselves some version of “We don’t have to worry about him lying to us.” 

And his popularity grows.

image

Bonus Thought: Trump seems to be about systems that improve his odds in a variety of ways, as opposed to moonshot-like goals. My book explains how to improve your odds the same way.

And one reader says it boosted his energy…

And are you reading Top Tech Blog every day after this? It makes a good finisher.


Scott Adams Blog

Hey, Donald Trump, If You’re Going to Insult Carly Fiorina’s Face, At Least Own Up to It

Donald Trump has let loose yet another disparaging comment about a woman, this time pointedly insulting fellow Republican candidate Carly Fiorina’s looks in a Rolling Stone profile that was released Wednesday morning. "Look at that…


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Mexican Donald Trump with George Lopez

Mexican Donald Trump with George Lopez

Mexican Donald Trump with George Lopez 4:10
Donaldo Trumpez (George Lopez) outlines his executive policies promising to “Make Mexico Great Again.”
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Azealia Banks Explains Why She “Sort Of” Agrees With Donald Trump On Immigration

(AllHipHop News) Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump faced heavy criticism when he suggested most Mexican immigrants were rapists and criminals. However, Trump’s stance on immigration has partly led to him leading in the polls against his Republican rivals.

[ALSO READ: Donald Trump Addresses Kanye West Announcing He’s Running For President (VIDEO)]

Always outspoken music artist Azealia Banks recently offered her thoughts on what Trump has to say about illegal immigration. The Harlemite wrote on Instagram that she “sort of” agrees with the billionaire businessman. She explained her opinion in several follow up posts.

Read Banks’ IG messages below.

AB1 AB2 AB3 AB4 AB5

[ALSO READ: Azealia Banks Takes Ownership Of Donald Trump On Twitter]

PHOTO: YouTube

Filed under: News Tagged: Azealia Banks, Donald Trump
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The “Outsider” Explanation – Part of my Trump Persuasion Series

As I explained in an earlier post, when you see lots of different explanations for the same event, it probably means the public is in mass cognitive dissonance. Trump’s unexpected surge in the polls did just that.

And when an otherwise smart person offers an explanation that is clearly absurd, that is a tell for cognitive dissonance too. You will see a lot of smart people saying a lot of head-scratching things over the next year. More than usual.

I claim exemption from this particular trigger for cognitive dissonance because I predicted a Trump victory (by a large margin) in the general election before anyone else on the planet thought it possible he would even win the nomination. 

According to science, each of you who are “surprised” by Trump’s success so far (which makes you feel dumber than your self-image supports) should be in dissonance right now, searching for an explanation that makes sense while still maintaining your self-image of being smart. 

I have never seen a hypnotist take someone OUT of dissonance before. So I thought I would be fun to do that for you today. I will target only the most popular (and absurd) explanation for Trump’s rise in the polls and take you out of cognitive dissonance for that one explanation only.

This comic should do it.

image

The “outsider” explanation for Trump’s run is a classic tell for cognitive dissonance. In order for that explanation to make sense, one must assume that Ben Carson or Carly Fiorina would have taken out Bush as effectively as Trump. Are you feeling that?

Now that all of you are out of cognitive dissonance on the “outsider” explanation, watch the comments for the people who just changed their minds about the outsider thing in the past minute. Should be a freaky experience for them.

You don’t need to remind me that I could be the deluded one here, having committed to one explanation of Trump’s rise over the others. The science says I would be somewhat blinded by that. So take this blog (and everything else I write) with a grain of salt. This is just for entertainment.

Update: I predict that the comic above will substantially reduce the number of pundits using the “outsider” explanation within two weeks. (A lot of press people read this blog.)

Look for stories that say some form of “More than just an outsider appeal.” That signals the change before “outsider” is dropped entirely.

I remind you that my predictions are just for fun. I make them so you can track the Master Wizard Hypothesis and see how well it predicts the future compared to whatever you believed before.

Scott

Check out Top Tech Blog to find out about the products of tomorrow without waiting.

For more about systems (the way Trump operates) versus goals (the way most people operate), you can find more in my book.


Scott Adams Blog

Then You Own the Bank (part of my Trump Persuasion Series)

There’s an old saying in business: If a bank gives you an average-sized loan, the bank owns you. But if you take out a gigantic loan, you own the bank. 

Trump only takes out gigantic loans. 

Why? 

Is it because he is an egotistical clown who goes big no matter what the situation deserves?

Maybe.

But consider that going big also has the advantage of being the smartest possible thing you can do at his level. And it works almost every time for an operator with his skill. 

Consider Trump’s relationship to Fox news. The other candidates took a small loan from Fox, and by that I mean they played by the rules. Trump took out a big, risky loan by going at them hard. Now he owns Fox.

Consider the Republican party. Trump’s challengers are trying to show how well their opinions fit the party platform. Trump says he will make the party platform fit Trump, much the way Reagan redefined the party in his time.

Let me give you a fresh example of how that absurd situation could happen. I am told Trump just promised he would not cut Social Security. That seems at odds with the Republican vibe of smaller government. Seems like a risky promise for a Republican candidate.

Here’s how Trump can get away with it, and no one else in the race can. And here is how he redefines the Republican party at the same time, while barely trying.

All Trump has to do is take the same approach he used with the Iran deal: “I’m a deal guy. Social Security is a deal with seniors. End of story.

That is a high ground maneuver of the highest order. He would be untouchable.

The party would have to circle around the platform concept of being deal-keepers. That seems to be the common thread in the Trump philosophy: Make the best deal you can, then keep it. Otherwise, who wants to deal with you next time?

Who runs against that idea and wins?

Note:  I remind new visitors that I am not smart enough to know who would do the best job of president. All of the candidates seem competent to me. My interests are in Trump’s persuasion and negotiation skills. 

[Update: This article in Slate,

by Jim Newell, about Trump’s strategic brilliance is a good read both for the writing and the content individually.]

Scott

P.S. Wait until I tell you how Trump will use hypnosis to solve ISIS. He already started. Experts say you can’t kill an idea. Experts are wrong. 


Scott Adams Blog

Trump Pretends To Domesticate Himself

WASHINGTON — To launch a building project in New York, you need to be a ruthless, egotistical bully: intimidating bureaucrats, buying politicians and unions, and selling your dream by spinning the local media like a top.

But to finish it, you need to be adaptable. If you hit unexpected bedrock, you change the footprint. If a supplier goes bankrupt, you sue and find another. If interest rates rise and the project no longer “pencils,” you build fewer floors. If the deal falls apart, you declare it bankrupt and unapologetically stick your investors with the loss, dismissing them as greedy predators even more ruthless than you are.

Then you start over, for the goal remains the same: to get your name on yet another Taj Mahal on the island of Manhattan.

And so it is with Donald Trump, the New York-based builder/TV host who was always too scary to be a joke and who is now the frontrunner for the 2016 Republican nomination.

He cold-bloodedly has used personal attacks; fear based on class, race and ethnicity; cynical appeals to marginal voters – and lots of his own jet fuel – to impose at least a temporary stranglehold on most of American campaign politics.

He has built his campaign foundation on the Manhattan Schist of disaffected white voters who believe in a variety of ideologies, including none at all. But there are not enough of those voters, and not enough proof that they will show up at the polls, to guarantee victory, even in a crowded field.

So now Trump must adapt. That is, he must be seen as adapting.

Trump is ever so slightly but noticeably domesticating himself: throwing fewer counter-punches, hiring politically experienced staff, soliciting small donations, pledging to remain a Republican (on his own terms), and offering somewhat less-combative statements and policy proposals.

Late this week, for example, Trump said that he would not repudiate the six-nation nuclear arms deal with Iran, comparing it to a bad contract he would inherit and work to salvage. 

Asked about the migrant crisis in Europe, where fleeing refugees from Syria are facing hardship and generating controversy, Trump said that he would “possibly” accept some in the U.S. 

Although he still relies largely on bluster and vague promises, Trump’s team is working on “position papers” on tax and foreign policy — the former likely to include proposals for tax hikes on the rich and on hedge fund managers.

Trump has made common cause with one of his rivals, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, on foreign policy, even though Trump earlier said that anyone who goes to work in Washington becomes “impotent” and corrupt by definition.

Confronted by GOP rules in various states that require candidates to pledge fealty to the party to run in a primary, Trump shrewdly made a virtue of political necessity. He insisted that a new national party pledge be signed by all of the GOP candidates, not just him — assuring that the others, in a sense, must testify to his mainstream credentials. 

Trump more or less walked away from another war with a media figure, in this case influential conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt. Hewitt surprised Trump by asking him to identify by name and comment on several key Middle Eastern terrorism leaders. An embarrassed and confused Trump failed the test.

Trump dismissed Hewitt as a “third-rate radio announcer,” but chose not to prolong the argument, perhaps because Hewitt is slated to be a panelist at the next TV debate.

And in a way Hewitt did him a favor: Trump will learn the names.

The Donald foreshadowed the arrival of this new, semi-domesticated self two months ago, long before rumors arose that he would sign a pledge of allegiance to the GOP. He did it by saying that he was running in the name of a new “Silent Majority.” In saying so, Trump was telling the world that his GOP role model was Richard Nixon, not Patrick J. Buchanan. 

Trump knows the history.

In 1992, “Pitchfork Pat” upset then-President George H.W. Bush in the New Hampshire GOP primary with a gut-punching, openly xenophobic populist attack. But his style and speech, which contained touches of Savonarola and Joe McCarthy, made him obviously unelectable. 

In 1968, by contrast, Nixon was the ultimate party man (former GOP representative, senator and vice president). And he ran in the name of a newly discovered “Silent Majority,” who merely wanted “law and order” — a shrewdly benign slogan in which to wrap an appeal to racial fear.  

Nixon’s core supporters were angry about and fearful of social changes rocking the U.S. in the ’60s, led by the push for racial equality. But even as he played to those fears, Nixon calmly promised the country that he would “bring us together.” He cleverly didn’t ever say who “us” was.

Trump is now moving toward his own version of the same thing. Having secured the lowest fetid ground, he is edging upward.

Has he had a change of heart? No. Does he now suddenly care about the courtesies of traditional campaigning? Hardly. His brand remains the same. It’s all about disruption and the Great Man Theory of how to solve problems.

It’s just that to build a new skyscraper, even a Great Man must act like a mortal now and then.   

 

Also on HuffPost:

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Kanye West Vs Donald Trump For President

The cats out the bag Kanye West says he’s planning to run for president in 2020.

At Sunday night’s MTV Video Music Awards, during his acceptance speech after receiving the Vanguard award, the Chicago native closed out his speech by announcing a presidential bid for the 2020 election.

“I don’t know what I finna lose after this. It don’t matter, though; It’s not about me. It’s about ideas. New ideas. People with ideas. People who believe in truth,” West said.

“And yes, as you probably could’ve guessed by this moment, I have decided in 2020 to run for president.”

Is America ready for another Chicago representer in office? We took it to the streets to find out. Watch now to see what the people think!

Filed under: Features, Videos Tagged: Donald Trump, Kanye West, President
AllHipHop

Donald Trump Will Appear On ‘Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon’ Next Week

NEW YORK (AP) — Donald Trump is returning to NBC.

Not to his old show, “The Celebrity Apprentice,” but to “The Tonight Show,” where he’ll be a guest on Sept. 11.

Currently leading the Republican field in the 2016 presidential race, Trump will sit down with host Jimmy Fallon to discuss his campaign and other issues, NBC announced Tuesday. Terrence Howard and Pharrell Williams will also be guests that night.

Other scheduled guests next week (countering premiere week for CBS’ “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”) are:

Sept. 8: Richard Gere, Jessica Simpson and Keith Urban.

Sept. 9: Justin Timberlake, Ellen DeGeneres and Macklemore & Ryan Lewis.

Sept. 10: Andy Samberg and Carrie Underwood.

 

Also on HuffPost:

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Donald Trump Will Appear On ‘Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon’ Next Week

NEW YORK (AP) — Donald Trump is returning to NBC.

Not to his old show, “The Celebrity Apprentice,” but to “The Tonight Show,” where he’ll be a guest on Sept. 11.

Currently leading the Republican field in the 2016 presidential race, Trump will sit down with host Jimmy Fallon to discuss his campaign and other issues, NBC announced Tuesday. Terrence Howard and Pharrell Williams will also be guests that night.

Other scheduled guests next week (countering premiere week for CBS’ “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”) are:

Sept. 8: Richard Gere, Jessica Simpson and Keith Urban.

Sept. 9: Justin Timberlake, Ellen DeGeneres and Macklemore & Ryan Lewis.

Sept. 10: Andy Samberg and Carrie Underwood.

 

Also on HuffPost:

— This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.




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Azealia Banks Takes Ownership Of Donald Trump on Twitter

I swear Azealia Banks could be a comedian. Donald Trump is already a comic…this guy is funny. Flavor Flav should run for president on the Democratic side. BALANCE is key. Anyway, Azealia got the last laugh on this one. I hope “The Donald” saw it.

#UrNotSpecial trending on Twitter in 3…2…1…

Azealia Banks Takes Ownership Of Donald Trump on Twitter

Filed under: Rumors Tagged: Azealia Banks, beef, Donald Trump
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Donald Trump Is Setting The GOP Agenda

Every Republican presidential contender is playing Trump’s game. And losing at it.

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Nate Silver Gives Trump 2% Chance of Getting Nominated

On August 6th, Nate Silver predicted in his highly-respected FiveThiryEight blog that Donald Trump had only a 2% chance of getting the Republican nomination. Silver’s prediction is based on historical patterns, solid data, and sound reasoning. He’s great at what he does. Maybe the best.

A week later, on August 13th, I wrote my post about Trump’s “clown genius” and predicted – based on his tool set – that Trump would win the Republican nomination and the general election as well. 

On August 24th, based on Trump’s continued use of masterful persuasion techniques, I doubled-down and modified my prediction to say he would win the general election by a large margin. I believe I am alone in that prediction, at least among the talking-head/pundit/writer set. I realize that a healthy chunk of voters think he can go all the way. But the smart professionals almost universally expect him to flame out.

If I had to put a number on my prediction, I would say a 98% chance of Trump winning the whole thing. That is the direct opposite of Silver’s prediction. 

Nate Silver is far smarter than I am on this sort of topic. He’s considered the gold standard for predicting stuff that people don’t think is predictable. If you had to choose sides on the Trump predictions, the smart money is on Silver.

That said, Silver’s predictions are necessarily based on past patterns. My predictions are based on my unique view into Trump’s toolbox of persuasion. I believe those tools are invisible to almost everyone but trained hypnotists and people that study the science of persuasion.

What I see from my perspective as a trained hypnotist is that Trump brought a flame thrower to a stick fight.

Since the beginning of time, every winner of every stick fight was a guy with a stick. So you’d expect that trend to continue. Until someone shows up to the fight with a flame thrower.

I’m betting on the guy with the flame thrower. Silver is betting Trump will set himself on fire with that flame thrower, or some candidate with a stick will get lucky before now and election day. That’s what always happened before.

But I say this isn’t Trump’s first fight using a flame thrower. I wouldn’t count on him forgetting where the trigger is.

Today’s post is intended to document my prediction. I do this because I know most of you are not yet convinced of the power of persuasion. You know persuasion is a real thing, but you have never seen a Master Wizard practice in public, in real time, without trying to cover his tracks. That’s new. Even Steve Jobs did most of his work behind closed doors.

This might be a game-changer not just for politics but for humanity’s sense of identity. When you see humans get reprogrammed in real time, it is hard to maintain a belief in free will.

I don’t hang out with other trained hypnotists. But I’ll bet not many of them believe in free will. We see stuff you have never seen. And would not believe. 

If Trump wins, the professional watchers of politics will explain to you why voters selected him. Some writers will say voters chose Trump for his brutal honesty, his immigration stand, his business talent, an anger with the status quo, or because the competition was weak.

Those reasons will be “real” in the sense that the voters expressing them in polls are not lying. But no one will spend much time trying to figure out why people have those feelings.

Hint: Not free will.

Scott

In other news, for several years I have been tracking a Master Wizard that I believe lives in Southern California. It seems he has trained a small army of attractive women in his method. The women create a specialized style of porn video clips that literally hypnotize the viewer to magnify the orgasm experience beyond anything you probably imagine is possible. Hypnosis has a super-strong impact on about 20% of people. And a lesser-but-strong impact on most of the rest.

Once a customer is hooked, the girls use powerful (and real) hypnosis tools to connect the viewer’s enjoyable experience (a super-orgasm, or several) to the viewer’s act of giving them money, either directly or by buying more clips. Eventually the regular viewers are reprogrammed to get their sexual thrill by the act of donating money to the girls in the videos. There are lots of variations tied to each type of sexual kink, but that’s the general idea. 

My best guess is that 10% of the traffic that flows through their business model literally cannot leave until they have no money left. The Master Wizard is that good. The women are well-coached in his methods. 

The fascinating thing is that the videos fully-disclose what they are doing, in clear language that is often repeated. The women explain the hypnosis methods they are using much the way I have been dissecting Trump’s technique. Nothing is hidden, at least with this one set of practitioners.

That makes customers feel safe that the hypnosis is just for fun and not actually rewiring them. But it doesn’t work that way. Explaining the technique as you do it actually deepens the effect. Hypnotists learn to do that.

The Master Hypnotist behind all of this found a great loophole in the law. If humans understood how effective these videos are, they would be illegal in the same way gambling is illegal in most places. And the Master Wizard hides in plain site because the Internet is so littered with fake porn hypnosis (women waving watches and saying YOU ARE SLEEPY) that no one expects a real one to sneak into the mix. And this Master Wizard is a polymath of some sort. He also knows how to do high quality video production, data analytics, and A-B testing.

When you combine hypnosis, sex, and A-B testing on a large population, the results are unimaginably powerful. The customers in this situation are getting an insanely good product. The only issue is the price.

If a court ever tries to make this business illegal, the star witness will be the Master Wizard himself.

No jury will ever convict him.

Now THAT’S a business model.

Why is everyone so surprised that my book on systems versus goals is better than they expected? The two newest reviews are typical.

image


Scott Adams Blog

Scarface Talks Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton & Why Donald Trump Is A Genius (VIDEO)

(AllHipHop News) Hip Hop fans know Scarface is not one to hold his tongue. The rap legend sat down with The Unlikely Show with Chuck Creekmur and Nida Khan, and the conversation covered the current state of American politics.

[ALSO READ: Scarface: I Don’t Like The Geto Boys Or None Of Those Albums]

As the 2016 presidential campaign heats up, Face had a lot to say about leading candidates Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton. He also mentioned the current man in the White House – President Barack Obama.

“I said that I wouldn’t vote for Obama, because I love him, and they’re gonna want him hanged after that,” said Scarface referring to lyrics from his Emeritus album. “I said that sh*t way before he was the president.”

Clinton is currently the favorite to replace Obama as the next presidential nominee of the Democratic Party. The former Secretary of State has been facing criticism for using a personal email server. But she has consistently claimed none of the messages were marked classified.

“Hillary’s getting f*cked with behind emails,” stated Scarface. “Who gives a f*ck about an email? Was it kiddie porn or some sh*t? Do we have a f*cking problem?”

When it came to controversial Republican front-runner Donald Trump, Face offered an explanation for why the businessman/reality TV star is connecting with certain voters.

“I think Donald Trump is a genius. I think he’s a gazillionaire for a reason,” said the Houston native. “I think he may say some sh*t that’s offensive. I think he is unapologetic, because he’s f*cking rich.”

Scarface added, “I’m not advocating a motherf*cking thing about Donald Trump. But I see his vision, and I know what his aim is. Does that sh*t help us in our position where we are today? No, because we don’t have the money to invest in the sh*t he’s getting ready to put together.”

Scarface’s Deeply Rooted album is scheduled for release on September 4.

[ALSO READ: Donald Trump Gets Roasted In Hip-Hop Video Parody]

Watch Scarface’s interview below.

PHOTO: Scarface’s Instagram

Filed under: News, Videos Tagged: barack obama, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Scarface, The Unlikely Show
AllHipHop

WSJ Columnist Says She Has Proof Latino Voters Actually Like Donald Trump

Although a Gallup poll released this week shows that Donald Trump is far and away the most disliked Republican presidential candidate among Latino voters, one conservative columnist says she may have found signs to the contrary, courtesy of some anecdotal evidence.

In her column on Thursday, The Wall Street Journal’s Peggy Noonan cited a conversation with a Dominican friend to explain why she thinks Trump’s “staying power in the polls reflects a change in the electorate.” 

Something is going on, some tectonic plates are moving in interesting ways. My friend Cesar works the deli counter at my neighborhood grocery store. He is Dominican, an immigrant, early 50s, and listens most mornings to a local Hispanic radio station, La Mega, on 97.9 FM. Their morning show is the popular “El Vacilón de la Mañana,” and after the first GOP debate, Cesar told me, they opened the lines to call-ins, asking listeners (mostly Puerto Rican, Dominican, Mexican) for their impressions. More than half called in to say they were for Mr. Trump. Their praise, Cesar told me a few weeks ago, dumbfounded the hosts. I later spoke to one of them, who identified himself as D.J. New Era. He backed Cesar’s story. “We were very surprised,” at the Trump support, he said. Why? “It’s a Latin-based market!”

There you have it, folks.  

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Carly Fiorina Takes On Donald Trump, And More Must-Read Election News

Each week, as a part of Glamour’s The 51 Million coverage, we'll be bringing you a roundup of the most thoughtful and influential 2016 election stories from our fellow female journalists. From excellent interviews to…


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Trump and Godwin’s Law

The media is having a hard time wounding Trump. The attacks keep bouncing off. Looks like they stepped up their game today.

Here’s the SHOCKING story of how Trump once owned, or still owns, a book of Hitler’s speeches. It was a gift from a friend. Trump admits it and names the friend. The friend confirms he gave it to Trump.

I’m sure the friend meant well. Trump is a master persuader, and obviously Hitler was too. I’m thinking of picking up a copy for the same reason that I assume the friend thought Trump would be interested. Trump says he did not read it. I’ll bet that is true, but only because his skills are already at that level. There wouldn’t be much for Trump to learn. And it seems kind of a downer.

To put things in context, a book of speeches from Kennedy, Reagan, or Dr. King would have been good gifts as well. And for the same reason. But less of a downer. So what we have here is a case of a very shitty gift-buyer.

The media, or some of it, is looking for a Trump kill shot. When Hitler’s name enters the mix, you know all the other ammo is already gone.

Look for LOTS more Hitler comparisons. Until it all seems silly.

I think you have seen a bunch in my comment section already.

And the press continues its slide to irrelevance.

Scott


Scott Adams Blog

The Trump Monster from the GOP’s Id

Who remembers the 1956 science fiction classic, Academy Award-nominated film, Forbidden Planet, featuring the likes of Walter Pidgeon and Robby the Robot? To the sci-fi aficionado, it was in a league of its own and according to Gene Roddenberry an inspiration for the Star Trek franchise.

Do you remember the monster in this film? Of horrible appearance and temperament, his shape only appeared as an outline as he moved against powerful “disintegrator beams.” He was unstoppable and vanished only when the Walter Pidgeon character finally died.

Our heroes came upon a planet with an extraordinarily advanced civilization that mysteriously disappeared without a scratch 200,000 years earlier, with all its advanced machines still working. The crew couldn’t figure out what became of it, until the invisible monster began manifesting himself to them.

Having juiced up his brain to the max using the ancient civilization’s brain-enhancing machine, a crew member reveals his discovery just before dying from the procedure: “It’s monsters from the Id!” he proclaims.

Well, one way to look at the circus on the Republican side of the emerging presidential election campaign is to think of it in Forbidden Planet terms: yes, a “monster from the Id” has returned. Donald Trump represents the collective unconsciousness of what has become of the Republican Party. Like the monster in the film, he is threatening to destroy everything in his path.

The “Id” in Latin means the “It.” The construct was conceived by the psychoanalyst Sigmund Freud, and was called the “shadow” by Carl Jung, who extended its application to the notion of “collective unconsciousness” of an entire culture.

The point here is that Donald Trump does not stand apart from his many opponents seeking the Republican presidential nomination. On the contrary, he is their collective unconsciousness. Everything he stands for is what today’s Tea Party-infused Republican Party has become.

Scratch Jeb Bush, scratch Lindsey Graham, or Marco Rubio, or Scott Walker, get them a little pissed, and they all come out raging and whining like little Donald Trumps. On policy issues, like immigration, woman’s health, deregulation of Wall Street, screwing the 99 percent in deference to the one percent of the wealthiest, and perpetual war in the Middle East, they’re all virtually identical. They’re all their own Donald Trump nightmare.

When they wake up and look the menacing Donald Trump monster in the face, they see themselves. While they’re railing against Trump’s manner and his seeming relentless intent to bully and insult just about everybody, they must see that they are he and vice-versa. He is their collective Id raging away.

The Id, as the experts explain, is a psychological construct that corresponds to the raging state of consciousness of the newborn, the elementary basis of the subconscious mind that seeks only instant gratification without regard for anything else. It represents the “tendency to seek immediate gratification of any impulse.” It “knows no good or evil, has no morality.” It is composed of a ” set of uncoordinated instinctual trends,” a “cauldron full of seething expectations,” and so on. All very Donald Trump.

Insofar as Donald Trump is this collective Id of the current Republican Party, there is no way his opponents can make him go away. The more they attack him, the more they energize him. They are stuck with him.

So, like the dystopian, doomsday themes of so much science fiction these days, that Forbidden Planet took to the highest level by positing the more advanced a population becomes the more the seeds of its own destruction are empowered in its collective unconsciousness, the outcome for the present Republican Party is dim. As it cannot contain its raging collective Id, Donald Trump will not be going away.

The only way to alter this inevitability would be for one or more of the GOP candidates to begin repudiating the content of their collective mindset. Who’s going to stake their campaign on reasonable alternatives to the GOP madness? Does anyone have the courage, the moral suasion? Otherwise, it will be left to someone from beyond their collective walls to surely do it.

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Trump These Thoughts

2015-08-28-1440800625-1773068-donaldtrump_1437861721269_22026609_ver1.0_640_480.jpg

I am the best. This is true because I said so. Even the sentences I write are the best except perhaps for the last one, which a teacher told me ended in a preposition, yet if I construct a sentence then whatever words I use are the best, because I said so and I went to Wharton which only accepts the best smart people.

Teachers are losers anyway. Imagine making less than one hundred thousand dollars a year and all you do is help kids learn? My grandchildren have car seats worth more than 100K. (I didn’t spell out the entire word again because so little money doesn’t deserve that many letters, not to mention the strain on my keyboard and typist, both of which happen to be the best.)

I don’t want stupid people like Charles Krauthammer working for me. I only recruit the best and biggest stars to work for me, like Gary Busey and Gene Simmons, instead of boring dopes like George Will.

I have a history of top people who have been winners on my shows. Remember Omarosa? Of course you do. She’s one of my best apprentices. I don’t hire stupid people that graduate from law schools, like Megyn Kelly. Dummies like that have opinions and think for themselves and that’s a dangerous problem when you’re a despot and only want to hear the sound of your own voice.

I will save money when I’m President. Why do we need two Dakotas? It’s stupid. I will combine North and South Dakota into one great state. It will be the best state without any stupid people like Jorge Ramos who has written a lot of books but they’re probably about drug dealers because some of the titles are Spanish.

I don’t like drug dealers and other bad people. I will get rid of them. Even the good ones if they are stupid. I will fix the economy too. I will build a counter featuring my top brand Trump items (did I mention they’re the best) in the White House and sell Trump ties, whisky flasks, cuff links and other really great items. Good foreigners, visiting dignitaries and people from Dakota who want to be and own the best will purchase them in such huge numbers that the sales tax alone will balance the national budget.

When I’m president if we go to war it won’t be a good war, it will be the best war, because Putin is stupid…

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Donald Trump Collects Fees Insisting ‘This Is Not A Fundraiser’

NORWOOD, Mass. (AP) — Donald Trump held a $ 100-per-person campaign event — which he repeatedly insisted wasn’t a fundraiser — outside of Boston on Friday evening as he backpedaled on his previous pledge not to accept contributions for his campaign.

“This is not a fundraiser tonight, just so you understand,” Trump told reporters at the sprawling Norwood property owned by local car dealership owner Ernie Boch Jr. A combination of die-hard fans and those curious to see the spectacle were treated to food from chef Tony Ambrose and a live cover band, in addition to a speech from the billionaire businessman and Republican candidate.

 

 

Trump said the money raised was only being used to offset the costs of the event and said people attending could choose to pay whatever they wanted.

That’s despite multiple signs that were posted at the property’s entrance telling those arriving, “Please have cash ready or make checks payable to: Donald J. Trump for President, Inc.” and “Entry Fee $ 100 Per Person.”

 

 

The event comes as Trump has reversed course on his early pledge to self-fund his campaign entirely.

“I don’t need anybody’s money,” he said in his announcement speech, declaring: “I’m using my own money. I’m not using the lobbyists. I’m not using donors. I don’t care. I’m really rich.”

But Trump’s tone has changed in recent weeks as he’s warmed to the idea, adding a contributions page to his website and attending a fundraiser held by a super PAC supporting his candidacy.

“I actually like the idea of investing in a campaign,” he told CBS’ “Face the Nation” Sunday. “But it has to be no strings attached.”

 

 

Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski said earlier Friday the campaign had received tens of thousands in small-dollar donations in the last eight weeks from people eager to contribute to Trump’s effort. But he said the campaign had not made any efforts to solicit money and said contributions would remain “a very small portion” of the campaign’s funds.

Boch said the event had “started out as a fundraiser because (that’s) the usual thing for candidates.” But Boch added: “It wasn’t like that with Mr. Trump. He likes the idea of having people come in. So the money was not what he was interested in.”

Speaking to attendees under a giant tent on Boch’s yard later in the event, Trump continued to boast about all the contributions he claims he’s turned down.

“I feel a little bit like, ‘What’s going on?'” he said. “We’re turning down millions of dollars.”

He also launched into a personal attack against Huma Abedin, a top aide to Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton, who has recently been swept up in the controversy over Clinton’s use of a private email server while she was secretary of state.

 

 

Trump, mispronouncing Abedin’s first name as “Uma,” suggested Abedin had shared classified information with her husband, former New York Rep. Anthony Weiner, who resigned after sending explicit images of himself to women he’d met online. Trump called Weiner a “perv,” and “one of the great sleazebags of our time.”

 

 

Clinton spokesman Nick Merrill responded with a statement saying, “Trump has spent the summer saying offensive things about women, but there is no place for patently false, personal attacks towards a staff member.”

“He should be ashamed of himself, and others in his own party should take a moment to stand up to him and draw the line for once,” Merrill said.

 

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The Third Way on Immigration (Sort of a Trump Post)

Readers have objected to my prediction that Trump will win the nomination and then the general election because…

1. Trump needs about 40% of the Latino vote to win.

2. Only 13% of Latino voters support Trump, largely because of his immigration plan.

No politician can close that gap. Therefore, say the people that have been spectacularly wrong about all-things-Trump, he must be playing some sort of power game with no real intention of winning the whole thing.

Maybe. 

I can see both the math and the reasoning behind that point of view. I’ll bet it would be hard to persuade you that Trump can close that kind of gap in such a short time.

Game on. 

What follows is a blatant, manipulative play on your emotions that is engineered to make you believe Trump can beat the odds on Latino voters. It looks impossible to you now. You might update your opinion if you read to the end.

Please stop reading now if you don’t want to be part of the experiment. I’m not joking when I say I’m about to rewire your brain. It might feel a bit freaky, but I think it is worth it for you to get a visceral understanding of the power of persuasion.

— persuasion starts here —

Before I talk about Trump’s persuasion strategy for closing the Latino voter gap, I should reveal my bias on the topic so you can factor that in.

And I like to preface this sort of topic by saying you should not get any important opinions from cartoonists. This blog is for entertainment only.

The immigration issue has calcified into two camps, as far as I can tell. Trump’s plan forms one extreme, and includes building a wall, ending automatic citizenship for babies born on U.S. soil, and rounding up 11 million illegal aliens and deporting them. 

The opposing camp believes it would be impractical, uneconomical, and inhumane to do any part of Trump’s plan. I assume many of Trump’s critics favor some sort of path to citizenship for illegal aliens.

I can see both sides. And I think both sides are missing the point by a mile.

In my view, this is one of those times when we get to pick who we are as a country. You don’t get many of these moments in a lifetime. I would hate to waste it.

Most of you heard the recent story about the Americans who helped disarm a gunman on a train in France. The young men heard trouble and they ran toward it. The story touched people in this country because it is a reminder of who we are.

I don’t think anyone in America can argue with the criticism that we can be assholes. Hey, no one is perfect. But when the shit goes down, you probably want some Americans nearby. We accept your criticisms, my international readers, but we still have your back. That’s how we roll.

I know each of you Americans reading this have your own notions about the identity of the United States, and that is my point today. The immigration issue gives us a chance to either confirm who we are or modify it. It matters that we get it right.

My view of the 11 million illegal immigrants is that anyone who wants to be on my team badly enough to commit a crime is my kind of American. My impression is that they bring up the average. I understand why some of my fellow citizens don’t want to compete with them for jobs. And good luck competing with the second generation that have their parents’ immigrant DNA and an American education. I want those kids working for my start-up. 

I hear everything folks are saying about the importance of the rule of law, about fairness, economics, and crime. Countries need secure borders or they fail to remain countries. Those are important considerations. But do we want to define yourself by those worries?

We can. But it is entirely optional. 

I prefer an America that knows when to use a hammer and when to use a hug. With immigration, I understand the hammer. But I prefer the hug. Not because it is right, in some intellectual sense, and not because it is economical, but because it is who I want to be.

And about that birthright law – the one that says a baby that draws its first breath in this country is an American forever? In the history of all laws made anywhere, in any age, that one is by far the coolest. It gives the country a magical vibe that feels part of our nature. I don’t want to lose that. 

You can look at the immigration issue through a filter of money, law, safety, or compassion. But none of those speak comprehensively to who you want to be. You are far more than those things.

And this brings me to Donald Trump, alleged racist son-of-bitch and hater of all law-breaking, brown babies. How the hell does that guy convince millions of Latinos to vote for him?

No politician could do that.

But Trump is not a politician. He is a business person and one of the top wizards of persuasion on the planet. And he has one enormous advantage that I have never seen for any candidate: He can change his mind and show his work.

As I said in a prior post, Trump is dropping a negotiation anchor with his super-aggressive plan that includes a wall, a change to the constitution for birth rights, and deportation of millions. He has no intention of doing all of that. He is simply creating some false choices to trade away later. But not until he has the Republican nomination in the bag. So be patient.

If Trump follows form, what he really wants is a “Trump Wall” that is so “fabulous” that it becomes its own money-making tourist attraction and carries his name forever. I doubt he cares about deporting anyone or tweaking the constitution. Those are the items he plans to trade to get Trump Wall.

I expect that Trump will eventually ask the Latino community to come up with its own plan for dealing with the 11 million illegals. And that plan might include having legal citizens “sponsor” an illegal alien including absorbing some of the risk. For example, as a sponsor I might have to buy a performance bond to protect against the risk that the illegal I am sponsoring causes any damage to the country. That’s just one idea. The main point is that Trump could put the Latino community on the spot to come up with their own plan.

Then Trump supports the new plan for sponsoring illegals, showing he is a man of reason, but keeps his Trump Wall plan and tells you it will turn a profit.

Another way he can game the system is by turning out massive numbers of young, white voters who normally would not vote. A President Trump would provide more hours of free entertainment than Netflix and Snapchat combined. And I do believe it will have a big impact on voter turnout.

Update: And look for Trump to pick a second-generation Latino as his running mate. Did you see that coming?

No one can know what the future holds. But I’ll bet a Trump presidency looks a lot more feasible than it did when you started reading this.

And that’s what persuasion looks like. If you have read my prior posts on persuasion and Trump, you can start to see the method in what I wrote. For new readers, check the comments  and I expect you will see my persuasion method dissected for fun. 

My disclaimer for new readers is that I am not endorsing Trump as president because I have no idea how that would work out. I am only interested in his genius of persuasion.

Scott

If you enjoyed reading this post you will probably enjoy my book about systems versus goals.

In Top Tech Blog, check out a Microsoft claim that it can take 3D photos with your regular phone. Are you believing that?


Scott Adams Blog

Trump Persuasion Alert: The Bush-Slayer Comment

This article explains how Trump has decided to call Jeb Bush a “low energy” candidate.

That’s a linguistic kill shot. If you live to be a hundred, you will never see a better linguistic move.

No candidate can recover from the low-energy label. Trump ended Bush with two words. Now, even if Trump stumbles, Bush won’t be the one that surges to the front. From now on, Bush’s campaign hat is an anvil.

You might think I am exaggerating. Politicians label opponents all the time. Usually the labels have to do with policies, personality, intelligence, or experience. And usually those labels are glancing blows, at best.

But no candidate ever launched a “low-energy” criticism before. That’s a kill shot. You don’t wash that off. It is a variant of the High Ground Maneuver because Trump is saying that even if Bush and Trump had the same policies, the choice is still clear. You want the guy who isn’t going to be napping for four years.

And remember your visuals. Jeb looks like a low-energy guy. Take away Trump’s “low energy” label and Bush might seem like a calm, cool, rational executive – exactly what this country needs in these crazy times.

Until your opponent tattoos “low-energy” on your forehead. That doesn’t wash off. Done. Next.

You don’t see linguistic kill shots that often. This one was engineered. Do you want to hear another example of a linguistic kill shot that you probably never noticed in the past?

When Clinton/Gore were running for reelection against Dole/Kemp, the big topic was Kemp’s “supply-side economics” idea that you could cut taxes and goose the economy enough to make up the difference in tax collections. Clinton and Gore were helpless against supply-side economics because it sounded to voters like free money. Who doesn’t want to cut their taxes and make more money too?

How do you defend against the promise of more money for nothing? Clinton and Gore had no way to counter it. You couldn’t argue it on economic grounds because the voters were not sophisticated enough to follow along. Nor would voters be swayed by experts. And supply-side economics was the big topic of the election. 

So Gore used a linguistic kill shot. If you remember your campaign history, he started labeling Kemp’s supply-side economics as a “risky plan” for an economy that was doing reasonably okay. The media sprayed the word “risky” all over the headlines after the first time Gore used it in a debate. Clinton started using it too, since the word was getting traction.

Older voters with one eye on retirement, or already retired, have no appetite for risk. And they know that any big, new economic plan comes with risk. You cannot argue risk. Risk was the Higher Ground. It was the kill shot.

Supply-side economics largely died that election cycle, give or take some later death spasms. Thanks to one word. And the word was engineered for that purpose.

Do you get a sense for how powerful this stuff is? A word or two changes history.

If you are following along with my Trump analyses, you know I try to make predictions so you can check my work. It is easy to overlay an interpretation on the past (as I just did). Predicting the future is harder, and thus a better way for you to check my interpretation of events against prediction.

My new prediction is that when Trump gets serious about eviscerating Hillary Clinton he will engineer a similar High Ground label that has little to do with her policies. It might even be open to interpretation so all of her haters see what they want to see. 

Watch me engineer a linguistic kill shot for Trump to use against Hillary Clinton.

Trump: “America needs credibility”

See what I did there?

Credibility is the high ground. It ignores policy differences. Core republicans will obviously agree that Clinton is a “liar” in their words. So the message works for them. That part is easy.

The hard part, and the reason these words have to be engineered, is that you need to appeal to both sides with the same words. And “credibility” does that. Even supporters of Clinton – people who love everything she says and does – have to agree that her credibility has eroded because of all the email scandal noise.

And what about Trump? Is he credible by contrast?

Look for all the stories already printed about Trump being a handshake agreement guy. If you work in the business world, that is the highest standard of credibility.

Let me put it this way. Ignore your thoughts about Trump’s and Hillary Clinton’s policies and personalities for a minute. If you had to make a verbal agreement with both of them, which one do you think has the higher odds of doing as promised?

Trump already said he hates the Iran nuke deal but will enforce it because he honors deals. The man is bulletproof on that dimension, so he will take the argument to the dimension where he wins every time.

The word “credibility” resonates with every adult. And it hasn’t been overused in the context of politics so it carries no unintended baggage. We all want credibility, period. The word is clean and powerful.

Don’t worry about Trump using the word credibility to win. I ruined that option by using it in this blog and creating a paper trail to a cartoonist. Trump will need another approach.

Now you know how to engineer a linguistic kill shot. 

1. Find a word that is “clean” from historical political baggage (examples: risky, low-energy, credibility).

2. Choose a word that moves people to High Ground concepts where you are relatively strong and your opponent has a weakness, ignoring the smaller issues that are the topics of all disagreements.

Examples:

Low ground: Cut taxes                 —>  High ground: Risky

Low ground: Immigration policy   —>  High ground: Low-energy guy

Low Ground: Clinton’s policies     —> High Ground: credibility 

In my corporate days I used the High Ground maneuver to “win” any meeting I needed to win. Unlike most methods of persuasion that have more of a statistical power, perhaps influencing 20% of a crowd, the High Ground maneuver works instantly, every time, and on every person. (In my personal experience.)

As soon as I recognized that tool in Trump’s toolbox, I predicted he would win it all. He was going into a stick fight with a bazooka. Most of you only saw sticks. Trained persuaders saw the bazooka. 

I remind you that he literally wrote the book on negotiating.

My best guess for why the High Ground maneuver works so well is that you are taking a person from the weeds of your disagreement to a place where they need to define who they are as a person. Our egos won’t let us define ourselves as small thinkers in front of a big thinker, so we try to keep up, running to the High Ground of our demise as quickly as we can.

Scott

Bonus thought: If you view the world in terms of goals, Trump has failed twice to be president. You expect him to fail a third time because that is the pattern he created. But viewed from a systems filter, Trump got the most practice running for president of anyone in the conversation.

Name one situation where practice doesn’t matter. Stop being surprised that the guy who practiced the most is performing the best. That is how systems thinkers play the long game. They fail toward a place of BETTER odds, not worse.

You can see more about systems being better than goals in my book on success.

In Top Tech Blog, if you surf, you want a motorized surfboard that doesn’t need waves. And yet another handheld health “scanning” device is here. This trend of miniaturized personal health scanners is huge. You will want this one.


Scott Adams Blog

Trump: ‘Making America Hate Again!’

Trump’s official campaign slogan is “Make America Great Again!” Perhaps he should change it to the headline above.

The Huffington Post has made an editorial decision to put Trump articles in the Entertainment section instead of the political section. This seemed like a good idea at the time.

Admittedly he is the class clown — and the schoolyard bully. Oddly, also the teacher’s pet. But his toxic mix of egotism, cynicism and racism simply isn’t entertaining. It is, however, still a spectacle.

His now infamous tirade about Mexicans being criminals and rapists is well-known.

Recently two cowardly young thugs in Boston allegedly urinated on and used a metal pole to beat a 58-year-old sleeping Hispanic homeless man, fracturing his nose and causing other serious injuries. One of them reportedly told the police “Donald Trump was right, all of these illegals need to be deported.” (Apparently, the two assailants checked his immigration status before brutalizing him.) A news person asked Trump for his reaction, and Trump reportedly said “That would be a shame” adding this remarkable statement, “I will say, the people that are following me are very passionate. They love this country. They want this country to be great again. But they are very passionate. I will say that.”

His supporters chanted “USA! USA! USA!” when some protesters were thrown out of a Trump event in Phoenix — as if they were cheering at Wrestlemania.

This week at a press conference in Iowa, several times Trump ordered Univision anchorman Jorge Ramos, a respected journalist and an American citizen, to “Sit down,” as if Ramos were a dog being ordered by his unkind master to “Sit.” Trump also added to “Go back to Univision.” Then Trump nodded at one of his security guards who escorted Ramos out of the room.

In the hallway, a Trump supporter further humiliated Ramos telling him “Get out of my country.” Ramos responded with restraint, class, and dignity.

The delusional Donald has often claims that he will win the “Hispanic” vote. This assertion might be just another Trump empty promise. A recent Gallop Poll shows among Hispanic voters, he has the highest disapproval rate (65 percent) of any GOP candidate.

Apparently he is looking to carry Asian vote as well. Here’s Trump mocking them and doing a racially stereotypical impersonation of “these people”:

While Trump may not carry Latinos or Asians, he will likely carry the racists’ vote. It isn’t surprising that Trump is receiving endorsements from white supremacy groups and neo-Nazis. David Duke, former grand wizard of the Ku Klux Klan, has reportedly called Trump the best of the GOP candidates.

In an interview with Bloomberg’s Mark Halperin and John Heilemann, Trump reportedly said “I don’t need his endorsement; I certainly wouldn’t want his endorsement” and added “I don’t need anyone’s endorsement.” When asked if he would repudiate the endorsement, Trump is quoted as saying “Sure, I would if that would make you feel better.”

That doesn’t make me feel any better.

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Megyn Kelly’s Unsent Tweets To Donald Trump

Megyn Kelly's Unsent Tweets To Donald Trump

Megyn Kelly's Unsent Tweets To Donald…
Megyn Kelly has a bunch of unsent tweets meant for Donald Trump
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Trump Persuasion Alert: Bible Dodge

If you have been following my analysis of Trump’s persuasive brilliance you will see another example on display in this new story.

On the surface, Trump seems to be just another politician dodging just another question. Routine stuff, right?

But check out the wording. He had that reply in the chamber, locked and loaded. He said his relationship with the Bible was “personal.”

Compare that to any other wording he could have used. You can play at home. Try to come up with a better response than saying his relationship with the Bible is personal. 

Good luck with that.

Every Christian, Muslim, and Jew watching the exchange nodded agreement that a person’s relationship with the Lord is personal and really should not be the topic of public conversation. Check.

And every reason-loving person that heard Trump’s response thought he didn’t sound too anti-science, or particularly dogmatic. Nothing to worry about. Just move along.

And I can guarantee that some atheists heard his response and thought there is a good chance he is one of them. Obviously a person in that position has to hide it. 

Trump provides the canvas and everyone paints their own favorite picture.

If you look closely at Trump’s response, he did more than avoid the question and act vague. He redirected your thoughts to the issue of privacy (by saying it was personal) because that has more immediacy to your brain than thoughts of your afterlife. Clever move. 

And what about the folks who are concerned about government snooping on their privacy? They just heard Trump guard his own, while implying that privacy is important. Nice. He got that one for free without discussing government snooping at all.

The media will report that Trump did nothing but dodge a question. I say there is more method to it. I believe we are witnessing something that could fundamentally change the way we view human nature. That’s a longer post, but the two-word summary is moist robots. It gets harder to deny our nature when you see a linguistic wizard reprogramming people in real time.

I remind you that I do not know what kind of president Trump will be. I am not that smart and neither are most of you. But I do enjoy watching his linguistic precision, all covered in hay so he doesn’t scare the sheep. And I do not say that as a criticism. There doesn’t seem to be a second way to become president. 

 

Scott


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Trump Makes Univision do the Perp Walk

Could I love the man more? No. I could not.

I don’t know how Trump will perform as president, but he sure entertains.

If you are following my blog series on Donald Trump’s persuasive genius, you have to see this master stroke from today.

The set-up is a press conference in which a reporter for Univision asks Trump a potentially damaging question about his immigration plan. Here’s what you have to know to understand the scene:

1. Univision cancelled Trump’s Miss America Pageant over his comments about illegal immigrants. Univision and Trump are enemies.

2. The reporter is famous in Mexico and perhaps among Spanish-speakers but would be somewhat unknown to most American viewers.

3. The reporter is on record for being deeply critical of Trump.

4. Trump had not called on the reporter, and that starts the video off.

Given what I have taught you in past posts, view the video and separate out the impact of the visuals versus the “story” the media is putting on it. And remember that the visuals are about a 10-to-1 impact compared to text. Trump plays the visuals. Always. That’s part of his wizardry.

It seems the press will be reporting the “story” as Trump being inappropriate at a press conference in some generic ways that will not register as particularly important to anyone.

Now consider the visuals. Trump remained calm, put the reporter in his place, and eventually nodded to security to lead the protesting reporter out while cameras followed the entire episode.

Trump, that magnificent bastard, made his enemy do the perp walk on International TV while appearing 100% in charge of the situation.

Yeah. You can’t beat that. No accidents are happening here.

And do you know what his core supporters saw? They saw Trump deport that Mexican reporter right out of the room, metaphorically. Those other candidates are talking about immigration but Trump has already started. Remember we are not talking about anyone’s rational thinking. These sorts of images sneak through your rational defenses.

And Trump sent a message to the rest of the press, which helps to keep them nervous during future interviews. That’s how a world-class negotiator does it. He makes the other person less confident. Throws them off their game. And apparently he decided some collateral damage in the press would delight the viewers. I know I appreciated it.

And on some level every person watching that episode was happy they did not have to endure another round of gotcha outragism as one “news” outlet after another rushes to take Trump’s words out of context. Trump’s show was far more entertaining.

And he did all of that spontaneously. (As far as you know.)

Does the boring candidate EVER win?

I remind you I am not endorsing Trump. Most of the candidates seem qualified to me. I am only a fan of Trump’s persuasion methods.

Scott

If you like my Trump posts you would almost certainly like my book on systems versus goals. Trump is a systems guy. He isn’t that rich by accident.


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Latinos Don’t Love Donald Trump

Business mogul Donald Trump proclaimed last month that Latinos love him. He might want to check the latest polling from Gallup, which found Latinos were more likely to say they disliked than liked him by a 51-point margin.

His results were disastrous compared to every other Republican presidential candidate on the survey, as illustrated by this chart released on Monday:

It’s not surprising that Trump is unpopular with Latinos. He opened his campaign by claiming the Mexican government was sending rapists and other criminals into the U.S. as undocumented immigrants, and his stance has hardened from there. Last week, he proposed ending birthright citizenship for children born in the U.S., and vowed to deport all undocumented immigrants.

Gallup notes that it did not poll Latinos on Trump before his announcement speech, so there’s no clear mark for how it affected his image. In their polling since, he’s been consistently viewed unfavorably.

Although Latinos don’t typically rank immigration as the top issue for choosing a candidate, harsh rhetoric against undocumented immigrants was considered a major factor in the GOP’s dismal result with Latinos in the 2012 presidential election. 

Trump has succeeded in drawing Latinos’ attention, at the very least. Gallup reports that 8 in 10 of those polled had formed an opinion on Trump, compared to about 6 in 10 who had formed an opinion of Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. None of the other candidates hit the 50 percent mark for familiarity with Latinos.

Bush is faring the best with Latinos, who were more likely to say they viewed him favorably than unfavorably by an 11-point margin. His margin of favorability has actually gone up, although it’s yet to be seen whether there will be fallout from his recent stumbles over the term “anchor babies.” The former governor has taken a more moderate tack on immigration than Trump, and opposes changing the 14th Amendment to end birthright citizenship. 

Among Democrats, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has a major advantage. She has a net 40 favorability score, and about 75 percent of Latinos know who she is. Only 25 percent of Latinos were familiar with Vermont Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders. The results were even worse for former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb and former Rhode Island Sen. and Gov. Lincoln Chafee — only 14 percent of Latinos were familiar with them.

Gallup conducted the poll by telephone from July 8 to Aug. 23 as part of the U.S. Daily Survey. They polled a random sample of 2,183 Hispanic adults in the U.S. The margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.

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Donald Trump Discusses Ties With David Herzka at Campaign Event

ONLY IN AMERICA: Opportunistic designer David Herzka really tied one on with Donald Trump Sunday morning, but not in the colloquial sense. During a rise-and-shine breakfast at the Long Branch, N.J., home of his daughter Ivanka’s in-laws Seryl and Charles Kushner, Trump mingled with 100 or so of their inner circle. “It was pretty low-key. But he’s very serious and believes in what he’s doing,” Herzka said. “Everyone felt he’s really a potential contender.”
The Kushners’ enterprising son, Jared, made the rounds with Ivanka, but another power couple — his venture capitalist-skilled brother Joshua and Karlie Kloss — were not on the scene. Trump’s son-in-law no doubt has his reserve of potential campaign supporters as owner of Kushner Properties and the New York Observer.
Herzka, who started his direct-to-consumer online neckwear line David Fin earlier this year, showed his own moxie by having a word with The Donald and giving him a tie in what he thought would be the candidate’s favorite colors — red, white and blue. Herzka told Trump about the Battery Park-based start-up that makes all of its ties in the U.S. and donates $ 5 of each $ 85 sale to Hiring Our Heroes, a nonprofit that helps veterans find

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Ceasefire Over: Donald Trump Resumes War Of Words With Megyn Kelly

Megyn Kelly, host of “The Kelly File” on Fox News, is back from vacation — and Donald Trump wasted no time resuming his attacks on her. 

Shortly after Monday night’s broadcast, Kelly’s first since Aug. 12, Trump fired off a series of tweets critical of her, including a retweet in which she was called a “bimbo” and another that remarked on her looks

Here’s the Republican presidential candidate’s reaction to the broadcast, which featured an interview with teacher and activist Cornel West:

Trump has been feuding with Kelly since the Republican debate on Aug. 6, saying she was unfair to him by asking about the misogynistic insults he has directed at women over the years.

Hours after the debate, Trump sent out a series of tweets and retweets attacking her. Then, he infamously said she had “blood coming out of her eyes. Blood coming out of her — wherever.”  Trump later claimed “wherever” referred to her nose.

Shortly after the Trump tirade, Kelly went on vacation, which Trump implied was “probably” because of fallout over the debate. However, Fox News said the vacation had been planned.

The attacks on Kelly reportedly led to a phone call between Trump and Fox News chairman Roger Ailes in which the two agreed to an apparent ceasefire

Based on Trump’s tweets late Monday, the ceasefire may be over.

 

Related on HuffPost:

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Trump VS Bush: Persuasion Wars

Introduction:

Someone accused me of having a man-crush on Trump because I keep writing about him. I plead guilty. I have no idea whether he would be a good President or not, and I don’t believe you know either. My man-crush is based on Trump’s persuasion skills. I have never seen better.

I hope that sharing some of Trump’s methods will make you more effective in your own life. And it is fun stuff. 

— start —

Who is the better persuader: Donald Trump or Jeb Bush? 

Let’s start with this article about Trump’s oft-repeated campaign theme “We have to take our country back.” The article suggests that the sentence is veiled racism and an intentional call to anti-immigration types.

Is it?

If you look at this situation with a political filter, it sure looks like a secret dog whistle to the anti-immigration folks, as the article suggests. But if you look at it through the filter of a trained hypnotist reviewing the work of another, you see a lot more.

You want to know what I see, right?

Hypnosis rule #1 is that you leave out the details and allow people to fill in the blanks with their own imagination. That’s why, for example, my comic characters have no last names while working in a nameless company for a nameless boss in a nameless location. I don’t want a reader in France to think Dilbert is an American and therefore of little interest. I want the French reader, the Elbonian, and the American to look at the Dilbert characters and say some version of “That character is me!” In order to achieve that effect, I intentionally omit details that would knock you off the track. For example, the minute I give Dilbert a last name it would over-specify his ethnic origins and give folks a reason to feel less connected.

When your intention is persuasion, you need to know when to drop a huge anchor that redirects everyone’s attention to one point and when to do the opposite and create a vague suggestion so people can fill in the blanks on their own. I’ll explain some examples of both.

In the first debate, Megyn Kelly asked Trump to explain his offensive comments about specific women. If Trump had engaged in the question, the headlines the next day would have been about him “walking back” what he said, or lying about what he said, or simply being smeared with the topic in general. It was a perfect media trap. Trump was expected to say something generic and defensive, and then the media would take it out of context and paint him as a horrible sexist. That ploy would have generated a week’s worth of “news” that required no research and no flying into a war zone. Very economical.

But Trump dropped an anchor on the media’s collective asses before the question was fully formed. He interrupted with “Only Rosie O’Donnell” (an unpopular name among core Republicans) and completely owned the headlines after that. That was some genius misdirection, and it was probably planned in advance. So that’s a good example of when to use a strong, visual anchor.

But how does a persuader know when to redirect attention to something specific versus being vague so the audience can fill in the blanks? Let me see if I can answer that for you.

A golden rule in sales is “Don’t sell past the close.” That means that once your customer says yes, you stop talking about the product because you might accidentally say something that stops the sale. You never add detail when the customer is already sold. The less you say, the more likely the customer (who is already sold) will continue talking himself into loving the decision because people like to think they are smart. (Google “cognitive dissonance” for more on that topic.)

Now review Trump’s empty sentence: We need to take America back.

From whom? Notice the intentional lack of detail? In this case, the lack of detail is the powerful part of the sentence.

The media’s political filter automatically goes to immigration, and that interpretation is probably somewhat right. The problem is that it is only 10% of the explanation. The other 90% is what is happening in voters’ heads when they get an open-ended suggestion that someone has somehow stolen the country. 

Who did this awful thing???

Is it the top one-percenters who stole all the country’s money?

Is it the liberals?

Is it the politically-correct people?

Is it the immigrants who are taking jobs?

Is it the wrong-headed people in general?

Is it the minorities? The women?

Is it just our reputation in the world that we lost?

Was it our former greatness we lost?

See how the open-ended suggestion works? Every voter is free to fill in the topic of their own greatest fear. Your brain is a movie that creates your personal history, and when the movie finds a gap, your imagination fills it in. It happens automatically and bypasses rational thought. As with the salesperson who has already made the sale, Trump says nothing you can dislike while giving you the freedom to fill in the blanks in the way that influences you the most.

In other words, Trump’s sentence “We need to take America back” invites you to hypnotize yourself to finish the thought. And you do.

Secondly, we know from studies that human brains are wired to have a greater response to loss, or potential loss, than to potential gain. Trump’s slogan about taking back America speaks to loss while retaining the optimism that we can get it back. That is pure, engineered, persuasion perfection. 

Trump’s slogan should, by design, make every voter spontaneously imagine the one thing they believe they have lost. It could be anything, from personal privacy to job opportunity to whatever. If you are afraid you lost it, Trump’s slogan makes you think of it automatically. And you just automatically paired your emotional sense of wanting something precious with … Donald Trump. 

Many of you still believe Trump’s rise in the polls is some sort of media-generated side show. It isn’t. It is a master class in persuasion paired with perfect timing and a weak field.

And I don’t think I need to explain why Trump’s hat is bright red, or why he is keeping his hair covered. There are no accidents in Trump’s world.

You might think that all world-class politicians have the same set of linguistic tools at their command. Let’s check that assumption by taking a look at Jeb Bush’s recent campaign utterances to see how they match up on the persuasion scale.

Jeb Bush recently said that Trump was a Democrat longer than he was a Republican in the past decade. That sounds like a good zinger, right? It got a lot of press, just as Bush wanted. Does Bush win that round?

Nope.

Mentioning Trump’s party change might have been a good thing to say before Trump was trouncing Bush in the polls and locking up the nomination. But today it sounds like Bush is telling independent voters that Trump is not a slave to any party. They love that. And independents will probably decide the election.

It would be hard to engineer a worse thing for Bush to say at this stage.

Bush has also been saying on the campaign trail that Trump favored a tax hike on the wealthy. Again, it would have been a great thing to say before Trump became the probable Republican nominee. But saying that sort of thing today is telling Democrats and Independents that Trump is not the greedy billionaire you were afraid he might be. It solves one of Trump’s biggest problems.

On the persuasion scale, and looking at only these few examples, Trump gets his usual A+ and Jeb Bush gets whatever is worse than a failing grade. I say worse because failing in this context would mean having no impact on voters, but Bush probably convinced voters to prefer his opponent. You can’t fail harder than that.

These are just anecdotes. The fun here is seeing how many of the examples going forward fit the persuasion hypothesis. 

I remind you that in my opinion all of the candidates on both sides are reasonably qualified for the job of president. Trump has a huge persuasion advantage, but I don’t know how that would translate into the job of president.

Update 1: See this political thinker dismiss Trump’s linguistic savvy and try to explain his success as nothing but the public’s distaste for government. That is one small part of it. I’m fairly sure the other candidates are promising to change/fix everything too. Why don’t we believe them?

There is a reason Trump’s message penetrates the crowd noise while the other candidates crawl back to their dark corners. Trump is trained in the art of persuasion, and literally wrote the book on it. His opponents are politicians. That’s comparing a bazooka to a fly-swatter.

Update 2: Here’s a new story about Jeb Bush saying things that opponents are taking out of context, thus causing him to defend himself from the professional Outragists. Compare Bush’s strategy of defending himself with facts versus Trump’s method of ballsy redirection and emotionally nailing the listener to an entirely different topic. Which method looks more effective to you?

My updated prediction is that Trump will win the general election by a large margin. (Prior prediction was a small margin.) 

Scott

In Top Tech Blog today, how about a 3D printer that can print ten different materials? That seems close to the point at which robots can build new robots. One futurist predicted that when robots can build robots, everything changes. For example, robots could build power generation plants in the desert on the cheap and solve the world’s energy problems. Not sure I believe that yet.

Have you read my book yet?*

(”yet” in this context is a persuasion word. It is meant to cause you to think “no” while accepting the “yet” part without reason.)

image


Scott Adams Blog

Woman Sees Donald Trump In Her Vegan Butter

I can’t believe it’s not Donald!

Jan Castellano was getting ready to have some breakfast when she almost lost her lunch. She opened a tub of Earth Balance Organic Spread with plans to put the vegan butter on her toast — only to see what she claims is the image of Donald Trump looking right back at her.

It wasn’t necessarily appetizing, but it was entertaining.

“This was pretty much before I had coffee, so I was easily amused,” Castellano, 63, told The Huffington Post. “I needed to put on my glasses to make sure it was him.”

Castellano, of Wildwood, Missouri, says she wasn’t thrilled to see The Donald, mainly because “he is everywhere these days.”

She thought about saving the Trump-enhanced spread and sell it on eBay “so I could donate the money to Hillary Clinton.”

But short-term hunger won out over long-term wealth.

“It was the only butter I had, so I had to make the sacrifice,” she explained.

Currently, only Trump’s eye and part of his mouth remain in the tub, and Castellano hopes his campaign “melts away like butter” as well.

HuffPost reached out to Earth Balance to see if the Trump face was intentional, but the company had no comment. 

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Donald Trump Can Be Stopped — Draft Kim Kardashian

With Donald Trump leading the presidential race in the Republican Party by a “huge” margin, the Democratic Party needs to get serious here and produce a world-class elite candidate who can compete down at this level.

The obvious choice is Kim Kardashian.

Kim would wrest media coverage away from Trump. On recent evenings, all three networks of CNN, MSNBC and Fox News abandoned their prime-time news programs, and instead cut away for lengthy segments to a live video feed of Trump giving speeches. Flipping channels provided no relief because they all showed the exact same thing, like a presidential address. Trump was blabbing on and on about his own magnificence without saying a single word of substance, and all three news networks remained locked onto it.

Kim could give speeches that say absolutely nothing as well, but she could deliver them in a bikini.

Now that would trump Trump.

Plus, Kim is far more qualified to be president than Trump. She is way more famous. Her reality TV show was far better than Trump’s. And Kim has 35 million followers on Twitter compared to Trump’s paltry four million followers. It’s not even close.

The presidential debates between the two would really distinguish the best candidate to lead this nation. Trump would start by asserting that Kim is not a “10.” But this would not go over very well because the voters would see that Trump just attacks opponents without any basis in reality.

Trump would then seek to impugn Kim’s moral integrity by reminding everyone that she made a sex video. Kim, however, would turn the tables on Trump and create a you’re-no-Jack-Kennedy moment that would achieve presidential debate history by challenging Trump to make his own sex video and post it online so voters would have a basis for comparing the two candidates.

Actually, this is not such a bad idea. After all, with Trump proclaiming that voters should just “trust” him that he would be a good president based upon his personality instead of having to present any specific policies, voters do need some sort of a way to assess his ability to perform.

Now, some say that the Democratic Party should just stick with its current front-runner, Hillary Clinton. But Hillary has some very big problems in this new upside-down universe. She is intelligent, experienced and accomplished. That’s not good. Hillary also has thought through many difficult issues facing this nation and she has developed smart policy positions on how she would seek to solve these issues as president. Big mistake. It’s just difficult to see what all that dull and boring stuff has to do with anything.

So the Democrats need to rise to the occasion here and kick-off a movement to draft Kim.

Trump versus Kim will be the greatest spectacle of our time. The news networks will achieve record ratings and, of course, record profits. It will be the greatest reality TV show ever.

And a sad day for democracy.

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If Donald Trump Were Batman

If Donald Trump Were Batman

If Donald Trump Were Batman
Donald Trump recently compared himself to Batman. This is what that may look like because fuck it, why not.
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Trump Excels at Business, But He Has No Business in International Politics

Listening to Donald Trump’s egotistical take, you’d think his loud business personality translates perfectly into international politics. Mexico acting up? No matter; he’ll hop on the phone and curse Mexico out. China spiffing us in trade deals? Who cares! A solution is a phone call and an immature insult away. “Your country sucks, China!” Problem solved.

Except while that might work on TV, it would backfire in reality. As several commentators have already pointed out, Trump’s “refusal to act diplomatically [would be] catastrophic for the lead diplomat of the United States.” Diplomacy requires subtlety, tact and restraint — something everyone from Sun Tzu to Henry Kissinger agrees on. But screaming insults like a petulant toddler? That sort of behavior is best left on The Apprentice.

I’m not saying business experience has no place in politics. It obviously does. Outsiders bring valuable insights into the political process, and a more realistic representation of how business works — stressing restraint and negotiation over needless offense — translates extremely well into international diplomacy.

But Trump’s view of how his own bombastic business personality would play in the political realm is remarkably shortsighted. He speaks of countries as if they were individuals, and he acts like solutions to complex problems lie in three-word slogans. That pithy ideology might work for Trump’s personal life, but it would spell disaster if adopted by the president of the United States. In Trump’s worldview as presented thus far, one gets the impression that Israel-Palestine can be solved by a few stern phone calls and maybe a fancy steak dinner afterwards. If that fails, then bombs should do the trick. Yeah right.

Obviously, Trump’s oversimplification of international relations has appeal. Most people don’t have the background knowledge, the patience, or the time to truly consider the intricacies of, say, the development of ISIL. As Robert Greene writes in The 48 Laws of Power, short mantras have an intrinsic draw, a resonance that longer, more nuanced takes on things just don’t have. And that’s fine — for the average citizen. But the president of the United States, wielding a governmental branch clothed in immense executive power, should have a more thorough understanding of foreign policy.

He or she should understand that illegal immigration is not a problem the Mexican government alone can control, or that empirical evidence suggests undocumented immigrants actually commit less crime than native-born Americans. He or she should acknowledge that a disgusting phenomenon like ISIL has complex political, religious, and historical underpinnings that will not be, cannot be, dismantled by a few well-placed explosives — rhetorical or military. A responsible president should know that criticisms of China and Japan for manipulating currency should be restrained and qualified, to acknowledge (for example) Japan’s two decades of careful economic policy aimed at counteracting slumping fiscal performance. And so on.

Because in foreign policy, jabs aren’t taken lightly; and unlike in Trump’s business affairs, insulting a country ticks off a heck of a lot more people than the one person on the other side of the phone line.

Business isn’t simple; foreign policy isn’t either. If Trump wants to be taken seriously by the general electorate, he should demonstrate the nuanced understanding of foreign policy exemplified by candidates ranging from Jeb Bush to Hillary Clinton.

As things stand now, the world is far too dangerous and complex a place for Donald Trump to be at its helm, his hand hovering over the nuclear button, ready to shout “you’re fired!” at anyone who ticks him off.

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Donald Trump In Alabama: Bring It On

MOBILE, Ala. (AP) — Republican front-runner Donald Trump on Friday joked, “I know how Billy Graham felt” as he addressed the largest crowd yet of his thriving presidential campaign.

“I would like to have the election tomorrow,” Trump crowed. “I don’t want to wait.”

Thousands of Alabama voters came out to hear the New Yorker bring his message to the Deep South. The 40,000-seat Ladd-Peebles Stadium was about half-full when Trump began his speech.

Trump was welcomed by an array of Alabama politicians, including Republican Sen. Jeff Sessions, who praised him for the attention he’s drawn to immigration issues. And Trump led off his speech with more criticism of immigrants living in the country illegally, drawing loud cheers when he repeated his promise to build a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border.

 He reiterated his intention to end “birthright citizenship” for children of immigrants here illegally.

Trump also attacked the Obama administration’s deal with Iran to restrict that country’s nuclear program, calling it “so sad.”

 

And he promised to “repeal and replace Obamacare” — the health care law that’s President Barack Obama’s singular domestic achievement.

Before Trump arrived, his fans — some carrying signs, others wearing T-shirts supporting the billionaire businessman — spoke of his outsider status in a crowded field dominated by former and current elected officials as the song “Sweet Home Alabama” blared from loudspeakers.

 

 ”Donald Trump is telling the truth and people don’t always like that,” said Donald Kidd, a 73-year-old retired pipe welder from Mobile. “He is like George Wallace, he told the truth. It is the same thing.”

Wallace, a fierce opponent of civil rights, served as governor of Alabama and sought the presidency multiple times.

Kidd said Trump is a “breath of fresh air,” and praised him as a businessman with common sense.

Savannah Zimmerman, a 27-year-old registered nurse from Mobile, agreed. “I think he appeals to us Southerners because he tells it like it is and he has strong opinions. That is the way we are here in the South,” she said.

Mary Anne Bousenitz, 59, a retired psychiatrist from Tuscaloosa, said she isn’t offended by the insults Trump has directed at women, like “dog” and “bimbo.”

“I’m not married to the man and it’s not like I’m going to have to sit across a turkey at the table with him,” she said.

Interest in the candidate forced organizers to move a planned rally from the Mobile Civic Center, which holds about 2,000 people, to Ladd-Peebles Stadium, a 40,000-seat football stadium.

Before the rally, Trump tweeted: “We are going to have a wild time in Alabama tonight! Finally, the silent majority is back!”

During the height of the Vietnam War, Richard Nixon sought the backing of the “silent majority,” widely considered to be Americans who stood behind the Republican president and weren’t getting the attention that protesters attracted. Trump has derided elected officials and cast his candidacy as an outsider’s bid.

The Bush campaign on Friday night e-mailed thousands of supporters in Alabama, denouncing Trump as a Republican presidential candidate. The campaign statement said that Trump favors partial-birth abortions, supports restrictions on gun rights and backs laws that infringe on states’ land rights.

 

 

“Trump’s positions are deeply out of step with the Alabama way of life,” the campaign said in the email. “We know Alabama cherishes life, especially the life of the unborn.” 

Right to Rise USA, the super PAC supporting Bush, tweeted photos of a plane, with a banner ad bashing Trump and promoting Bush, flying over the stadium, before Trump’s rally.

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Musician: Donald Trump is a spoiled brat

Colombian rock singer Juanes talks to CNN about Donald Trump and his comments on immigration.


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Crying Kid Reacts To Donald Trump

Crying Kid Reacts To Donald Trump

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Azealia Banks: Who does Donald Trump think he is?

Azealia Banks has taken a stab at Donald Trump on Twitter, warning there are “more Mexicans than Donald Trumps” in the US.
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Would Owen Wilson Make A Good Donald Trump In A Movie?

At the ‘She’s Funny That Way’ LA premiere, Owen Wilson tells Access’ Liz Hernandez he might win an Oscar if he played Donald Trump correctly.


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18 Real Things Donald Trump Has Actually Said About Women

Donald Trump claims to “cherish” women, but his actions — and words — suggest otherwise. 

Fox News’ Megyn Kelly called him out on his sexist behavior during the GOP debate on August 6, reminding him: “You have called women you don’t like ‘fat pigs’, ‘dogs’, ‘slobs’, and ‘disgusting animals.” 

 Trump laughed off the question, claiming he doesn’t “have the time for total political correctness.” Later, Trump called Kelly a “bimbo” and said that he “didn’t recognize” the remarks she was referencing. 

Well, we recognize them. 

Trump has consistently insulted, belittled, sexualized and stereotyped women. He has also taken the time to personally insult individual notable women like Sarah Jessica Parker, Rosie O’Donnell, Cher, Bette Midler, and others. 

 Here are 18 of the most outrageous things Trump has said about women:

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The Donald Trump Conversation: Murdoch, Ailes, NBC and the Rush of Being TV’s “Ratings Machine”


In his first magazine cover interview and photo shoot as the leading Republican, the reality TV presidential candidate lets loose on Hillary’s email scandal (“Watergate on steroids”), Bill Cosby (“Was he drunk?”), whether he’ll go on Megyn Kelly’s show, why he won’t accept vice president, Melania as first lady, and if he even needs Fox News and the haters.

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Heidi Klum Reacts To Donald Trump Comment: ‘In My Book, Every Woman Is A 10’

Heidi Klum tells Access Hollywood guest correspondent Scott Evans how she really feels about Donald Trump’s recent comments that she’s no longer a ’10.’


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Is Donald Trump the Love Child of Gorgeous George the Wrestler

“A lot of people will pay to see someone shut your mouth. So keep on bragging, keep on sassing and always be outrageous.” – Gorgeous George

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I don’t want to start rumors, but Gorgeous George the wrestler was thirty-one years old, and already famous, when Donald Trump was born in the borough of Queens, New York City, 1946. Now, I don’t know if it was possible, but with all that travel George did, could he have had a liaison with Donald’s mom? I’m not saying it’s true or not, but I was raised in Queens as well, not that long afterward, and I know for a fact there was plenty of adultery and illicit affairs. So go put two and two together, if you know what I mean.

And even if he wasn’t, Donald sure acts like he sat at his papa’s knee and learned all his tricks. You see, Gorgeous George was responsible for making professional wrestling what it is today, a sports entertainment extravaganza. He is credited with helping professional wrestling leap from local circus and carnival acts straight into national television. And he did it in the most unconventional way possible, by bringing to the macho stoic circus of male athleticism an undeniably effeminate and narcissistic panache.

He came into the ring with expensive robes and a valet. He sprayed Chanel No. 5 (although he called it No. 10 to indicate double strength) to disinfect the ring and chided his fellow wrestlers as unworthy and dumb. Most imaginatively, he understood that the typical role of heel in wrestling, the bad guy who gets his comeuppanth from the hero or face, could be turned inside out; the loud mouth becoming the main attraction. When he said “so keep on bragging, keep on sassing and always be outrageous,” he wasn’t just blowing smoke. He was giving advice to a 19-year-old Muhammad Ali, who took it seriously and replicated George’s act with Sonny Liston. Although not particularly athletic, the most notable physical trait about George was his hair, which he grew out long, dyed platinum blonde and put in gold-plated bobby pins.

In professional wrestling, everything is scripted and organized to attract attention. The book schedules events and comes up with angles, which is wrestling talk for a storyline that will grab attention. Usually this involves one wrestler attacking another physically or verbally which results in a revenge match. Everything is scripted, even the staged rivalry among multiple wrestlers complete with overlapping storylines and historical feuds woven in. “You can see blood coming out of their eyes, coming out of wherever” could have been the tag line for a Madison Garden A-show, the wrestling term for a card featuring wrestling fan’s biggest draws. In my childhood that would have been Killer Kowalski, Gorilla Monsoon, Bobo Brazil, and Bruno Sammartino, not Ted Cruz, Chris Christie, Marco Rubio and Bush. But times have changed.

What Gorgeous George did for wrestling, Donald Trump has done for politics. He has completed the transition from a fairly predictable set of political hand holds, boilerplate slogans, and caricatures of liberal or conservative philosophies, and injected into the political ring a no holds barred form of political entertainment extravaganza. Fox News had 24 million viewers for its first Republican debate and, as the Los Angeles Times pointed out, that was 500,000 more than watched Game 7 of the World Series. How is that for political entertainment, drawing in both fans and detractors wanting to hoot, holler and have a good time.

And give this son of George credit. When he feints and jabs, winking and smiling, he knows he is talking directly to his fan base and over the heads of the stuffy pundits and journalists who, like the slow moving ref in the ring, are simply outmatched. “Get your filthy hands off me!” George once admonished a judge who had dared pull back his robe to check for foreign objects. And how dare journalists attack Donald Trump, who really wants to get along with everyone, even Roger Ailes, the head of Fox News who negotiated a truce after Trump threatened to boycott Fox regarding his treatment by a Fox correspondent and news anchor.

And what about dealing with our foes? When Donald Trump says he will put a ring around the Islamic State, he’s not talking traditional marriage. No way, he will poke his opponent right in the eye: “We go in, knock the hell out of ’em, we take the oil.” What to do about the leaders of Mexico handpicking their criminals and rapists and sending them our way? Build a wall and make Mexico pay for it. Knee to the groin, brilliant!

And don’t ever let those pesky journalists corner you. As reported in the New York Times, Trump answered, after repeated questions from journalists about his specifics for fixing the economy and foreign policy: “I think you’re going to see lots of plans.” What could be more concise or clearer.

Of course, Donald’s main gift is his ability to get into feuds with politicians and celebrities. When asked about the war hero, Senator John McCain, Trump questioned his hero status. “He’s not a war hero. He’s a war hero because he was captured. I like people that weren’t captured, OK.” When later asked about his own military status, Trump offered that he was given a discharge for a problem with one of his feet, but he couldn’t recall which one.

Well, I hate to tell you but that whole sequence is quite clever. Like his father, perhaps not his father, but similar, Trump follows in the glorious footsteps of Gorgeous George who got away with being the first cowardly villain that achieved heroic status. Yet, Donald Trump is not simply an entertainer; he’s a viable candidate for the United States presidency. What might this tell us about the collective, you know — us?

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Klum ‘Trumps Trump’ with Instragram video

Heidi Klum ‘Trumps Trump’ responding with Instagram video to his comment that ‘She’s no longer a 10.’ Bob Mezan reports.


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NBC Nabs Trump Interview, And MSNBC Plays It On Seemingly Infinite Loop

NBC nabbed what it claims was an exclusive interview with Donald Trump on Sunday (in reality, ABC also aired footage from a Martha Raddatz interview with the businessman). Since then, sister network MSNBC has played the exchange with Chuck Todd on “Meet the Press” so many times it makes you wonder whether the producers have lost their minds.

Since Sunday, when the network promoted the interview on three of its morning shows, it has run the same clip of Donald Trump and Chuck Todd in the reality TV star’s private plane a whopping 51 times. In total, MSNBC has featured parts of the clip 79 times up until “The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell” Tuesday evening.

The media continue to air silly segments asking why Donald Trump is leading in the polls, but the answer is simple: As political scientist John Sides has shown, the reality TV star’s standing in the polls is commensurate to the amount of media coverage he gets

So when MSNBC inevitably impanels a group of talking heads to talk about why Trump’s numbers keep ticking up, the network might want to consider the effect its own Trump-mania might have on the campaign. 

Gabriel Arana is senior media editor at The Huffington Post.



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Reince Priebus Asks Trump To Quit Presidential Race

Reince Priebus Asks Trump To Quit Presidential Race

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The head of the Republican National Committee asks front-runner Donald Trump to stop making a mockery of the GOP.
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Ivanka Trump Discusses Fashion and Business — But No Politics, Please

With an expanding signature collection of her own, an executive role at the Trump Organization and a father who’s poking the political hornet’s nest with his decidedly non-PC style, it’s safe to say Ivanka Trump has a lot going on.
Accustomed to operating in overdrive, the Wharton grad is now suiting up 3,500 Trump Hotel staffers in uniforms she designed. Trump handles design and the creative vision for the company’s nine existing properties and four yet-to-be-opened ones in Baku, Azerbaijan; Rio de Janeiro; Vancouver, and Washington, D.C. She also serves as executive vice president of development and acquisitions at the Trump Organization. With two young children and an equally ambitious husband in Jared Kushner, the self-described “American wife, mother and entrepreneur” may represent a different sort of bold-faced paradigm in the fashion business. While that alone is something of a feat, it is not a moniker the former model acknowledged in any way during an interview last week.
Speaking about her new uniform designs, Trump very much stayed on message. While she has cheered on her father Donald’s take-no-prisoners presidential bid to her nearly 1.7 million Twitter followers and 582,000 more on Instagram, she wasn’t about to engage on political matters. “I

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Trump Woos Kids With Helicopter Rides At Iowa State Fair

DES MOINES, Iowa — The main concourse at the Iowa State Fairgrounds on a weekend is always a spectacle with thousands of attendees, but this Saturday Iowans shifted their focus to the skies, where Donald Trump’s helicopter circled overhead.

“Is that Donald Trump’s helicopter?” asked one woman as she stood in line to purchase tickets to the fair for herself and her three children.

“Yes, you can see it says Trump on it,” replied another. 

Trump made a grand entrance in a parking lot more than a mile from the fairgrounds, landing his $ 7 million Sikorsky S-76 helicopter and taking questions from reporters before offering up free rides to youngsters.

“We started with smaller venues, but the crowds have gotten bigger and bigger,” he said, responding to a question about his plans on campaigning in living rooms and at house parties — the strategy most candidates utilize in Iowa.

The business-mogul-turned-GOP-presidential-hopeful brushed aside a few questions about specific policy stances. 

“I don’t think the people care, I think the press do,” Trump said. “I’ve been getting politicians to pass whatever I wanted all of my life. Big New York City zoning deals are probably tougher than most of the things I’d be dealing with, with foreign countries.”

After nearly 15 minutes of questions, Trump told the children standing behind him — who were holding signs and clad in Trump apparel — it was time for a helicopter ride, drawing cheers. Among them stood 10-year-old Shay Doyle, a fifth-grader from Waverly who is one of Trump’s biggest fans.

“You can go to the fair and ride the Tilt-a-Whirl or ride on Trump’s private helicopter,” Tana Goertz, Trump’s Iowa state co-chair, told The Huffington Post. “These kids will never forget this experience.”

As The Donald headed into the fairgrounds, swarms of media and adoring fans surrounded his golf cart, making it difficult for the GOP hopeful to navigate through. Trump spent about an hour at the fair, skipping a scheduled visit to the infamous 600-pound butter cow because the crowds proved to be a security risk. Instead, he snacked on part of a pork chop at the Iowa Pork Producers’ tent, shaking hands and taking selfies.

“It’s a political tsunami, everywhere he goes,” Goertz said.

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Bernie Sanders Jabs Donald Trump Over Helicopter Rides

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) took a swipe at fellow presidential candidate Donald Trump’s high-flying antics at the Iowa State Fair on Saturday, joking that he had forgotten to bring an aircraft to tango with Trump’s private helicopter.

“I apologize, we left the helicopter at home,” the Democratic hopeful told NPR’s Don Gonyea. “It’s in the garage,” Sanders added as Trump departed the fairgrounds in his $ 7 million helicopter.

The Republican frontrunner swooped into the fairgrounds on Saturday to crowds of adoring fans, boasting his following beat Hillary Clinton’s by a factor of 10, POLITICO reported.  Trump’s time at the proving grounds for presidential hopefuls was brief, but loud. He trumpeted his slogans of “Make America Great Again,” and dreided the policies of the Obama administration.

 

As other candidates in the 2015 race mingled with voters and ate fair food, the business titan batted away questions from the press for 15 minutes, before whisking a group of children up in his “TRUMP ” emblazoned helicopter for a taste of the high-life.

 

 

“You can go to the fair and ride the Tilt-a-Whirl or ride on Trump’s private helicopter,” Tana Goertz, Trump’s Iowa state co-chair, told The Huffington Post. “These kids will never forget this experience.”

Trumps antics provided a sharp contrast to Sanders, who has made income inequality a pillar of his campaign. Sanders walked the grounds accompanied by hundreds of supporters chanting “We love you Bernie!” Despite their differences, Trump and Sanders share at least one thing in common: both are hot with potential voters.

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Can We Call a Trump Puppet a Trumpet?

When Donald Trump uses his persuasion skills to turn someone into a puppet, can we call that person a Trumpet? I vote yes!

Because I want America to be great again.

Anyway, yesterday I blogged about Trump’s masterful use of persuasion and I thought some of you would enjoy seeing a perfect example of a common technique. It is the sort of thing you can do at home.

Warning: Stop reading now if you do not want to take the risk of being influenced to buy a particular item. Seriously. What follows is an experiment in manipulating your opinion. If that sort of experience does not appeal to you, please stop reading. 

And this warning is serious. It is not part of the experiment. 

If you’re still with me, check out this screen grab of my book’s ranking on one of Amazon’s bestseller sub-groups. My book is just above Trump’s book, and I’m almost positive he is getting more publicity lately.

image

[If your firewall is blocking the image, it is just two books side-by-side.]

To be fair, this ranking lasted about five minutes and means absolutely nothing. The temporary ranking of my book in an obscure sub-group listing does not indicate its value.

But here’s the thing. My words have a LITTLE impact on your memory. But the image of my book next to Trump’s book is a visual you are likely to remember even though it has no impact on your life. In effect, my book’s image is leeching off the “value” people see in Trump, either because he is a successful business person or because he might be the next president of the United States. Even if you dislike Trump on an intellectual level, he is still associated in your mind with success, wealth and power. And I just siphoned off some of that goodwill for my book.

The way you influence people is by managing their dominant thoughts. And you can do that by associating things in people’s minds the way a dog associates obedience with treats. The brain is a natural connection-maker. It can’t turn that function off. A skilled persuader can chain together thoughts so one borrows the qualities of the other. Repetition strengthens the association.

Trump wants to “Make America Great.” All three of those words are winning words. That choice of words is no clown accident. Trump is making people associate his brand with America, greatness, and even “making” stuff, which is generally good. Every time you hear his slogan, or read it, the association is strengthened.

Compare Trump’s slogan to some dumb-ass intellectual slogan such as “I will make government smaller!” The words government and smaller are total loser words. The quality of that person’s argument will be lost on most voters. All they will know is that Trump wants to make them great while the other candidate wants to make something smaller.

My main point is that intellectual arguments lose to visual arguments and to powerful associations such as “America” and “great.” You think Trump is spouting calorie-free non-policies because he’s an idiot who hasn’t done his homework. The reality (as far as I can tell) is that he’s playing three-dimensional chess with two-dimensional opponents.

Here I’ll remind you that I don’t support any of the candidates at this point. My main interest in Trump is his persuasion skills.

Scott

Note: I am not including a link to my book because it wouldn’t seem sporting in this context.

In Top Tech Blog, how about an AI that can jam with a jazz band? If it works, and passes the jazz-Turing test, it will be one more blow against the superstition that music comes from the soul. Sometimes it comes from the algorithm.


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Donald Trump — DJ Learns Art of the Deal … I Got Your Slogan Right Here!

Donald Trump is getting out-Trumped by a radio DJ who’s trying to snatch the candidate’s catchphrase — “Make America Great Again” — and then sell it back for a $ 100k. Bobby Estell is such a huge Trump fan he tried to score a hat…

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Breaking News! Trump to Run as an Independent! Right?

Donald Trump has threatened that if he is not treated fairly and with respect by the GOP, he may run as independent.

During the late debate Thursday night, Fox News moderator Megyn Kelly dared to ask him the following question:

“Mr. Trump, one of the things people love about you is you speak your mind and you don’t use a politician’s filter. However, that is not without its downsides, in particular, when it comes to women. You’ve called women you don’t like ‘fat pigs, dogs, slobs, and disgusting animals.'”

“Your Twitter account has several disparaging comments about women’s looks. You once told a contestant on Celebrity Apprentice it would be a pretty picture to see her on her knees. Does that sound to you like the temperament of a man we should elect as president, and how will you answer the charge from Hillary Clinton, who was likely to be the Democratic nominee, that you are part of the war on women?”

Ah! Oh! Donald wasn’t treated with respect! I smell trouble.

Trump’s response included, “What I say is what I say. And honestly Megyn, if you don’t like it, I’m sorry. I’ve been very nice to you, although I could probably maybe not be, based on the way you have treated me. But I wouldn’t do that.”

Apparently he would do that. On Friday he made this wise crack about Ms. Kelly, “You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever.” (You all remember the show The Wherever Monologues, don’t you?) Maybe it’s Mr. Trump who needs the Midol.

In response, conservative commentator Erick Erickson rescinded his prior invitation to Trump to speak at the RedState Gathering, instead inviting Ms. Kelly. Mr. Erikson is quoted as saying “I don’t want my daughter in the same room with Donald Trump.”

Ah! Oh! Again.

Today Trump clarified his remarks and tweeted “Re Megyn Kelly quote: ‘you could see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever’ (NOSE). Just got on w/thought”

It seems it took the thoughtful Mr. Trump overnight to think of the word “NOSE.” In his defense, his own nose was overshadowed by the foot in his mouth.

And today Fox News founder Rupert Murdoch tweeted “Baier, Kelly, Wallace great job Thursday. Fine journalism, no more, no less. Friend Donald has to learn this is public life.”

Most of the other GOP candidates also dissed the Donald.

To quote Rodney Dangerfield, “I don’t get no respect!” Trump is a man of his word, isn’t he? Then we must all assume he’s running as an independent.

Hillary thanks you.

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Donald Trump — Booted from Republican Event Over Megyn Kelly Comment

Donald Trump is now persona non grata at a big Republican event tonight, for his comments about Megyn Kelly. Erick Erickson, who organized the RedState Gathering, says, “I just don’t want someone on stage who gets a hostile question from a lady and his…

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Donald Trump, Strategist Roger Stone Spar Over Campaign Exit


“Sorry @realDonaldTrump didn’t fire me- I fired Trump,” Stone tweeted.

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Trump Loses Top Adviser; He had Advisers?

Trump has lost someone I never thought he had– a political consultant.

Trump’s top adviser, Roger Stone, is no longer on the team. Stone is the guy who reportedly said that Trump wasn’t coached for the debate and that “. . . no one puts words in his mouth.” That’s understandable. There wouldn’t be room with that foot in there.

It is being reported Stone, either quit or was fired today, depending upon whose pants are on fire. Apparently this blowup was a result of Trump’s comments about Megyn Kelly. (In case you missed all of this drama, please click here to read my prior posting on this subject.)

A Trump campaign spokesperson reportedly stated, “Mr. Trump fired Roger Stone last night. We have a tremendously successful campaign and Roger wanted to use the campaign for his own personal publicity. He has had a number of articles about him recently and Mr. Trump wants to keep the focus of the campaign on how to Make America Great Again.”

Stone disputed this and tweeted, “Sorry @realDonaldTrump didn’t fire me- I fired Trump. Diasagree with diversion to food fight with @megynkelly away core issue messages”

Trump previously fired political consultant Sam Nunberg over alleged racist remarks he made on Facebook.

At any rate, Trump was absolutely correct to find new advisers. Apparently the old ones gave him the horrible advice to “just be yourself.”

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Forget Trump! Rosie O’Donnell buys tropical Palm Beach escape

Move over Trump! Rosie O’Donnell can finally retreat from the GOP candidate’s jabs with her new luxurious waterfront home in Palm Beach.


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Donald Trump Post-Debate Interview

Donald Trump Post-Debate Interview

Donald Trump Post-Debate Interview 3:02
Donald Trump recaps his performance in the first Republican presidential debates.
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Trump: Megyn Kelly Had ‘Blood Coming Out Of Her … Wherever’

Donald Trump has taken his spat with Fox News’ Megyn Kelly, who asked him tough questions during the first GOP presidential debate, to a whole new level.

“You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes. Blood coming out of her — wherever,” the GOP frontrunner told CNN’s Don Lemon Friday night, referring to his back-and-forth with Kelly, a moderator of Thursday’s debate.

Trump unleashed his blood comment after Lemon asked, “What is it with you and Megyn Kelly?”

Trump, who called in to CNN, labelled Kelly a “lightweight” and unprofessional, telling Lemon, “I can’t believe you’re not beating [Megyn Kelly] in the ratings. You should be ashamed of yourself.”

Trump pronounced himself the victor of the debate, citing a poll by the Drudge Report and articles headlining his name on the front pages of The New York Times and The Washington Post. “What’s better than Drudge?” he asked.

Kelly went toe-to-toe with the brash candidate during Thursday’s main event, challenging Trump on his statements about women and his political creed. “You’ve called women you don’t like ‘fat pigs,’ ‘dogs,’ ‘slobs’ and ‘disgusting animals,'” Kelly charged. 

Trump claimed “only Rosie O’Donnell,” had been the target of his words, and said people were too politically correct these days.

Kelly kept the heat on, which Trump later called “unfair.”

“I’ve been very nice to you, although I could probably maybe not be based on the way you have treated me,” he said during the debate.

In a series of late-night tweets following the debate, Trump went after Kelly again, promoting a message that called  her a “bimbo,” and saying she was the biggest loser in the debate.

Correction: This article has been updated to reflect that Trump retweeted another user that called Kelly a “bimbo,” and had not apparently created the tweet himself.

Also on HuffPost:

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Triumphant Trump: Hail to the King!

Yesterday I wrote about the sad seven members of the high school debate club who were relegated to a nearly empty auditorium for the a 5 PM performance.

After the kids went to bed, it was Donald Trump’s night in the big room. A friend of mine accurately described Trump as “negatively compelling.” He was exactly where he wanted to be, the center of the stage and the center of attention. And he stole the show. Let’s be honest– can anyone remember much of what anyone else said?

The bravado-filled boy gave his audience their money’s worth with his “I’ve got to be me” and “Take no prisoners” messages. And he delivered the highest debate ratings in history– 24 million viewers.

Even I can admire Trump’s brashness and bluntness, and his performing without the benefit of political consultants. It isn’t how he says it that is troubling to me– it’s what he says.

While they can battle Trump, no GOP presidential candidate has dared to challenge his supporters. They want to recruit them, not alienate them. Only Senator John McCain (R-AZ) has called Trump minions “crazies,” a luxury reserved for someone not running for president. And that comment will come back to haunt McCain in his bid for a sixth senate term in 2016.

I’m not running for anything, so I am at liberty to take a closer look at Trump’s supporters. They believe what they want and ignore all else– see no evil, hear no evil, and say no evil.

I have a faulty denial system, and prefer reality in politics and illusions in magic tricks. I am willing to proclaim that the Emperor has no clothes. Let’s do some fact checking and separate truth from fiction. But please don’t take my word for it; play the videos or click on the red links below to verify the facts for yourself.

Trump is a loyal Republican.
Facts: He refuses to commit to supporting any other GOP nominee or to acknowledge that he won’t run as an independent– even though that would likely cost the GOP the White House. If he’s Republican, he has a funny way of showing it.

Trump is a conservative.
Facts: He has been pro-choice, and supported Hillary, higher taxes, and universal health coverage.

Trump leads in the polls.
Facts: Yes, at 20% he leads the other 16 candidates, but their combined totals are at 68%, and another 12% are undecided. And polls show him with the highest negative ratings and losing to every potential Democrat. So, while many say “Hail to the King,” it is unlikely anyone will sing “Hail to the Chief” to Trump.

Trump alleged that John McCain was not a war hero.
Facts: Trump said that the only reason McCain is called a war hero is because he was captured, and added “I like people who weren’t captured.” Trump was never captured. He never served. Trump sought and received multiple student draft deferments and a convenient medical deferment. Click here to compare what Trump reportedly was doing when McCain was a POW.

Trump opposes foreign made goods, including those made in China.

Facts: His brand of shirts and ties were made in China and in Bangladesh.

Trump battles against “illegal” immigration.
Facts: The Washington Post reports undocumented workers on a recent Trump construction site.

Trump called Mexicans coming across the border criminals and rapists adding “And some, I assume, are good people. I assume.”
Facts: Fox News founder Rupert Murdoch, one of the most conservative people in America, has tweeted “Mexican immigrants, as with all immigrants, have much lower crime rate than native born. EG El Paso as one of the safest cities. Trump wrong.”

Trump says his vast wealth totals $ 10 billion dollars.
Facts: Forbes says his claims of wealth are half-vast, $ 4 billion.

Trump claims he’s a good person and businessman.
Facts: The documentary film “Trump the Movie” make the case that “It ain’t necessarily so.” You can watch here for free. It might be worth investing 1:22 hours in viewing it before voting for Trump as the leader of the free world. I’m just saying . . .

“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.”– John Adams

— This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.




Entertainment – The Huffington Post
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Critic’s Notebook: No Knockouts, but Trump Brings Drama — and Comedy — to GOP Debate


Donald Trump was the main draw as he trashed, slashed and burned his way through an otherwise lackluster night of political theater.

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Hollywood Reporter

Donald Trump: Bill Clinton Isn’t ‘Happy That I’m Running’

Real estate mogul Donald Trump on Thursday commented on a phone call that took place between himself and former President Bill Clinton earlier this year.

“Yeah, he called me,” Trump told reporters after the first GOP presidential debate in Cleveland. “He’s not happy that I’m running, I can tell you right now, because he thinks I’m the worst nightmare for Hillary.”

The Washington Post reported on Wednesday that the two spoke over the phone in a private conversation, but that the election had not come up. Clinton reportedly “encouraged Trump’s efforts to play a larger role in the Republican Party.” 

Trump didn’t mince words about Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton, however.

“I would say this, nobody has spoken up this strongly of Hillary as I have,” he said. “She should literally — this is a criminal act that she has done, and all you have to do is ask General [David] Petraeus because you look at what happened to him, and that’s peanuts compared to what Hillary did. Look, he understands that I’m Hillary’s worst nightmare. He gets it.”

HuffPost freelancer Samantha-Jo Roth contributed reporting from Cleveland.

— This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.




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GOP Debate: Donald Trump Doubles Down on Mexico Comments, Mocks Rosie O’Donnell


Trump also explained donating to Hillary Clinton in the past.

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Hollywood Reporter

GOP Debate: Donald Trump Doubles Down on Mexico Comments, Mocks Rosie O’Donnell

Ten men were onstage, but Donald Trump was the center of attention during Thursday’s Republican presidential debate. 
Fox News Channel’s Megyn…
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News in Brief: Trump Delivers Anecdote About Small Business Owner Who Isn’t Half The Man He Is

CLEVELAND—Noting that there are millions of entrepreneurs throughout the country who are in the same difficult position, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump responded to a question about the economy at Thursday night’s primary debate by sharing an anecdote about meeting a struggling small business owner who isn’t half the man he is. “Last month, I was speaking with John Perkins, a good, hardworking fellow who runs his own grocery store in Waterloo, Iowa, and who, like so many others out there, is a pathetic, small-time loser without a single shred of my business skills,” said Trump, who explained that Perkins’ recent struggles to keep his business afloat are a direct result of his incompetence and total lack of qualifications for the job, adding that Perkins’ “embarrassing rinky-dink operation is peanuts” compared to The Trump Organization. “This bozo has no idea what he’s doing. In fact, he …



The Onion

Donald Trump — Those Horrible Things I Said About Women Were All About Rosie!

Donald Trump had a Ronald Reagan moment early on in the debate, when he interrupted Megyn Kelly’s attack on him for things he said about women … by making it clear the comments were all about Rosie O’Donnell. Trump owned…

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What Actually Happens When You Try to Give Your Cat a Donald Trump Comb-Over

My cat, Catherine (a.k.a. Cat the cat), is a cat's cat. She likes: naps, knocking small objects off of tables, sitting in piles of clean laundry, and the Red Dot. She does not like: vacuum…